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Average rents in Scotland down 0.7% in March, biggest monthly fall on record

Average residential rents in Scotland fell by 0.7% in March, the first decline in six months and the biggest monthly drop on record, the latest index data shows. This took the typical rent in Scotland down to £544 per month and suppressed annual growth to just 1.1% in March, a significant downturn from 2.1% in the year to February 2016, according to the buy to let index from lettings agent network Your Move. Annual growth in the rental market is now at a 13 month low and Edinburgh was the only place to see rents rise in March to a new peak for the city of £645 a month. One reason for the growth in Edinburgh is a lack of available properties, according to Brian Moran, lettings director at Your Move Scotland. He believes, however, that rents could start to rise again with buy to let landlords now facing an additional 3% stamp duty and the effects of the new Private Tenancies Bill still to come. ‘What we do know, is that if landlords hit the brakes and cause a roadblock of supply in the private rented sector, tenants will be the casualties paying higher rents in the longer term,’ he said. Rents fell across the majority of Scotland. The steepest monthly drop in rents was experienced in Glasgow and Clyde, with the average rent in March 1.5% lower than in February, taking the average monthly rent to £544. In the Highlands and Islands there was a 1.4% fall in rents since February, and rents in the East dropped 0.8% on a monthly basis. The South of Scotland saw a more modest 0.2% dip in rents month on month. Edinburgh and the Lothians was the only region to buck this trend, with the average monthly rent climbing 0.2% to reach a new peak price of £645 per month in March. However, taking a longer term view, only two of the five regions of Scotland have seen rents fall on an annual basis. Edinburgh and the Lothians are continuing to see record annual rent rises, up 8.5% year on year in March. Rent growth in the capital has been accelerating steadily since June 2015. After this, rents in the South of Scotland have seen the next fastest annual rise, with rents up 3.2% since March 2015. The Highlands and Islands saw a 1.6% uptick in rents compared to a year ago. But two regions have seen rents fall compared to a year earlier. Both Glasgow and Clyde and the East of Scotland have witnessed a 2.5% drop in rents across the twelve months to March 2016. The index report also shows that despite the widespread monthly falls in rents in March, the proportion of late rent in Scotland has risen for the first time since October 2015. Reversing the recent trend of improving tenant finances, tenant arrears… Continue reading

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Rural locations becoming more attractive to home movers in the UK

People in the UK want to live in villages but the need to have easy access to shops, transport and medical facilities and good broadband, new research has found. Some 21% of people who are moving home said that they wanted to live in a village, making it easily the most popular type of location, compared to 14% for a market town and only 12% for either a big city or a suburb, according to the study by Strutt & Parker. The Housing Futures Report found that broadband and mobile connections are essential to rural life. Access to broadband was a key factor for 49% of those intending to move to a village, while 38% highlighted mobile connectivity. It reveals that with 60% want to be able to walk to shops, 48% close to local transport and 45% near to medical facilities. ‘The UK might seem to be focused on urbanisation but we believe a new, overlooked trend is set to shape Britain’s housing market over the coming decades and this is the desire to move back to rural locations,’ said Stephanie McMahon, head of research at Strutt & Parker. She explained that while some research would suggest cities have the upper hand over villages as the urban trend has gathered pace in the UK, a number of negative traits have begun to appear such as a rise in inadequate housing provision, urban sprawl and increased pollution. She pointed out that the shift away from cities is being driven by people looking for neighbourhood safety at 86%, while 58% want space between neighbours and 48% are looking for a strong community feel. The report also point out that technology is helping to change the rural economy, which plays a key role in creating jobs and prosperity. England’s rural economy now accounts for £210 billion of economic output and hosts over 25% of all registered businesses, according to DEFRA. New companies are thriving in rural locations, including hi-tech manufacturing, food processing, the service sector, retail and power supply. ‘The expansion of broadband and mobile communications has seen a greater uptake of working from home in rural locations compared to urban areas. It seems that the same factors that once drove urbanisation, improving economic and social conditions, are now inspiring the village revival,’ added McMahon. And it’s not just those wishing to sell up from their city lives to buy in a village setting, with the report showing a significant increase in respondents looking for rental accommodation. 10% of those wanting to move to a village would live in a professionally managed private rental unit, up from 1% in 2013. The South East, South West and North East are the three leading destinations for people who are intending to move in the next five years. London’s strong economy and housing market will have a direct effect on the South East, which… Continue reading

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UK households believe that the rate of house price growth has slowed

Households across the UK perceive that the value of their home rose in April, but it was a slight decline compared to the previous month. It indicates that households perceive the rate of house price growth has slowed marginally, according to the House Price Sentiment Index (HPSI) from Knight Frank and Markit Economics. ‘Slightly weaker house price sentiment follows a period of healthy market activity between January and March which was in part promoted by purchasers trying to complete purchases ahead of the April introduction of the extra 3% stamp duty on additional homes,’ said Gráinne Gilmore, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank. ‘Activity across the market may now become more muted, and in addition, the debate around the EU Referendum may convince some buyers to adopt a wait and see approach, although the UK’s position in the European Union will not affect one of the key fundamentals in the market, an undersupply of new homes being built and existing homes for sale when compared to demand,’ she explained. The future HPSI, which measures what households think will happen to the value of their property over the next year, also slipped back in April compared to the previous month. Gilmore pointed out that while still indicating that households across the UK expect the value of their home to rise over the next 12 months, this is the lowest reading recorded by the index so far this year. Sentiment on future house price growth was lower in nine of the eleven regions covered by the index month on month, with the biggest fall in sentiment occurring in the East of England. Tim Moore, senior economist at Markit, believes that after a strong start to the year, UK property market conditions appear slightly more subdued in April, especially in relation to households’ expectations for price growth. ‘While perceptions of current price growth are still firmer than at any time in 2015, expectations for the next 12 months moderated in April and were among the lowest recorded over the past three years,’ he said. ‘This divergence between relatively brisk current price momentum and softer expectations ahead in part reflects heightened uncertainty about the near term economic outlook. Moreover, the latest survey highlights another brake on the number of UK households intending to purchase a property over the next two years, with this index down appreciably from its peak in February 2015,’ he added. The details of the index shows that some 5% of UK households said they planned to buy a property in the next 12 months, down from 5.5% in December. On a slightly longer term basis, the proportion of households across the UK planning to buy a property within the next two years was 10.8%, the lowest proportion since the index began in April 2014. The survey suggests that demand for property from households in London will be amongst the strongest across the country within this time, with 15.6% of households there indicating their intention… Continue reading

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