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Christchurch housing market well on way to recovery following earthquakes five years ago
Five years after earthquakes devastate the New Zealand city of Christchurch it has been announced that housing is now on track for a full recovery. Housing has been one of the most complex and challenging problems in the aftermath of the disasters that struck in 2010, according to housing officials and ministers but they added that the Government’s wide ranging support as ensured the city’s housing market is nearing recovery five years. ‘The Government has taken a step by step approach and officials project that by June 2017, the Christchurch housing market will be fully recovered with supply and demand back in balance,’ said Building and Housing Minister Nick Smith. The Government’s housing initiatives in Christchurch since the earthquakes include the Establishment of the Canterbury Earthquake Temporary Accommodation Service (CETAS), which has helped nearly 6500 households find temporary accommodation. Temporary accommodation financial assistance of over $55 million was provided to over 3,200 households and the Residential Advisory Service has helped over 3,288 residential property owners progress their repair, rebuild, and resettlement process. Over 1,000 were put in temporary accommodation, some 27,000 emergency repairs carried out on Housing New Zealand homes, and some $31 million in grants provided for social and affordable housing in Canterbury. ‘As some of the most vulnerable residents, social housing tenants were particularly hard hit by the earthquakes. Housing New Zealand’s effort fixing its houses was staggering, spending $350 million repairing over 5,100 properties,’ said Social Housing Minister Paula Bennett. Smith said that the strongest evidence of the successful recovery of Christchurch’s housing market is the latest data on rents and house prices. House prices rose by up to 13% per year following the earthquakes but grew last year by 2.7% and are now back below the national average. Rents were growing at up to 16% per year following the earthquakes but have been declining since October 2014 and in the past year, have dropped by 6%. ‘Housing was one of the biggest post-quake challenges facing Christchurch, but a concerted effort by the community, building sector, council and Government has enabled us to recover as quickly as practically possible,’ he explained. ‘With the completion of projects in the pipeline, Christchurch will have, by 2017, the safest and warmest stock of private, state and community housing in the country,’ he added. Continue reading
Prime property sales rise in Italy with prices up in areas popular with overseas buyers
The prime residential property market in Italy has turned a corner with viewings and sales increasing in 2015, new research shows. The weak euro and a growing realisation that prices are at, or close to, their floor has boosted buyer confidence, according to a new analysis from international real estate firm Knight Frank. Across key second home destinations price performance has converged with annual growth ranging from 2.1% in Venice) to a fall of 3% in Sardinia in 2015. The report says that market confidence is strengthening and residential sales increased by 7% in 2015 and the outlook is helped by the fact that Italy’s consumer confidence index is up 39% since its low in 2012. In 2015 the number of enquiries from buyers looking for an Italian property jumped 57% year on year and Tuscany continues to generate the most interest but Liguria and the Italian Lakes from Como to Maggiore are increasingly on buyers’ radar. The report also points out that in the last two years, the Euro has slipped from 0.83 to 0.73 against the pound and from 1.38 to 1.09 against the dollar providing British and US buyers with a strong buying incentive in Italy. A breakdown of the figures shows that in Venice prime property prices increased by 2.1% in 2015 and Dutch, Italian and French buyers are most numerous there, preferring waterside apartments. In Florence, another popular destination for overseas buyers, prices increased by 2% last year and the bulk of buyers are from the UK, Belgium and Canada while prices are also up, by 1.5%, in Liguria which is popular with buyers from Italy, Switzerland and Sweden. Prices increased by 0.2% in the Italian Lakes where all types of properties are sought after by buyers from Italy, the UK and Russia. Prices also increased by 0.3% in Rome with buyers from Italy, Germany and Russia. Elsewhere in places popular with overseas buyers prices fell in 2015, led by a decline of 3% in Sardinia with most buyers coming from Germany, Italy and the UK. They fell by 2% in Umbria which is popular with buyers from the United States, Germany and the UK. Prices fell by 1.9% in Milan where buyers from Italy, China and Egypt opt for apartments. Prices also fell by 1% in Tuscany with buyers from the UK, Germany and the Netherlands also looking for rustic renovations projects as well as apartments and houses. Looking ahead the firm expects prices to stay level. ‘We don’t see immediate rises or substantial drops on the horizon. What we are seeing is a return to the long term trusted locations,’ said Rupert Fawcett, head of Knight Frank’s Italian Department. He explained that at the market’s peak, buyers looked to regions such as Le Marche, and Abruzzo for greater value for money. With prices having dropped across the board since 2009 and now resting at about 30% below their peak, Chianti is back in favour, along with Lucca and… Continue reading
Maligned banking practice could help rebalance UK mortgage market, study suggests
Securitisation, where investors buy pools of debt from banks as secured assets, has enabled mortgage lenders in the UK to offer an increased number of lower risk, long term fixed rate mortgages, it is claimed. Securitisation was originally intended to free up funding for banks, allowing them to sell packages of mortgage loans and lend out the proceeds to more customers. Those loans could then be sold on, and the cycle could start again. The process was also intended to reduce risks for banks by spreading the ownership of mortgages and other loans among other investors but it came under scrutiny during the global economic downturn and used less frequently as a result. However, a new study of long term market trends by Dr Alla Koblyakova and Professor Michael White, of Nottingham Trent University’s Real Estate Economics and Investment Research Group, has found that 78% of mortgages sold as securities over a nine year period were held in longer term fixed rate contracts. ‘This is an important finding as it shows that securitisation not only increases liquidity in the market but has the potential to shift consumer mortgage choices toward long-term fixed rate mortgage debt,’ said Koblyakova. ‘In a market like the United Kingdom’s, where around 80% of residential mortgage debt is held in higher risk variable rate or short term fixed rate contracts, this is a very welcome finding,’ he claimed. ‘A high level of variable debt is seen as a source of economic instability. Policymakers may wish, therefore, to consider the potentially beneficial role that securitisation can play in helping balance the UK mortgage market,’ he added. According to the study variable rate and short term fixed rate mortgages are more risky for borrowers as they leave them more vulnerable to financial shocks, such as interest rate increases. By contrast, longer term fixed rate deals protect borrowers from such increases, but leave lenders more exposed to these risks. Koblyakova believes lenders may be more inclined to offer longer term fixed rate mortgages to borrowers when these mortgages are sold on as securities because this reduces the lenders’ exposure to risk. The study also found that variable rate mortgages were more profitable for lenders than long term fixed rate mortgages by as much as 1.6%. For every 1% of profit a mortgage lender makes from a variable rate mortgage, the market share of variable rate mortgages increases by 18%. This is despite the data also suggesting that consumers prefer to take out longer term fixed rate products. ‘According to this data, larger profit margins for variable rate mortgage products positively influences demand. These findings are very important, and should stand as a call for action for policymakers, as they show that UK households may be faced with greater payment shocks because of the strategies of lenders,’ Koblyakova concluded. White pointed out that the regulation… Continue reading
