Tag Archives: crisis
Index shows Spanish property prices rose by 1% in 2015
Nationally residential property prices in Spain increased by 1% last year with the market having bottomed out and now on the way to recovery, new index figures suggest. The data from appraisal company Tinsa shows that the overall rise in prices was boosted by an increase of 2% in the regions of Catalonia, Madrid, and the Balearics. It is the first time since 2007 the Tinsa index has end the year higher than it started. The index, based on the firm’s own figures relating to new and resale properties, shows that prices rose the most in Catalonia with growth of 5.3%, followed by Madrid up 3.3% and the Balearic Islands up 2.7%. But not all regions did well. Prices fell by 8.5% in Navarre and by 4.3% in Murcia. The Tinsa report pointed out that there are considerable regional variations. ‘It’s important to remember the market is tremendously heterogeneous and evolves at different speeds according to area. Prices are rising in some areas, but still falling in others,’ the index report says. Some 21 provinces and 15 provincial capitals saw price increases in the final quarter of 2015 compared to the same quarter in 2014 but there were falls of more than 5% in nine provinces and 10 capitals. The firm expects 2016 to be a year of stabilising prices rather than a sudden recovery. ‘Prudence invites us to interpret rising prices in terms of stabilisation. The incipient change in the trend is based on market values currently at minimums, so a progressive normalisation of the market can mean large percentage change increases, which can be expected to moderate in the coming months,’ the report adds. Mark Stucklin of Spanish Property Insight believes this will be the case. He forecasts prices to rise by a fraction but showing no signs of taking off. He also pointed out that figures from another appraisal company, Sociedad de Tasación (ST), show that new property prices rose 2.9% in the course of last year, the first time that has happened since 2007, and up from a fall of 2.2% a year ago. The data also shows that new home prices rose 6.2% in Madrid and 4.8% in Catalonia and the firm reports rising sales, especially demand from overseas buyers. Meanwhile, the latest data from property portal Idealista shows that the fall in prices in the second hand homes market moderated in 2015 with values down 0.7% in the final quarter of the year. The Balearic Islands led the way with year on year price growth of 3.3%, followed by the Canary Islands up 1.9% and Madrid prices up 1.6%. However prices fell 6.4% in Extremadura, 6.6% in Castilla La Mancha and 6% in Asturias. Continue reading
Over a quarter of sales fell through in the UK in last few months of 2015
The house sale fall through rate in the UK increased in the last quarter of 2015, with more than one in four house sales falling through, new research has found. There was a house sale fall through rate of 27.94% in the fourth quarter of 2015, a rise 8.32% from the previous quarter, according to the figures from independent home buyer Quick Move Now. However, the year to date fall through rate remained fairly constant throughout 2015, at around 29% and finished the year at 29.26%. According to Danny Luke, business manager at Quick Move Now, it was an interesting year for the UK property market, and the fall through rates reflect that. ‘Tougher lending criteria was introduced as a result of the Mortgage Market Review (MMR), which meant some prospective buyers found it challenging to secure a mortgage, or found they were able to borrow less than they had anticipated,’ he said. He pointed out that some 9% of sales that fell through did so as a result of not being able to secure a mortgage and the two biggest reasons for house sales falling through the last quarter were buyers changing their mind at 27.2% and problems identified at survey or failed renegotiation following a survey also at 27.2%. ‘A lack of properties coming to market has led to prospective buyers having to move very quickly in order to secure a property, and may mean they put an offer in on a less than ideal property through fear that they'll be unable to find anything else. Some inevitably get cold feet about such a large investment, or find that a survey confirms their fears, and pull out before the sale completes,’ explained Luke. The research also found that chain collapse still featured prominently with 22.7% of property sales falling through as a result of chain issues, and it's definitely an issue very much on sellers' minds. ‘We get calls every day from sellers keen to secure a guaranteed sale so they don't risk missing out on their onward purchase due to chain collapse,’ added Luke. Other reasons involved the seller pulling out for a higher offer, affecting 9% of cases and buyer health issues or personal problems accounted for 4.5%. Continue reading
Stamp duty levels to continue to affect prime central London property market
The prime central London property market has seen a year of two halves but uncertainty over stamp duty levels is set to continue to affect the upper part of the sector in 2016, new research suggests. Just over a year the prime market was hit by increased stamp duty on properties worth more than £1.1 million and now this year extra duty of 3% is to be levied on buy to let investors and second home owners. The latest report from real estate firm Knight Frank explains that while the new measure is an attempt to address concerns surrounding affordability and house price inflation, it raises fresh questions over the dampening effect on tax revenues just as buyers and sellers in prime London were showing tentative signs of absorbing the previous increase. ‘Transactions and revenue have declined across London in the period following the December 2014 increase. It highlights concerns over the financially viability of the stamp duty reform, which had the welcome aim of increasing liquidity and affordability below £1 million but runs the risk of becoming a counterproductive deterrent above that level,’ said Tom Bill, head of London residential research. Meanwhile, the sub-£2 million market outperformed the rest of prime London in the second half of 2015, continuing a trend of recent years. In particular, properties worth less than £1 million have grown by more than any other price bracket. Bill explained that the highest growth has largely been outside the higher price brackets of prime areas of central London over the last 20 years. The Knight Frank analysis report highlights the markets where price growth was strongest during each year since the first quarter of 1995 and on a journey that began in Lambeth Walk and ends in Turnpike Lane, £50,000 would have become £1.18 million after stamp duty and moving fees are taken into account, representing a rise of 2,264%. The theoretical journey began in south London before moving further east to areas like Barking and Dagenham in the early 2000s as east London matured as a residential market. It then moved to prime central London in the run-up to and immediate aftermath of the financial crisis, including Marylebone, Belgravia and Fulham. Finally, as price growth pushed outwards from central London as the UK economic recovery consolidated after 2013 the strongest growth was found in the north London markets of Walthamstow and Turnpike Lane. Continue reading
