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Scottish country house prices moderate in first quarter of 2015
Prime country house prices in Scotland rose by 0.2% between January and March, a slightly more modest increase than the 1% growth seen in the final quarter of 2014, the latest data shows. Annual growth also slowed, to 1.2%. This compares to average growth of 2.1% in 2014, according to the latest index report from Knight Frank. Average prices remain 22% below the market peak in 2007 so a property valued at £1 million in 2007 would now be worth £780,000. However, there are regional variations in price growth across the prime market. Edinburgh leads from the front with a year on year price rise of 4.1%, followed by Central and Northern Scotland. However, while price growth at the top end of the market has slowed in the approach to the UK General Election, prime sales volumes in the first quarter of 2015 have increased. The firm says this can be attributed to the introduction of the new Land and Building Transaction Tax (LBTT) this month as both buyers and vendors in the prime market have looked to complete deals ahead of the introduction of the new levy. Under the new rules, 50% of buyers will not be liable to pay any tax on the purchase of a home. However, for homes valued above £333,000 the up-front cost of moving will increase. Knight Frank sales data shows the number of prime country homes changing hands between January and March, ahead of the implementation of the new levy, was 11% higher than during the first three months of 2014. The report suggests that the introduction of LBTT is likely to have a knock-on impact on sales at the top end of the market in the second quarter of the year. ‘However, we expect that in the medium term the market will adjust to the new system, underpinned by current favourable economic conditions,’ said Ran Morgan, head of Scottish residential sales. ‘In spite of higher levels of property tax, Scottish property continues to offer good value, especially when compared with London and southern England,’ he added. The data also shows that more than half of buyers in this property sector are from outside of Scotland. ‘Over the last year 57% of our buyers were from outside of Scotland, highlighting the global appeal of the country. This trend has continued in 2015, with individuals from Hong Kong, the United Arab Emirates and London all purchasing properties during the first three months of the year,’ explained Morgan. A breakdown of the figures shows that 31% were from other parts of the UK, on top of that 12% were from London, 5% were from the Middle East and 5% from Asia. Some 2% were from Europe and 2% from North America. Continue reading
Improved economy and political stability boost Cairo property markets
All sectors of the Cairo real estate market have witnessed a positive performance and improved sentiment during the first three months of 2015 due to stronger confidence and investment appetite created by increased economic and political stability. A new analysis from international real estate firm JLL says that this confidence is most clearly illustrated by the recent announcement of the mega real estate project Cairo Capital which will serve as an extension for New Cairo and will draw the centre of gravity further to the East of the existing city. The report shows that residential sale prices have continued to increase across Cairo in the first quarter of the year with office rents increasing in New Cairo and retail rents edging further upwards over the past quarter. The hotel sector has also recorded improved performance with tourist numbers and hotel occupancy rates improving. The performance of both the tourism sector and other parts of the real estate market are expected to continue to benefit from increased levels of foreign investment into Egypt, committed at the recent Economic Summit in Sharma El Sheikh in March 2015. The report points out that Cairo’s residential market continues to recover with improved sales figures as a result of the recovering economic and political sentiment. Apartment and villa sale prices increased during 2015 across all the areas monitored by JLL as many residential developments have few units left and have increased prices accordingly. Performance in the rental sector remains more mixed, with some properties experiencing an increase while others are experiencing a reduction due to the unstructured nature of the rentals market in Egypt. An extra 31,000 units are planned to be delivered during 2015 of which 11,000 are in New Cairo and 19,000 are in the 6th of October. ‘The positive economic outlook arising from the Economic Summit is expected to result in additional investment in the residential sector, strengthening the market further in 2015,’ the report says. During the first quarter of the year some 250 units were completed in Al Rehab City, New Cairo, in addition to 640 units in the Zayed complex, increasing the current supply to around 106,000 units. A further 31 residential developments are expected to complete in the rest of 2015 ten of which will be in the second quarter, adding an extra 30,000 units to the current supply. The report points out that the Palm Hills Development is notable, with five of their developments planned to be delivered in the second quarter alone. ‘Despite this additional supply, the positive sentiment is expected to result in increased selling prices over the coming year,’ it adds. Cairo’s office market witnessed a slight improvement during the first quarter of 2015 as rental rates increased significantly in New Cairo due to relatively higher demand. Rental rates in Central Cairo and West Cairo remained unchanged. The major completion in the first quarter of2015 was Park Avenue located on the Cairo… Continue reading
Home lending falls in UK month on month and year on year, latest CML data shows
Lending to home owners in the UK fell in February compared to the previous month and compared to February 2014, the latest data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders shows. The number of loans advanced totalled 40,600, down 1% on January and 16% compared to the same month in 2014. These loans totalled £6.8 billion, which was down 3% on January and 13% on February last year. Lending to first time buyers was down 1% month on month and 16% compared to February 2014 with just 18,700 totalling £2.7 billion, which was down 4% on January and 13% down on February last year. Home movers were advanced 21,900 loans, a decline of 2% compared to January and 16% down year on year. These loans totalled in value £4.1 billion, 2% down on January and 13% down compared to February 2014. Remortgage lending also decreased month on month with 21,500 loans advanced, down 16% on January and 14% down on February 2014. The value of these loans at £3.3 billion also decreased month on month by 20% and was down 11% year on year compared to February 2014. Even the buy to let sector, considered to be buoyant at present declined. There were 15,900 buy to let loans in February, down 13% on the previous month but up 11% on the same period in 2014. These loans came to £2.2 billion in value, down 12% compared to January but up 16% on February 2014. Paul Smee, director general of the CML, blamed seasonal factors for dampening house purchase lending activity in February but admitted the general election could be making people wait and see. ‘This typical seasonal trend may also be exacerbated by uncertainty ahead of the general election, but we still expect to see an upturn in the spring and summer months. Buy to let, in contrast, has shown year in year lending increases, due almost completely to remortgaging which is typically strong in the buy to let market. Karen Bennett, sales and marketing director of commercial mortgages at Shawbrook Bank agreed that there could be a general election effect with the forthcoming poll creating a feeling of uncertainty combined with the continued impact of tighter lending criteria on owner occupiers. ‘As part of this, we are seeing the more specialist buy to let market stabilising, with less rapid, but still robust, growth than in previous years. As professional investors continue to expand their portfolios and add value by refurbishing or renovating, the signs are there for a continuing strong mortgage market. In order to ensure market sustainability, brokers should always encourage responsible borrowing by clients,’ she added. Continue reading
