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Scottish house prices rise twice as fast as in England and Wales

House prices in Scotland have increased by 11.2% in the last 12 months, twice as fast as the 5.6% seen in England and Wales, the latest index shows. In March alone average property prices in Scotland increased by 5.4% or £9,200 ahead of the new Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT) being introduced in April, taking the average price of a home to £178,930. At the same time completes sales increased 29%, mainly at the top end of the market where the new tax is higher. Indeed, some 36 homes worth £1 million or more were sold, the highest number ever in a single month. Edinburgh and the surrounding area saw an especially strong surged, with East Lothian prices up 11.8% in one month, the Your Move/Acadata index also shows. ‘In what would have been an unimaginable trend just a year ago, house prices are now rising faster in Scotland than in London,’ said Christine Campbell, regional managing director of Your Move. She pointed out that part of the surge was due to a short term scramble to avoid the new LBTT which was introduced on 01 April. ‘For the top of the market especially, a pre-deadline rush has boosted the average price paid in March, so the latest surge in prices is unlikely to be sustained to quite the same extent in April under the new regime,’ she explained. But she also pointed out that even before the one-off effect of looming tax changes, Scottish house prices were rising on an annual basis by 6% in February, already on a par with 6.8% south of the border. As prices cool across the rest of Britain, Scotland has seen the opposite trend, with prices accelerating upwards. ‘Once the new tax regime has become an established feature of the property market, the effects could be different again. On the face of things, there are clear benefits for those buying a home for less than £254,000 as they will have to pay less tax than under the old system,’ said Campbell. ‘But it remains to be seen if this will be quickly countered by higher prices for these properties, as buyers with a little more buying capacity just bid up the average price for these homes. On the other hand, by far the clearest effect is already for the top of the market. There were a record number of million pound transactions in March as wealthy buyers rush to save thousands before the onset of the new law,’ she explained. Continue reading

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Number of UK tenants in arrears rises but still a small proportion overall

Progress for UK residential tenants significantly behind on rent halted in the first quarter of the year with those in arrears up 4% since a year ago. In the first three months of 2015 there were now 70,900 tenants facing more than two months of unpaid rent, some 1,500 more households than in the previous quarter, when 69,400 tenants were over two months behind on rent, or a quarterly increase of 2.2%. Since the same point last year the number of tenancies in such a position has grown by 4%, with 2,700 additional households falling into this most serious category of late rent, according to the latest tenant arrears tracker by estate agency chains Your Move and Reeds Rains, part of LSL Property Services. This setback represents a levelling off in the number of tenants in the most dire financial situation. Compared to the worst peak of serious rent arrears in third quarter of 2012, when 116,600 households faced more than two months in late rent, this has moderated significantly, to the tune of 45,700 fewer such cases in the first quarter of 2015. However, the report points out that progress has now been incremental or even backwards for over 18 months with the fourth quarter of 2013 still the best calendar quarter on record, when just 63,500 struggled with serious rent arrears. Despite a lack of progress since the end of 2013, the chance of a given tenant falling so far behind on rent is extremely low. As a proportion of all tenants, just 1.4% owed more than two months’ rent in the first quarter of 2015, the same as in the fourth quarter of 2014. This compares to 2.9% in the first quarter of 2008 even before the worst of the financial crisis and recession. A setback for the most severe cases of rent arrears comes despite a more encouraging trend among those who fall more incrementally behind on payments. As of March 2015, 7.4% of rent is now in arrears of any length, down from 7.6% in February 2015 and down from 7.8% of all rent late a year before in March 2014. As with severe arrears, rent arrears of all lengths remain considerably lower than in previous years, since peaking at 14.6% in February 2010. ‘Tenants are now far less likely to be out of work than at this point last year but many tenants are still struggling to keep up with household expenses in the face of extremely modest wages. There are some signs on the horizon this will improve, but in the meantime a small but significant minority of households are facing a real challenge to find the rent every month,’ said Adrian Gill, director of estate agents Your Move and Reeds Rains. ‘Other factors are at play too. There are also more cases of severe arrears, in absolute terms, because there are more people renting their home overall. The chance of a… Continue reading

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Research finds UK first time buyers support Help to Buy schemes

The housing policies from the Conservative Party seem to be most in-tune with the needs of first time buyers in the UK, particularly Help to Buy according to new research. In particular getting empty homes back in to the market has strong support but this was planned by the Liberal Democrats who are no longer in coalition with the Conservatives, says the Halifax Generation Rent report that provides ongoing insight into the attitudes and behaviour of young people towards home ownership. However, while five of the top nine policies were from the Conservative party, the top rated policy was put forward by the Liberal Democrats. The Liberal Democrat policy proposed increasing supply by giving greater powers to local authorities to tackle empty homes in the form of renovation and subsequent return of the property to the rental or sales markets. Increasing the supply of housing was the overall mandate given to the incoming Government by Generation Rent participants. All pledges to build more homes and to either reserve a proportion of these homes or offer them all to first time buyers were welcomed by the majority of respondents. Other popular policies included the Conservative proposals to launch a new Rent to Buy scheme and a new Right to Buy scheme. As a demand side policy the new Right to Buy scheme has received a mixed reception to date, but 54% of the young people surveyed in the Generation Rent Report thought it would be of benefit to getting more people on the housing ladder. ‘Housing was a major issue during the general election campaign and political parties of all hues acknowledged that more needs to be done to help first time buyers. However, this now needs to translate into concrete plans during the next Parliament,’ said Craig McKinlay, mortgages director at the Halifax. He pointed out that by taking the most beneficial cross party policy positions according to 20 to 45 year olds, the Generation Rent report has created the ‘ideal’ policy package. ‘Earlier this year the independent Commission on Housing identified that we need to deliver at least 2 million homes by 2025 to meet demand. Getting empty homes back on the market and tackling the shortfall in housebuilding needs to be a political priority and requires a long-term commitment if it’s to address the shortage of supply,’ he added. In the first two years of the Help to Buy Equity Loan Scheme to 31 March 2015 some 47,018 properties were bought with an equity loan. Taking this into account the report found 53% of 20 to 45 year olds think the current Help to Buy schemes have had a positive impact, compared with 8% who think it has had a negative effect, and 39% who don’t know or are undecided. As such , the Conservative party proposal to extend the Help to Buy Equity Loan scheme for new build homes until at least 2020 was popular among first time buyers with 56% expressing… Continue reading

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