Tag Archives: crisis
Scottish rents up just 0.1% in November, latest index shows
Scottish residential rental growth has almost ground to a halt in the run up to the festive holiday season with the average monthly rent up in November by 0.1% month on month. This takes the average rent to £546 per month with the data from the Your Move Scotland buy to let index showing that growth has fallen from a 0.2% rise between September and October. On an annual basis, the pace of rent rises in Scotland is also continuing to decline. November marks the fifth successive month where annual rent growth has slowed. With Scottish rents now just 1.4% higher than a year ago, the pace of annual rent rises has more than halved since the June peak when rents were up 3.1% year on year. But the headline figures disguise rises in some locations. For example, in Edinburgh and the Lothians rents increased to a new peak of £635 per month with a 0.8% monthly rise in November. The index data also shows that landlord total returns have increased to 6% across Scotland led by Glasgow and Clyde at 9.8% and the buy to let sector has seen its first fall in tenant arrears for six months. According to Brian Moran, lettings director at Your Move Scotland, the market is now set for change in 2016 with an extra 3% stamp duty tax set to be in place from April and rent control proposals looming. He reckons it will result in fewer properties available for rent which could push up prices. ‘Fresh supply is likely to be put on ice. Rents will then be ultimately be vulnerable to the shrinking pool of available homes for let. Landlords and the private rented sector have become a popular target for the Government recently but any attempts to curb investment in the private rented sector, and undermine landlords, will only have an adverse effect on tenants’ rents,’ he said. A breakdown of the index figures shows that as well as Edinburgh and the Lothians seeing growth above average, rents in the South of Scotland climbed 0.2% and those in the South were up 0.1%. Glasgow and Clyde saw the most significant monthly fall in rents, down 0.6% and the Highlands and Islands saw a 0.1% decrease in average rents since October. The picture is also mixed on an annual basis, with only three of the five regions of Scotland seeing rents increase in the past year. The Highlands and Islands saw rents rise 5.8% year on year, taking the average to £569. The next strongest annual increase was in the South of Scotland, up 3.1% and in Edinburgh and the Lothians typical rents are now 2.9% higher than in November 2014. Compared to a year ago, Glasgow and Clyde saw the biggest drop in rents, down 1.3% while average rents in the East of Scotland were down 0.1% year on year. After five months of successive rises, tenant arrears in Scotland… Continue reading
Extra stamp duty set to reduce number of lettings in UK, say agents
The extra stamp duty charge for the buy to let sector that begins next April has triggered a less optimistic outlook among letting agents in the UK. Some 40% are predicting that rental supply will decrease over the next five years, the highest rate this year, according to the latest report from the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA). ‘This month’s findings are triggered the Chancellor’s announcements around buy to let tax in his Autumn Statement. We said these changes would be catastrophic for the rental sector and this has been echoed by letting agents across the country,’ said David Cox, ARLA managing director. ‘The new stamp duty increases will make owning a buy to let property unprofitable for a lot of landlords, and certainly make new investors think twice about purchasing a buy to let,’ he added. The ARLA monthly report also shows that tenants experiencing rent increases continue to fall, with 23% of letting agents reporting rent increases for tenants in November, down from 25% in October and the lowest in 2015 so far. Demand for rental properties increased marginally in November, alongside supply of available housing which was likely a result of tenants preparing themselves to find new rental properties in the New Year. ARLA agents registered an average of 34 new tenants per branch this month, up from 33 in October. Supply of rental accommodation also increased in November, rising by 9% from an average of 173 properties managed per branch in October, to 189 this month. However, renters in the capital will still struggle to find a property, with only 121 properties managed per branch, some 36% less than the UK average. ‘It’s promising to see that the number of agents reporting rent increases is continuing to decline, and this should spread some Christmas cheer amongst renters renewing tenancies or looking for a new property to rent,’ said Cox. ‘However, just under a quarter of tenants are still unfortunately seeing hikes in their monthly rent payments. But if we continue to follow trends we’ve seen in previous months, we should see fewer tenants experiencing increases as we welcome in 2016,’ he added. Continue reading
London prime property prices still falling and expected to be flat in 2016
Prime property prices in London fell by an average of 0.8% in the final quarter of 2015 and are expected to remain flat in 2016 and into 2017, the latest residential index shows. The latest fall in the prime London homes sector leaves prices a marginal 0.5% above the levels seen at the beginning of the year, while prime regional town and city markets averaged 4.4% annual growth, according to the research by international property adviser Savills. The marginally positive average annual house price growth across all prime London is attributable to the performance of property below £2 million, which recorded growth of 2.2% over the course of the year, according to the report. However, over the course of 2015 prices fell in all of the submarkets above this price level in London. Prime central London has seen prices fall year on year by 3.4% and 1.5% quarter on quarter and are 6% below the peak of 2014. Overall in prime London prices are up 0.5% year on year, down 0.8% quarter on quarter and down just 0.9% since the peak. Prices have been affected by the stamp duty changes a year ago. In the under £2 million sector they are up 2.2% year on year and 1.7% above the peak but down 0.4% quarter on quarter while all other sectors have seen prices fall. In the £2 million to £3 million market prices are down 1.4% quarter on quarter, down 0.2% year on year and down 2.7% since the 2014 peak. In the £3 million to £5 million sector they are down 1.2% quarter on quarter, down 1.3% year on year and down 3.8% from peak. The higher end of the market is also affected with price growth down all round. In the £5 million to £10 million market prices are down 1.5% quarter on quarter, down 3.3% year on year and down 5.9% from peak. In the £10 million plus market prices are down 1.3% quarter on quarter, down 3.7% year on year and down 7.5% since peak. ‘This reflects a continued adjustment to a less hospitable tax regime and successive increases in stamp duty rates in particular. This is particularly impacting the higher value markets of prime central London,’ said Lucian Cook, the firm’s head of UK residential research. ‘Since the credit crunch, is has been common practice to index price growth in prime London to the previous peak of 2007/2008. It is now clear that 2014 is the new peak reference point for a market that has continued to adjust to higher taxation, introduced at a time when the market was already looking fully priced,’ he added. He also pointed out that while the prime central London market remains price sensitive, data from LonRes indicates that transaction levels in the first 11 months of the year were 75% of the levels seen in the year previous for stock sold for over £1million. ‘In addition,… Continue reading
