Tag Archives: crisis
House prices rise in Scotland as market shakes off effect of new property tax
House prices in Scotland increased by 1.1% in August, only the second month of growth since the new Land and Building Transaction Tax was introduced in April. It takes the average house price to £167,426, back above December 2014 levels and the annual rate of growth was also 1.1%, the data from the Your Move index shows. When it comes to transactions it was the strongest August for sales in eight years with activity up 7.5% on an annual basis and Scotland saw faster annual sales growth over the summer than anywhere else in the UK. The data also shows that it is semidetached homes that are driving price rises and sales growth followed by a 4% increase in flat purchases compared to a year earlier. In contrast, sales of more expensive detached properties are down 4% year on year. Christine Campbell, Your Move managing director in Scotland, said that the market is starting to shake off the side effects of April’s LBTT after the tax change caused a three month decline in house prices between April and June. ‘LBTT has slowed high value property sales considerably. The number of million pound property sales has fallen to an average of four per month over the last five months, down from 12 in 2014. But it’s not just at the very extremes that this has had a dampening effect and the brakes have been applied to all sales above £254,000,’ she explained. ‘As a result of the tougher top end tax rates, the most expensive parts of the country have recorded price falls year on year, and this is starting to close the price gap between Scotland’s preeminent cities,’ she added. The index also shows that on an annual basis, house prices in Glasgow have increased by 6.5% to reach £141,871, compared to a 3.4% decrease of property values in Edinburgh since last year. ‘As the area with the highest house price across Scotland, Edinburgh’s price fall encapsulates the current trend of declining house prices in high value areas qualifying for higher rates of transaction tax,’ said Campbell. But the middle and the lower tiers of the market have been boosted by the LBTT which has stimulated demand at the bottom and middle rungs of the property ladder. ‘Overall, the activity emanating from the bottom of the property market means that from June to August 2015, Scotland has experienced the strongest year on year increase in property sales of any other part of Britain, with sales climbing 6%,’ said Campbell, adding that sales volumes were down by 2% across England and Wales and seven regions saw sales fall over the same period. Continue reading
Asking prices till rising across most of the UK, latest data shows
Asking prices in England and Wales increased by 1% in September, led by the East of England, according to the latest index figures, while in Scotland they increased by 0.8%. Prices increased the most in the East of the country, up 2.3% month on month, but the South East continues to be the UK's fastest moving regional market with prices up 7% over the last six months. The data from the Home.co,uk index also shows that year on year asking prices in England and Wales have increased by 6.9% overall. While in Scotland asking prices are up 0.8% month on month and 3.8% year on year. Pries rises are being fuelled by lack of supply in many parts and this index shows that overall the supply of property for sale fell to a new record low in September, down 65% compared to the same month in 2007 before the economic downturn. ‘Surging demand coupled with lack of supply is driving home prices to new extremes in the East of England and the South East. Indeed, the uplift from these regions continues to drive the national average higher, thereby obscuring the poorer performance of several northern regions,’ said Doug Shephard, the firm’s director. He pointed out that the London and South East centred supply crisis is worsening, and September recorded the lowest number of properties entering these markets for that month since the onset of the financial crisis. Indeed, the data shows that the number of properties coming on to the market in Greater London, the East of England and the South East is down by 74%, 74% and 67% respectively vs. September 2007. However, home prices in the northern regions continue to stagnate. Annualised price changes for the North East, North West and Yorkshire of just 0.0%, 0.8% and 1.3% respectively indicate that the long awaited market recovery is still not apparent, according to Shephard. The Welsh property market also shows a distinct lack of vigour. Home prices there have risen by a mere 1.9% over the last year, a long way behind the mix-adjusted average price rise for England and Wales of 6.9%. Overall, the current mix-adjusted average asking price for England and Wales is now 20% higher than it was in September 2008. ‘We expect further upward pressure on this headline figure to be applied by London and its surrounding regions,’ said Shephard. The index also shows that the South East has been the fastest moving property market in the UK since February with the typical time on market for unsold property just 63 days, the same as it was towards the end of the last property boom in December 2007. This is much less than the national median of 96 days and the typical time on market in the North East of 136 days. In December 2007, the typical time on market in the North East was just 93 days. Continue reading
Irish property prices continue to see sustained growth
Property prices in Ireland increased nationwide by 2.3% in August and are up 9.5% compared to a year ago, the latest official data shows. In Dublin property prices rose by 2.8% in August and were 8.2% higher than in August 2014. A breakdown shows that house prices are rising faster than apartments at 3% and 0.3% respectively. However, the index report from the Central Statistics Office says that it should be noted that the sub-indices for apartments are based on low volumes of observed transactions and consequently suffer from greater volatility than other series. In the rest of Ireland, excluding Dublin, prices rose by 1.9% in August and were up 10.8% compared with August 2014. This means that at a national level residential property prices were 35.4% lower than their peak level in 2007 and excluding Dublin residential prices were 38.7% lower than their highest level in 2007. In Dublin house prices were 34.4% lower than the peak, apartment prices 40.4% lower and Dublin residential property prices overall 36.2% lower than their highest level. However, there are concerns that house prices are growing too fast. The Irish economy grew by a Eurozone record of 7.2% in the second quarter and according to the Organisation for Economic Development and Coordination (OECD) is set to grow by 5% overall in 2015 and 4% in 2016. But the OECD is concerned that rapidly rising house prices still pose one of the biggest risks to financial stability and an uncontrolled property boom would ‘increase vulnerabilities, especially if it were associated with further indebtedness’. Its latest review says that such strong price rises may again spark a reinforcing spiral of higher property prices and credit leading to another misalignment of property prices and eventual burst that causes large losses in the banking sector. ‘To avoid repeating past mistakes, now is the time to build resilience against future nasty surprises while ensuring the recovery is sustained, and its benefits broadly shared,’ said Angel Gurría, secretary general of the OECD. The OECD suggested that the Irish government should take measures to cool the market, such as avoiding subsiding first time buyers and encouraging growth in the rental market. Continue reading
