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UK private rented sector sees fewer serious arrears and landlords finances healthy
Tenants in the UK private rented sector are now less likely to suffer from a serious build-up of arrears with just 1.6% of tenancies in this position, the latest research shows. The number who had moved out of series rent arrears improved by 1.5% in the final quarter of 2015 compared to the previous quarter, according to the latest Tenant Arrears Tracker by estate agency chains Your Move and Reeds Rains. This reverses some of a deteriorating trend throughout the earlier parts of 2015. There were 82,900 households behind on more than two months’ rent, down from 84,200 in the third quarter of 2015. However, the latest quarterly improvement still represents a worsening on an annual basis. The number of tenants in serious rent arrears remains 19.5% higher than in the final quarter of 2014. But as a proportion of the entire market, the latest total still represents just 1.6% of tenancies across the UK private rented sector. This compares to a peak proportion of 2.9% of tenants in the first quarter of 2008. The absolute number of tenants in serious arrears is also mild on a historical basis, considerably below the record 116,600 such cases seen in the third quarter of 2012. According to Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Your Move and Reeds Rains, an individual tenant is still extremely unlikely to fall into serious rent arrears. ‘In fact the proportion of renters getting seriously behind on payments has dropped considerably over the longer term. But absolute numbers are now going the right way too. With fewer people at risk from more serious consequences of struggling to pay the rent, this is great news,’ he said. The tracker also shows that eviction rates have dropped in response to healthier tenant finances. In the final quarter of 2015 there were a total of 26,676 court orders issued for the eviction of tenants, on a seasonally adjusted basis. This is down marginally by 0.4% compared to the previous quarter when seasonally adjusted eviction orders stood at 26,775. On an annual basis, downward progress for evictions is more considerable, with 5.3% fewer evictions than 28,167 a year before in the fourth quarter of 2014. The latest figures for evictions represent 32% of the stock of tenants in severe arrears in the fourth quarter, meaning only around one in three such cases translate into evictions each quarter. Landlord finances are the healthiest on record, it also shows. Cases of landlords falling behind on their own financial commitments are diminishing. In the final three months of 2015 there were 5,500 examples of buy to let mortgage arrears, down by 3.5% from 5,700 in the previous quarter and a resumption of downward progress after the figure previously remained the same between the second and third quarter of 2015. On an annual basis, progress for landlords’ finances has been… Continue reading
Property sales in Scotland up 4% in 2015, down from 11% the previous year
Residential sales in Scotland increased by 4% in 2015, well below the 11% recorded in the previous year, a new analysis report points out. Tougher mortgage lending conditions during the first half of 2015 impacted the recovery of Scotland’s housing market, according to the report from real estate services firm Savills. However, the market adjusted during the second half of 2015 due to a recovery in mortgage lending for house purchases across Scotland, which increased by 9% from 59,500 in 2014 to 64,800 in 2015. On a Local Authority level, East Renfrewshire witnessed the strongest annual growth in the number of transactions during 2015 at 13% which the report says was boosted by the good schools effect. Other star performers include Glasgow City, West Dunbartonshire and West Lothian, where annual transactional growth in 2015 was higher than Scotland as a whole. Considering 2015 as a whole, prime sales, transactions at £400,000 and above, outperformed the overall market, with an 8% annual increase and much of this activity took place prior to the introduction of LBTT which brought higher rates of taxation to the prime market. Furthermore, the number of transactions at £1 million and above reached its highest level since 2008. Prime markets in suburban and commuter areas across Scotland’s Central Belt performed strongly during 2015, with growth spreading out from core urban hotspots. ‘This upturn in demand is driving an improving development land market. Sentiment for development land in Scotland’s cities remains positive,’ said Faisal Choudhry, director of Savills Scottish Research. With strong annual growth in the Savills Residential Development Land Index, particularly for greenfield land around Edinburgh, Perth and Stirling. The overall Savills index for greenfield land in Scotland increased year on year by 9.6% during December 2015 compared with December 2014. Choudhry explained that the development market has been further supported by Government incentives, such as the Help to Buy Mortgage Guarantee and new build schemes, which made up 8% of all residential activity in Scotland between October 2013 and September 2015. The recently announced extension of Help to Buy (Scotland) scheme to 2019 is expected to further support Scotland’s new home sales. The overall Savills index for urban land in Scotland increased year on year by 20.4% during December 2015 compared with December 2014.The increase in values, particularly in Edinburgh and Glasgow, reflects a rise in demand from housebuilders and developers, due to an improved economy, stronger markets and increased viability, Choudhry pointed out. However, he also pointed out that the fall in sentiment within the Aberdeen development land market, due to the continued low oil price and uncertainty over the future of the industry, has impacted negatively on the overall Scottish development land index. Continue reading
House price growth slows in Auckland
Residential house price growth in Auckland, New Zealand, slowed in the second half of 2015 but are still higher than where they were at the same time last year. The latest data show that average price at $822,024 in February was up 1.3% on the average price for January and up 10% year on year while the median price at $738,000 was down 2.9% on January but up 7.5% on last February. ‘While prices are down from their record highs, based on past trends, prices in coming months are most likely to build modestly,’ said Peter Thompson, managing director of agents Barfoot & Thompson. ‘This trend has occurred over the past nine years where Auckland house prices have followed a cycle of falling in the first quarter of the year and then rising from autumn on. We have now had two months of trading where prices have been higher than they were in their equivalent months last year, and in the past that has meant prices have risen throughout the year,’ he explained. He added that the most significant figures in February’s data were that sales numbers stalled and new listings doubled while the number of properties sold at 698 was the lowest in any month for three years. ‘The reason was that at the start of February the number of properties on the market was at its lowest number for 20 years, and buyers had limited choice. However, as the month progressed more properties were listed, and we finished the month with 2,060 new listings, the highest number in the past six months. There are currently an extremely high number of properties in the pipeline for settlement in March and April,’ Thompson pointed out. ‘At month end, we had 3,318 properties on our books, the highest since March last year, and we anticipate an extremely busy period through autumn. Another factor that affects the average and median sales price in the early part of the year, is the summer break results in a relatively low number of sales in the $1 million plus price category,’ he added. The data shows that throughout last year, on average, some 332 properties a month were sold in the $1 million plus price category, but in February the sales in this price category was just 187. Sales of properties for under $500,000 in February made up 20.6% of all sales, whereas throughout last year they averaged 14.9% of sales. Meanwhile, the latest data from Statistics New Zealand show that building activity reached a record high in the last quarter of 2015, with an increase from the previous quarter in Auckland but a decrease in Canterbury. The total volume of building work rose 2.5% from the previous quarter, with rises of 2.8% for residential buildings and 2.3% for non-residential buildings. ‘This is the most building activity we’ve seen since the series began 26 years ago, with total activity slightly higher than the previous record,’ said Statistics New Zealand… Continue reading
