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London property market avoids usual seasonal lending dip

The usual seasonal dip in home lending in the first quarter of the year didn’t seem to happen in London as the latest data shows borrowing up quarter on quarter and year on year. The data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders shows that home buyers in London borrowed £7.1 billion in the first three months of 2016, up 6% quarter on quarter and 41% on a year ago. They took out 21,400 loans, down 2% on the previous quarter but up 20% compared to the first quarter 2015. First time buyers borrowed £2.9 billion, down 7% on the fourth quarter 2015 but up 19% on the first quarter last year. This equated 10,700 loans, down 10% quarter on quarter but up 3% year on year. Home movers borrowed £4.2 billion, up 18% quarter on quarter and 63% compared to a year ago. This equated to 10,600 loans, up 8% quarter on quarter and 43% compared to the first quarter of 2015. Remortgage activity totalled £4 billion, up 4% on the fourth quarter 2015 and 36% compared to a year ago. This came to 13,500 loans, up 2% quarter on quarter and 21% compared to a year ago. ‘The usual seasonal dip in lending in the first quarter of the year didn't seem to impact London as strongly as the UK overall, mainly due to a strong uptick in home mover activity. Remortgage lending also performed well resulting in the highest first quarter remortgage levels in the capital since 2009,’ said Paul Smee, director general of the CML. ‘The housing market in Greater London has some unique characteristics compared to the rest of the UK such as more first time buyers, but lower overall levels of home ownership,’ he pointed out. ‘Affordability and the supply of housing remain critical factors for the London market, and we will be pleased to work with the new mayor and his deputy on how to deliver appropriate strategy over his term of office,’ he added. The data also shows that quarter on quarter affordability metrics for first time buyers show that the amount borrowed increased to £248,047 compared to the UK average of £130,500, from £243,746, but this was offset by a rise in the total household income of borrowers to £62,508 compared to the UK average of £40,000, from £61,155 meaning the median income multiple remained virtually unchanged from 3.94 to 3.93. London home movers saw a similar trend to £338,500 to the UK average of £172,295, from £315,995 the previous quarter, and household income increased to £91,862 on average compared to £56,104 UK-wide, from £84,313 meaning the income multiple decreased slightly from 3.87 to 3.83. The proportion of monthly gross income home buyers are spending on capital and interest repayments was 19.0%, which was the lowest level since the CML began tracking this metric in 2005. The number of remortgage loans was the highest first quarter figure since 2009, and the highest value… Continue reading

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US home sales maintain recent momentum, up 6% from April 2015

Despite ongoing inventory shortages and faster price growth, existing home sales in the United States have sustained their recent momentum and moved higher for the second consecutive month. The latest data from the National Association of Realtors shows a surge in sales in the Midwest and a decent increase in the Northeast which offset smaller declines in the South and West. Total existing home sales, which are completed transactions that include single family homes, town homes, condominiums and co-ops, rose 1.7% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.45 million in April from an upwardly revised 5.36 million in March. After last month's gain, sales are now up 6% from April 2015. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, April's sales increase signals slowly building momentum for the housing market this spring. ‘Primarily driven by a convincing jump in the Midwest, where home prices are most affordable, sales activity overall was at a healthy pace last month as very low mortgage rates and modest seasonal inventory gains encouraged more households to search for and close on a home,’ he said. ‘Except for in the West, where supply shortages and stark price growth are hampering buyers the most, sales are meaningfully higher than a year ago in much of the country,’ he added. The NAR data also shows that the median existing home price for all housing types in April was $232,500, up 6.3% from April 2015 and this is the 50th consecutive month of year on year gains. Total housing inventory at the end of April increased 9.2% to 2.14 million existing homes available for sale, but is still 3.6% lower than a year ago. Unsold inventory is at a 4.7 month supply at the current sales pace, up from 4.4 months in March. ‘The temporary relief from mortgage rates currently near three-year lows has helped preserve housing affordability this spring, but there's growing concern a number of buyers will be unable to find homes at affordable prices if wages don't rise and price growth doesn't slow,’ Yun explained. Properties typically stayed on the market for 39 days in April compared to 47 days in March, which is unchanged from a year ago but the shortest duration since June 2015 when it was 34 days. Short sales were on the market the longest at a median of 120 days in April, while foreclosures sold in 51 days and non-distressed homes took 37 days. Some 45% of homes sold in April were on the market for less than a month, the highest since June 2015 when it was 47%. ‘Looking ahead, with demand holding steady and supply levels still far from sufficient, the market for entry level and mid-priced homes will likely continue to be the most competitive heading into the summer months,’ Yun explained. The index show that the share of first time buyers was 32% in April, up from 30% both in March and a year ago…. Continue reading

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London property prices have risen in last 20 years by over 400%

Property prices per square metre have risen by 432% in Greater London against a national average increase of 251% over the past two decades, according to new research. Although London dominates the country's list of most expensive property locations on a per square metre basis, several areas outside southern England fetch a higher property price per square metre than the national average of £2,216. These locations are given as Solihull and Leamington Spa in the West Midlands, Altrincham in the North West, Scotland’s capital, Edinburgh and Harrogate in Yorkshire, according to the report from UK lender the Halifax. It points out that there has been a substantial gap widening in property prices per square metre between southern England and the rest of Britain over the past 20 years. This has continued since 2011 with London gains nearly double that of the rest of the country. The borough of Kensington and Chelsea remains Britain's most expensive neighbourhood, with an average price of £11,321 per square meter. Despite dropping 1% lower than last year, it is more than five times the national average of £2,216. Kensington and Chelsea, along with Westminster at £10,552 are the only areas in Britain with an average price above £10,000 per square meter followed by Camden at £9,012. Some 17 areas, all in Greater London, have an average price in excess of £5,000 per square meter with the borough of Merton in South West London the latest addition to this group since last year. Half of the 10 most expensive towns outside southern England are in the West Midlands. Solihull, with an average price of £2,661 per square meter and Leamington Spa at £2,645 are the two most expensive towns. The other West Midlands towns that made the top 10 include Sutton Coldfield at £2,113, Bromsgrove at £1,970 and Stourbridge at £1,943. Meanwhile, five places outside southern England have average prices per square meter above the national average of £2,216. In addition to Solihull and Leamington Spa, these include Altrincham in the North West at £2,634, Edinburgh at £2,355 and Harrogate at £2,342. The research found that nowhere in Britain had an average price below £1,000 per square meter but Airdrie in Scotland had the lowest average price at £1,019, less than a tenth of the average price per square metre in Kensington and Chelsea. Six of the 10 towns with the lowest prices per square metre are outside England. There are four in Scotland with Airdrie at £1,019, Lanark at £1,040, Coatbridge at £1,071 and Kilmarnock at £1,120. Two are in Wales with Llanelli at £1,028 and Neath at £1,065. The four English towns with the lowest house prices on a per square metre basis are all in northern England with Scunthorpe at 1,036, Accrington at £1,055, Hartlepool at £1,062 and Wallasey at £1,067. ‘House price per square metre can be a useful comparison measure as it helps to adjust for differences in the size and type of properties between… Continue reading

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