Tag Archives: crisis
Sellers reduce asking prices in Spain as the market become more realistic
Sellers in Spain are becoming more realistic about prices and have reduced asking values which is seen by experts as a good move in terms of keep in the real estate recovery going. Asking prices fell by 0.2% to €1,624 per meter in April, according to data from property portal Fotocasa, compared to a year ago. Meanwhile the latest house price index from the Government shows that prices were up 2.4% in the first quarter of 2016 year on year and up 0.2% quarter on quarter. The Fotocasa asking price index has been fairly stable for the last year, with prices never varying more than 1% either up or down. ‘House prices will continue to go in different directions during 2016,’ said Beatriz Toribio, head of research at Fotocasa. ‘Whilst in some areas of the country prices are stabilising or even rising, in others they continue to fall hard. This is a consequence of the crisis the sector has lived through, which has left a market of two or more speeds that is ever more obvious,’ Toribio added. Since the peak of the market in 2007 average house prices have fallen by 45% but there is some regional variation. Peak to present prices are down by 50.5% in Murcia, 47.5% in the Valencian Region, 47% in Catalonia, 43.9% in Madrid, and 42.6% in Andalusia. The Government figures, however, show that house prices are down 29% since the peak which it outs at the first quarter of 2008 and it adds that price bottomed out in the third quarter of 2014. Prices have increased the most in the Balearics with growth of 9.6%, followed by Catalonia up 4.9%, Madrid up 4.2%, Extremadura up 3.7%, Galicia up 2.6%, the Valencian region up 2.4% and the Canaries also up by 2.4%. The latest mortgage figures show that lending volumes are also up which means more people can buy a home. The data from the National Statistics Institute on Friday reveals that the number of new mortgages listed in the property registers in Spain stood at 22,983 in March, up 4.5% over the same month in 2015. In more good news for the Spanish property market the latest report from the General Council of Notaries show that foreign demand rose by 12.9% in 2015. More than half, 52%, were people buying a holiday home while 48% were foreigners living in Spain. The British were the biggest group of foreign buyers with 21% of the market, followed by the French at 9%, Germans at 7.5%, Belgians at 6% and Italians at 5.5%, the data also shows. The Balearics is the most popular part of Spain with overseas buyers with foreign purchases amounting to 44% of the market, with the Canaries at 39%, Valencia at 37% and Murcia and Andalusia both at 25%. Foreign demand growth was strongest in regions with small markets, where even a modest increase in foreign demand translates into a big increase in percentage terms. Growth was biggest… Continue reading
Confidence among UK private sector landlords remains subdued
Confidence remains low among UK landlords as a result of recent government interventions in the buy to let market but buyers are slowly returning to the market, says a new survey. Overall, landlords report improved buying intentions, growth in tenant demand and yields and confidence is stable but remains at subdued levels, according to the research by BDRC Continental on behalf of Paragon Mortgages. Following an increase in the rate of stamp duty payable on buy to let purchases, and with a staged reduction in income tax relief available on rental income due start next year, landlord confidence remained low in the first quarter of 2016. Asked about expected business in the next three months, just 41% of landlords rated their prospects as being either ‘good’ or ‘very good’. This is down from 65% during the same period last year, prior to the government’s clampdown on buy to let. Indicating that falling levels of confidence may have stabilised however, the figure is just 2% down on the fourth quarter of 2015. Reflecting this, the survey also saw landlords’ property purchase intentions edge above selling intentions, reversing the situation seen in the final quarter of 2015 when more landlords were looking to sell property than were looking to buy. Some 19% of landlords indicated that they intend to purchase a property in the coming year, up from 17% in the fourth quarter of 2015 while 16% of landlords indicated that they intend to sell a property, down from 19% in the previous quarter. Driving this trend was an increase in tenant demand, with 39% of landlords reporting demand as increasing either slightly or significantly, up from 34% in the fourth quarter of 2015. Reflecting this increase, landlords reporting tenant demand as being stable declined from 40% to 36%. The research also shows that yields in the first quarter of2016 also grew slightly on the previous quarter, averaging 5.7%. Despite negativity persisting around business expectations over the short term, rental property as an asset class is still viewed favourably by landlords. Some 38% of landlords polled believe investing in the PRS to be ‘much better’ than other investment options such as stocks and shares. A further 33% believe investing in the PRS to be a ‘little better’ than other investments and just 10% believe an investment in the PRS is worse than other investments. ‘Increased stamp duty, as well as reduced levels of income tax relief for landlords due to come into force next April, have undoubtedly impacted landlord sentiment. Confidence by some measures is down by around a third when compared to the same period last year. That said, this data does suggest that confidence is stabilising,’ said John Heron, director of mortgages at Paragon. ‘In the previous quarter we saw more landlords respond very negatively to the announcements on stamp duty and tax on rental income with more intending to sell rather than buy property, this trend is now reversed and purchase… Continue reading
Brexit vote creating lethargy in prime central London property market
There are signs of lethargy in the prime property market in central London ahead of the vote on the future of the UK in the European Union, according to a new research report. But beyond the distraction of the EU referendum there are signs that demand is strengthening, according to the research from international real estate firm Knight Frank. Overall annual growth in the prime central London property market slowed to 0.1% in May, the lowest since October 2009 and the Brexit effect means demand is subdued even where asking prices have fallen 10% or more. On top of this the number of active buyers to available properties has halved over the last year and Tom Bill, head of London residential research at Knight Frank, described it as a price sensitive market. ‘Demand remains relatively subdued but in a change from recent months, the primary cause in May was the Brexit vote rather than new rates of stamp duty. Indeed, there are overlapping layers of uncertainty affecting supply and demand that are difficult to differentiate but which produce a cumulative impact,’ Bill explained. ‘There has been a discernible Brexit effect on the UK economy as decisions are delayed and the London property market is no exception. Buyers and sellers are postponing decisions because of the prospect of entering unchartered economic and political territory,’ he said. ‘The market has become price-sensitive due to higher levels of stamp duty, but an indication of the Brexit effect is that demand in May has remained subdued even for properties where asking prices have fallen by 10% or more,’ he pointed out. He also pointed out that demand was already more restrained as a result of the impact of two stamp duty increases in the space of 18 months and the ratio of active buyers per available property in prime central London has fallen to 4.8 from 10 over the last year. However, despite the looming referendum, there are signs underlying demand is strengthening, according to Bill as buyers drop asking prices to reflect higher transaction costs. The number of transactions between January and the middle of May was flat this year compared to 2015. Meanwhile, viewings increased 31% between January and April versus last year, suggesting a degree of pent-up demand. Overall, prices have grown 2.4% over the last two years and it has been three and a half years since annual growth was last above 10% in October 2012. A breakdown of the figures show that in the 12 months to May 2016 prices have increased 7.4% in Islington, by 6.3% in the City, by 1.9% in Mayfair, by 1,7% in Kensington, by 1.3% in Tower Bridge and by 0.3% in Riverside. Prices remained unchanged in St John’s Wood and Marylebone but fell by 7.5% in Knightsbridge, by 4.8% in Hyde Park, by 4.6% in South Kensington, by 3.5% in Chelsea, by 1.7% in Kensington, by 1.5% in Notting Hill, and by 0.2% in Belgravia. The report also points out… Continue reading
