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Gap between house prices in London and major UK cities widens
The gap between house prices in London and other major regional cities in the UK is at its widest for 20 years, according to the latest house price index. Prices in London experienced 4.6% growth in the three months to August and a 10% increase in the last 12 months, according to the cities house price index from Hometrack Overall city level house price inflation is running at 8.3% up from 6.6% in May. A similar expansion has been recorded in sales volumes which has translated into higher prices across UK cities, the report says. The highest rate of growth is in Cambridge at 11.2% and lowest in Aberdeen where prices have fallen by 2% due to the weakness in the oil price affecting the demand for housing. Compared to a year ago house price inflation has increased in five cities led by Edinburgh and Glasgow where growth is running at 9% and 5.3% respectively ‘City level house prices continue to increase as demand for housing grows in the face of constrained supply,’ said Richard Donnell, director of research at Hometrack. ‘A changing mix of buyers is compounding the scarcity of housing for sale with rising numbers of first time buyers and investors buying property while having nothing to sell. Only a recovery in the number of moves amongst existing home owners or an increase in new supply will ease the current housing scarcity which seems unlikely in the near term,’ he pointed out. ‘The gap between house prices in London and other major regional cities is at its widest level for 20 years. This highlights a seemingly over valued London market, on a price/earnings basis, and the prospect of further price growth to come in the large regional UK cities,’ explained Donnell. ‘London’s price earnings ratio is at an all-time high while there remains value in most other regional cities. The pricing differential to London could well assist city regions attract new investment as the cost of housing starts to influence decision making for both households and businesses,’ he added. Continue reading
Spain is top target for commercial real estate investors in Europe, new poll shows
Active commercial real estate investors see Spain as the top investment target in Europe for next year as values are still below peak, new research suggests. This is a sign of the Spanish commercial market’s recovery, with Germany following close and Germany is next on the list, according to a poll of investors carried out by international real estate firm Knight Frank. ‘The fundamental rationale behind investing in Spain is even stronger than this time last year. Prime CBD office rents have risen by 20% over the past 12 months, but remain nearly 40% below the 2008 peak, and both footfall and sales have been increasing in dominant shopping centres for six consecutive quarters,’ said Humphrey White, head of Capital Markets at Knight Frank Spain. At the same time some 25.4% chose Germany as their preferred target and Knight Frank says that the results mirror the buoyant investment activity seen in the country, with a total of €30 billion invested in property during the first half of 2015, an increase of 35% compared to the first half of 2014. According to Joachim von Radecke, head of German Desk at Knight Frank in London, the increase is driven by the rising flow of foreign capital into the country and the 50% increase of domestic investor activity. ‘Foreign investors’ share of the German market continues to grow, and now accounted for almost 60% of all transactions in the first half of 2015. We saw the usual trend towards the big five markets of Berlin, Frankfurt, Munich, Hamburg and Düsseldorf, with 78% of total office transactions recorded in these cities,’ he added. The UK also featured strongly in this year’s poll, attracting 17.4% of the votes, on the back of the continuing recovery which has now extended to the UK regions. ‘The UK is well ahead of the rest of Europe in terms of the property cycle and has already seen significant yield compression,’ said Chris Bell, managing director of Europe at Knight Frank. ‘However, it is encouraging that rental growth is beginning to re-emerge more widely across Europe, helped by the strengthening of occupier demand and the steadily falling availability of good quality space exacerbated by the lack of development over the preceding recessionary years,’ he added. Continue reading
RICS backs idea of older home owners downsizing to boost supply crisis
The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors has waded into the debate over housing supply in the UK, saying that measures such as downsizing could help alleviate the current problems. Last week the head of mortgages at the Financial Conduct Authority was criticised for saying that older people should move out of family homes to make way for younger families but RICS appears to also back the idea. In its latest policy review RICS suggest it is one measure that could help the current shortage of supply in the housing market and that more downsizing could release almost three million homes. It also suggests other measures such as the expansion of affordable ownership via planning controls insisting developers offer a percentage of new homes for affordable rent, regulations to oblige second home owners to release their properties for rental, and the creation of Self Invested Personal Pensions which would allow investors to put their money into Build To Let schemes. But it adds that downsizing is considered perhaps the most effective way of improving supply in the market. ‘Britain’s older home owners are understandably reluctant to move out of much loved, but often under occupied family homes,’ said Jeremy Blackburn, head of policy at RICS. ‘Clearly, it’s an emotive issue and one that needs to be treated with sensitivity, but we would like to see central and local government provide older people with the information, practical and financial support they need to downsize if that is their choice,’ he added. He explained that this might include offering a fund to support with moving costs and pointed out that Bristol City council is already piloting a scheme along these lines, and another suggestion is a stamp duty discount for retired people who are downsizing. RICS believes that the most consistent feature of the housing market over the last 18 months has been a shortage of homes on sale with stock levels on surveyors’ books dropping to lows not seen for at least three decades. ‘Almost a third of over 55s have considered downsizing in the last five years yet we know only seven per cent actually did. If we are to get to grips with this country’s housing crisis, we need to look at supply-led measures across government and the wider industry in order to get the market moving,’ Blackburn added. Continue reading




