Tag Archives: crisis
RICS backs idea of older home owners downsizing to boost supply crisis
The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors has waded into the debate over housing supply in the UK, saying that measures such as downsizing could help alleviate the current problems. Last week the head of mortgages at the Financial Conduct Authority was criticised for saying that older people should move out of family homes to make way for younger families but RICS appears to also back the idea. In its latest policy review RICS suggest it is one measure that could help the current shortage of supply in the housing market and that more downsizing could release almost three million homes. It also suggests other measures such as the expansion of affordable ownership via planning controls insisting developers offer a percentage of new homes for affordable rent, regulations to oblige second home owners to release their properties for rental, and the creation of Self Invested Personal Pensions which would allow investors to put their money into Build To Let schemes. But it adds that downsizing is considered perhaps the most effective way of improving supply in the market. ‘Britain’s older home owners are understandably reluctant to move out of much loved, but often under occupied family homes,’ said Jeremy Blackburn, head of policy at RICS. ‘Clearly, it’s an emotive issue and one that needs to be treated with sensitivity, but we would like to see central and local government provide older people with the information, practical and financial support they need to downsize if that is their choice,’ he added. He explained that this might include offering a fund to support with moving costs and pointed out that Bristol City council is already piloting a scheme along these lines, and another suggestion is a stamp duty discount for retired people who are downsizing. RICS believes that the most consistent feature of the housing market over the last 18 months has been a shortage of homes on sale with stock levels on surveyors’ books dropping to lows not seen for at least three decades. ‘Almost a third of over 55s have considered downsizing in the last five years yet we know only seven per cent actually did. If we are to get to grips with this country’s housing crisis, we need to look at supply-led measures across government and the wider industry in order to get the market moving,’ Blackburn added. Continue reading
UK private rented market in a healthy state in third quarter of 2015, says new report
Landlords in the UK are preferring high demand property such as terraced houses and flats with the overall private rented sector in a health condition, according to a new trends report. On key indicators such as yields, void periods and tenant demand, the overall picture is one of steady growth, says the latest Private Rented Sector report from Paragon Mortgages covering the third quarter of 2015. The survey reveals that average yields have grown over the last three months from 6.3% to 6.4% and this growth is in line with steady growth observed throughout 2015. When asked about expected growth over the next 12 months, landlords expressed confidence that yields will remain stable and maintain current levels. On the supply side, void periods, the average period of time PRS properties spend unoccupied per annum, remain at historically low levels of just below 2.6 weeks. In conjunction with this, tenant demand is also healthy with more than half of landlords describing demand as ‘stable’ and more than 40% saying that demand is either ‘growing’ or ‘booming’. The prospects for expected demand are also positive, with more than half of landlords expecting demand to increase over the next 12 months, compared to 42% who expect it to remain stable. The survey also shows an increase in young families with children moving into the PRS, and a corresponding decrease in young couples and professionals. Despite this, demand for longer-term rental agreements remains relatively low. ‘The data is indicative of a market growing steadily and sustainably over the long term. With low void periods and steady tenant demand, which is expected to continue growing, yields remain on a gradual upward trend and landlords are confident they will continue to do so,’ said John Heron, the firm’s director of mortgages. ‘The data also reveals the changing demographic of those choosing to live in the PRS. This is reflected in the buying intentions of landlords which seem to be shifting slightly away from investing in multi-occupancy blocks, towards terraced housing, often more suited to young families,’ he added. The research also shows that average void periods, periods of time during which a PRS property is unoccupied, have dipped below 2.6 weeks per annum for the first time since 2002, down from a high of 3.4 weeks during 2010. Requests for longer term tenancies of two years or more remain low with 58% of respondents saying less than one in ten tenants ask for a longer tenancy. Overall some 43% of landlords surveyed indicated they are looking to invest in terraced houses, up from 38% in the previous quarter while the number of landlords seeking semi-detached properties has fallen from 38% to 27%. Continue reading
Falling property prices make Dubai a more mature real estate market
Falling property prices in Dubai are not totally bad news as it will make the emirate’s real estate market more mature, a new analysis report says. The report from international real estate firm Knight Frank explains how over the past decade, Dubai has been on a real estate rollercoaster ride of boom, crash and recovery. Indeed, property values halved between 2008 and 2010, but then rose phoenix like from the desert to regain most of their losses by 2014. However, the rallying prices of 2013 and 2014 set off the alarm so authorities had to react to prevent a market boom and crash cycle. At this point Dubai’s market regulators, wielding mortgage caps and a doubling of transaction fees, stepped in to reduce speculation and the report points out that this combined with other factors such as deteriorating oil prices, currency fluctuations and a series of economic and political failures in different parts of world, means lower levels of demand from most regional and international group of buyers looking to purchase properties in Dubai. On top of this there has been an excess of new build supply and the net impact has been a 12% fall in mainstream property prices over the 12 months to June 2015. ‘Nevertheless, falling prices are not totally bad news. With the government stepping in to curb speculative activity through tightening mortgage regulations and capping price increments, it is evident that lessons has been learnt from the 2008 downturn and the market is heading steadily to be more mature and better controlled,’ says the report. ‘More interestingly, with price falls continuing to outpace rental value declines, initial yields are rising. Reaching more than 7% in rental yields in the mainstream property segment, Dubai still stands tall among real estate capitals in the world for investor seeking income generating properties,’ it adds. It also points out that the rate of decline in prime residential prices of 4.5% in the year to June 2015 was smaller compared to the mainstream segment while in sub-markets, the picture is a bit more positive as well. In demand areas are mostly in the prime segment including villas, townhouses and apartments in the Palm, Emirates Hills, Dubai Marina and Downtown for example. ‘Even during the 2008 downturn, prime properties saw lower levels of declines compared to less established areas,’ Diaa Noufal, of the MENA research unit at Knight Frank Dubai office. The report also looks at the wider region. In Qatar foreigners have been able to buy property since 2004, although restricted to a few specific areas. Demand has been rising, albeit with a slowdown this year following the oil price crash and regional instability. Buyers tend to be residents of countries within the Gulf Cooperation Council, although the number of European buyers is rising. Demand for Oman property from across the Middle East and from India and Pakistan has risen in recent years. Knight Frank says this is partly due to… Continue reading
