Tag Archives: crisis
First time US buyers rent an average of six years before buying a home
Americans are renting more than twice as long before buying their first home as they did in the 1970s, new research has found. Aspiring home buyers are now renting for six years compared to an average of 2.6 years compared to 40 years ago, according to an analysis from real estate firm Zillow. The analysis report also shows that first time buyers are older and less likely to be married than they were in the past and overall Americans are buying increasingly expensive first homes and spending more relative to their incomes than any time in the past 40 years. In the 1970s, first time buyers bought homes that cost about 1.7 times their annual income. Now they're buying homes that cost 2.6 times their annual income. The firm says that part of this can be attributed to the housing markets where people are moving which are more expensive cities on the coasts, where there are growing job markets. The average first time buyer is about 33 with a median income of $54,340, which is about the same as what first time buyers made in the 1970s, when adjusted for inflation. In the late 1980s, some 52% of first time buyers were married but today that has fallen to 40% married, the research also shows. ‘Millennials are delaying all kinds of major life decisions, like getting married and having kids, so it makes sense that they would also delay buying a home,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. ‘We know millennials value home ownership and want to buy. The next challenge will be figuring out how they can save for a down payment and qualify for a mortgage, especially while the rental market is so unaffordable all over the country. The last hurdle will be finding a home they like amidst very tight inventory, especially among starter homes,’ added Gudell. Continue reading
July sees subdued valuation and survey activity in UK housing market
Housing market activity in the UK in July was more subdued than normal but is still up 57% compared to the same month in 2014, the latest survey and valuation research shows. However, overall valuation activity in July dipped 24% compared to June 2015, according to the report from Connells Survey & Valuation. But, according to John Bagshaw, the firm’s corporate services director, the housing market momentum is only getting stronger and the slight monthly wobble is more than outweighed by the annual growth across all sectors. ‘July has been a little more subdued than normal as the post-election feel good factor began to taper out. But, fundamentally, the high pace of annual growth demonstrates that the property market is strong. As wages continue to outstrip inflation, job security increases and interest rates remain at record lows, people young and old are feeling ever more confident about the property market. There’s every reason to feel very optimistic,’ he explained. The report also shows that the number of valuations for existing owner occupiers seeking to move home in July was down 33% compared to the previous month of June. However, yearly activity has climbed 48% on July 2014. Similarly, despite the number of first time buyer valuations slipping 25% on June 2015, year on year activity accelerated 40% compared to July last year but Bagshaw believes that home movers and first time buyers are in a strong position. ‘At first glance the monthly figures might suggest we’ve endured a slow July. However, this is mainly because home movers and first time buyers are most affected by housing market seasonality. These two groups possess neither the capital of most buy to let investors or the pre-existing property of remortgagors. First time buyers in particular tend to be more sensitive to headwinds,’ he pointed out. ‘Moreover, the yearly figures indicate that first time buyers are showing no real hesitancy in getting on the ladder. Government schemes such as Help to Buy, alongside local authorities attempting to drive up property development, are giving the home mover and first time buyer markets a vitality not seen for many years,’ he said. Meanwhile, valuations in July for buy to let investors and remortgagors increased on a year on year basis. Buy to let and remortgaging valuation activity grew 76% and 75% respectively, when compared to July 2014. However, on a monthly basis, July’s buy to let valuation activity fell back 21% on June, while remortgaging activity declined by 16% over the same period. ‘Remortgagors and those in the buy to let business have had an exceptional year’s stretch. Since the first glimmers of the economic recovery, remortgaging was the first sector to make up lost ground because it was viewed as the least risky by lenders and that momentum has obviously continued into this month. Meanwhile, the latest threats… Continue reading
New land reform bill in Scotland too vague and timetable too tight, says RICS
The New Land Reform Bill in Scotland is set to have a substantial impact on the country’s land and property markets but it is too vague, subjective and inconclusive, according to the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors. RICS is urging the Scottish Government to consider undertaking a full impact assessment before any of the provisions are implemented and to introduce more clarity regarding a number of its parts and provisions. While the organisation is ‘fully supportive’ of the Scottish government’s aims to modernise and rejuvenate the rural landscape, it also believes that the current timescale for reform is too tight and therefore will be dependent on regulations which will be deduced after the passing of the Bill. There is also concern about the cessation of sporting estate tax relief. The Bill’s Policy Memorandum states that many small scale shootings would be expected to eligible for rates relief under the existing Small Business Bonus Scheme. RICS believes that research into how many estates will, and how many will not, benefit from rates relief needs to be undertaken before this provision is taken forward. Furthermore, it points out that the Scottish government has, thus far, not indicated whether the Small Business Bonus Scheme (SBBS) will endure beyond until 2016/2017, the proposed date where business rates exemptions will cease. ‘We believe it would be prudent of the government to inform the sector of its plans for the future of SBBS one way or another,’ said Sarah Speirs, director Scotland of RICS. ‘Whilst RICS welcomes a Land Rights and Responsibilities Statement (LRRS), as it will provide an indication of legislative travel, we do not agree that it should be a statutory requirement to be updated every five years, as currently specified,’ she added. Speirs explained that regular and changeable legislative modifications do not create favourable conditions for property and land markets and these markets require consistency to reach the necessary degree of stability to create confidence. ‘As such, RICS believes a balance needs to be struck between the land reform process and the establishment of stable, consistent legislative and economic conditions. Removing the statutory requirement for a review of the statement is one way of creating these conditions. Sarah on the proposal to create a Scottish Land Commission,’ she said. ‘we welcome the provision to establish a Scottish Land Commission, but still believe there would be merit in having separate Land Commission and Tenant Farming Commission office to ensure transparency,’ she pointed out. ‘Whilst the Commission’s work may result in increased costs to the public purse, the potential outcomes of the Commission’s research, evidence gathering and positive impact on land, should it follow the remit outlined above, should outweigh the costs. It is imperative that all work undertaken by the Commission is open, transparent and accessible to the Scottish public,’ she added. Agricultural holdings account for a substantial quantity, almost half, of the Land Reform Bill. RICS is concerned that agricultural holdings is too substantive an issue to be… Continue reading
