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UK surveyors report a resurgence in remortgage activity
November saw a resurgence in remortgaging activity even as the rest of UK housing market cooled, according to the latest research from Connells Survey and Valuation. Remortgaging was the most robust sector of the housing market and performed well both on a monthly and annual basis. The total number of remortgaging valuations conducted in November increased by 10% compared to October, and by 3% compared to November last year. ‘Remortgaging is defying the rest of the market. With the base rate set to remain low well into 2015, it is clear that this is driving demand,’ said John Bagshaw, corporate services director of Connells Survey & Valuation. ‘Lenders continue to offer even more competitive mortgage rates, while many households are using this opportunity to remortgage and reduce their monthly payments,’ he added. By contrast, the total number of valuations for all purposes fell 5% on an annual basis. This is a considerable improvement from a steeper drop of 10% over the 12 months to October 2014. On a monthly basis property valuations remained static since October. According to the firm November saw a marked shift in sentiment with more lenders and borrowers opting for a tone of caution. ‘Regulatory changes continue to impact other sectors of the market, especially first time buyers with restrictions on lending. On the other hand, the low base rate has powered demand for remortgaging, and to a lesser extent, buy to let,’ explained Bagshaw. ‘While this year the total number of valuations fell by 5% compared to last year, this annual figure compares favourably with historic data and exceeds the number of valuations recorded in November 2012, 2011 and 2010. With so many variables in play it remains to be seen whether this points to a cooling market in 2015 or if this is part of the usual festive seasonal trend,’ he pointed out. Buy to let also performed well compared with the rest of the market. On a monthly basis, the number of buy to let valuations dipped 5% since October and by 1% compared to the previous November. The sector is supported by an array of low LTV products and lenders have become more focused on low risk borrowers, such as landlords who typically have lower LTVs and multiple streams of income, according to the firm. As a proportion, first time buyer valuations now make up under a third of total activity at 28%. In terms of numbers this area of the market was down the most on an annual basis with a fall of 11% and also dipped 7% compared to the previous month. The number of valuations for owner occupiers moving home saw the second fastest annual fall, down 9% compared to November last year. However, on a month on month basis this sector of the market saw no change. ‘Recent policy changes such as loan… Continue reading
City apartments set to remain popular buys in Australia in 2015
Investor appetite for city apartments in Sydney and Melbourne will remain strong in 2015, as low interest rates attract first home buyers and investors, according to a new analysis. The outlook for interest rates is mixed but headline indicators such as unemployment, construction activity and GDP point to a period of weaker overall economic growth which will result in interest rates remaining steady in the short to medium term, says the latest property outlook report from Colliers International. ‘This is good news for the residential sector and points to continuing demand side momentum. The low interest rate environment is a key driver of residential activity in the current market, and we anticipate it will provide supportive conditions for strong investment activity in 2015,’ it explains. It predicts that Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane residential markets will have the strongest residential growth, as weaker economic conditions in Western Australia will lead to a slowdown in development and investment activity in 2015. It also points out that developments in central locations with close proximity to public transport, work and retail amenities will be in higher demand. Consequently, this demand will see the number of apartment developments grow in Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane throughout 2015. The Melbourne and Sydney CBDs have been the strongest performing markets, with the volume of apartments under construction in the next five years to reach and 18,000 and 6,000 respectively, buoyed by strong offshore demand, and a rapidly rising inner city population, a trend we anticipate will continue in 2015. Next year is set to see Australian property experience a continued increase in investment volumes, improved tenant demand and structural change across various sectors. The analysis also suggests there are two key themes for the year ahead that will see technology continue to change the property industry and investors continue to diversify from core assets to other markets and sectors. According to John Kenny, chief executive of Colliers International Australia and New Zealand, 2014 was the year that investment in property continued to accelerate, New South Wales returned as a growth economy and the market saw signs that leasing demand was on the return. ‘Ownership of Australian property continued to become concentrated amongst fewer owners. Strong flows of capital continued to enter the Australian property market both from offshore and overseas,’ he said. He pointed out that by the middle of November transaction volumes were well up on 2013 levels and although total volumes are still some way off the 2007 peak, some sectors such as the national industrial market and the Melbourne CBD office market have now exceeded volumes in that year. ‘The majority of sales are now to Australian investors. This is not surprising given that Australian investors are now recognised as the most confident in the world, according to our most recent Global Investor Sentiment Survey,’ he added. Offshore investors also continued to enter the market with new groups emerging, particularly from… Continue reading
Intermediaries remain the most popular choice for buy to let investors
UK landlords sourcing buy to let finance from intermediaries has increased as they regard it as the best way to secure a good deal, new research suggests. There has been a 6% increase in landlords who prefer get property finance from intermediaries and large scale landlords more likely to make exclusive use of intermediaries, according to the latest report from specialist buy to let firm Paragon Mortgages. The Private Rented Sector Trends survey, which has been tracking landlord confidence and views on the buy to let market for 20 years, also shows that 60% of landlords agree intermediaries are valuable in finding the best buy to let deals. More than a third, 36%, of landlords in the fourth quarter of the year preferred to source buy to let finance exclusively via intermediaries, a 6% increase over the past three months, up from 30% of landlords in the third quarter. In comparison, 23% of landlords in the last quarter of 2014 preferred to source buy to let finance directly from lenders, and 23% sourced through a mix of intermediaries and lenders, which reduced from 28% in the third quarter. Large scale landlords, those with five or more properties, were more likely to prefer to source all their buy to let finance via intermediaries at 40% compared with 23% of small scale landlords. Small scale landlords on the other hand were almost twice as likely to source buy to let finance directly through a lender at 35% compared with 19% of large scale landlords. Some 60% of landlords agreed that intermediaries provide a valuable service in finding the best buy to let deals, in comparison with only 6% who disagreed. Additionally, 42% of landlords surveyed said that sourcing directly though a lender is only suitable for the simpler buy to let propositions. ‘Although the market has seen strong growth this year, many landlords remain cautious, particularly in view of interest rate expectations, the weaker conditions that we have seen in the housing market and the disruption we are likely to see around the general election in 2015,’ said John Heron, managing director of Paragon Mortgages. ‘When combined with the positive benefits that professional mortgage advice can bring, it is no surprise to see landlords turning more to the intermediary sector in less certain times,’ he pointed out. ‘Landlords, especially those newer to the market, recognise the benefits of using a trusted, experienced and knowledgeable broker to help source their finance. Brokers have always been key to the buy to let mortgage market and will continue to be, going by this research, for as far ahead as we can see,’ he added. Continue reading
