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House prices in UK cities reach 15 month high
House prices in key UK cities increased by 11.4% in December, a 15 month high due to unseasonal strong market activity, according to the latest index report. Cambridge and London lead growth although sales volumes in these cities are lower over 2015 and the impetus for growth continues to come from regional cities, like Liverpool and Glasgow. Demand is increasing in the face of short supply and while there is some increased interest from buy to let buyers, eight out of 10 sales are still to owner occupiers, the Hometrack index also shows. Cambridge saw the highest annual rate of growth at 14.4% followed by London at 13.8% and then Bristol at 12.8%. All these high growth markets are growing at a broadly similar rate to the levels seen a year ago. The report points out that while residential values may be rising, overall sales volumes across Cambridge and London look on track to be lower over 2015, bucking the national trend of flat volumes, as scarcity of homes for sale and affordability pressures limit overall volumes. It also shows that the falling oil price continues to affect the housing market in Aberdeen. House price growth in the city is down 1.4% compared to a rise of 13.5% and looks set to remain weak over 2016. Newcastle and Sheffield are recording the next lowest growth rates of 3.7%, still higher than average earnings, and in cities where the housing recovery is at a much earlier stage. Overall the impetus for growth continues to come from regional cities where prices are rising off a low base as household confidence improves and home owners utilise record low mortgage rates to access the market. Glasgow and Liverpool have recorded a significant increase in house price growth over the last 12 months in cities where the recovery has been running for just two to three years. A year ago Glasgow price inflation was running at 0.1% but this has risen to 8.5%, similarly Liverpool price growth is up to 5.7% from 1.3% a year ago. A quarter of homes in the 20 cities covered by the index is private rented property and strong private investor demand will explain some of the additional growth in city level house prices relative to the UK rate of growth, the report says. Much has been made of the impact of tax changes for buy to let investors with mortgaged property and the proposed new 3% stamp duty levy from April 2016. Indeed, the latest Bank of England Credit Conditions Survey for the fourth quarter of 2015 points to expected strong demand for mortgages from buy to let landlords in the first three months of 2016. ‘Demand for buying property as an investment is far from dead and 2016 looks set to be a year of consolidation for investors, especially those who are mortgage reliant. A portion of investors are likely to accelerate purchases before April but we should not read… Continue reading
Prices and sales in Scotland expected to keep rising in first quarter of 2016
House prices and sales in Scotland are likely to keep rising in the first quarter of this year following an unusually buoyant December, according to a new report. The latest monthly survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) in Scotland said rising demand from would be buyers and a slight increase in the number of properties coming onto the market led to a rise in newly agreed sales last month. Throughout 2015, surveyors reported almost continual growth in prices and this went on into December, with a net balance of 29 per cent more respondents reporting a rise in house prices. A net balance of 35% of Scottish respondents forecast a rise in transactions in the January to March period, with 24% of surveyors also expecting average prices to increase in this quarter. ‘The Scottish housing market has experienced an unusually buoyant December, with growth in transactions, demand and a small increase in properties coming onto the market,’ said Sarah Speirs, director of RICS Scotland . ‘Despite this growth in new instructions, the chronic shortage of housing supply in Scotland continues to result in rising house prices and rents across the country. To remedy the shortage, Scottish Government policy is, and for a considerable amount of time has been, aimed at supporting demand and, more crucially, the new build market and home ownership,’ she added. RICS has launched its manifesto Shaping Scotland’s Housing Future which aims to inform political parties of the role property plays in driving Scotland’s economic growth ahead of the parliamentary elections in May. It calls on policy makers to recognise the scale of the housing crisis, and elevate housing to the top of their political priorities as well as increasing the supply of housing and taking action to maintain and renew Scotland’s existing housing stock. The report also recommends ta review of tax and incentives around all properties and the creation of a Housing Land Agency, which would work with local authorities and developers identifying land, primarily in areas of market failure, and installing any necessary infrastructure for sites. ‘Adequate housing supply is vital to economic growth and the much coveted stabilising of house prices and rents. It is estimated that between 25,000 and 35,000 homes need to be built, per year, to meet demand adequately. This target covers all tenures, not just affordable housing,’ the report says. ‘An independent agency would work with local authorities and developers by identifying new development sites and installing any necessary infrastructure for sites, primarily in areas of market failure,’ it adds. RICS envisages that land acquired by the agency, through reformed Compulsory Purchase Order (CPO) powers, could be sold to less established participants, such as small and medium enterprises (SMEs), private rented sector (PRS) investors, self-build and co-ownership and thus widening participation and assisting a vibrant SME sector and the wider economy. It also points out that the PRS market in Scotland has been dominated by small scale investments from individual landlords who… Continue reading
Tax figures confirm the December was a buoyant month for UK property market
Figures from the UK’s tax collector confirm other evidence from index reports that the property market continued to be buoyant at the end of last year when it would normally be slowing. Sales increased by 1.9% between November and December 2015 and were up by 11.6% year on year, according to the data from HMRC. Over all there were 108,710 residential and 9,700 non-residential transactions. Residential sales increased by 3.6% month on month and 10.6% year in year. According to Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons, it is clear that December defied the normal seasonal slowdown in the UK property market. ‘After a cautious start, there was a clear key change in sales levels after the conclusion of the general election, and the year closed on a high note and defied the usual seasonal slowdown with December experiencing the largest volume of property sales of any month in 2015, as buyers rushed to complete transactions before Christmas,’ he explained. ‘This steady build-up of activity and buyer confidence is even more impressive when you consider some of the adverse changes the housing market has had to stomach over the past 12 months,’ he pointed out. ‘While the shakeup of stamp duty was indeed welcome for many first time buyers and those purchasing property at the lower bands, it has been harder to digest at the middle and top-end, where the increased levy is particularly onerous,’ said Rollings. ‘With an additional 3% of stamp duty coming into effect for second home owners in April, 2016 may well see the opposite with a growth spurt in the early stages of this year that could then taper off in the short term while the market retunes,’ he added. Continue reading




