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Student property investment in UK hit record high in 2015

Investment volumes in student property in the UK reached a new record at £5.1 billion in 2015, more than doubling the previous year’s figure of £2.41 billion. It also accounted for 7.12% of total UK commercial real estate investment volumes with growth expected to continue due to strong market demands, according to the latest report from property firm Knight Frank. Indeed, Knight Frank predicts that the year-on-year rental growth witnessed in 2015 within student accommodation will continue in 2016, leading to a rental uplift of 3.5% over the year, providing a relatively secure income base for investors. ‘2015 was a bumper year in terms of transaction volumes, and whilst portfolios dominated activity, we expect to see an increase in single asset opportunities throughout 2016,’ said James Pullan, head of student property at Knight Frank. ‘We predict a rise in institutional and international investors looking to invest in a buoyant asset class as pipeline opportunities come to market and investors look to diversify their asset portfolios,’ he pointed out. ‘Despite predictions that the London development pipeline will fall, we anticipate that other UK markets will open up and that there will be a consolidation in the sector,’ he added. The report also explains that this increased momentum within the student property industry demonstrates a broader trend of a substantial shift to the alternative asset classes by investors, with purchasers now viewing specialist sectors as a resilient asset class, delivering longevity and stable income flows. The data from the firm shows that some 18% of all commercial property investment transactions in 2015 were in specialist property and Knight Frank predicts that total investment into these sectors will increase by 10% year on year to reach £14.3 billion by the end of 2016. All four core specialist sectors; hotels, healthcare, student property and automotive, saw volumes exceed their five and ten year averages in 2015. Since 2006 some £46.6 billion has been invested into these sectors, with a record £13 billion invested in 2015 alone. Continue reading

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Mortgage advisors report short term uncertainty over growth of buy to let in UK

Buy to let volumes in the UK increased in the first quarter of 2016 but uncertainty remains over the long term, according to the latest financial advisor confidence tracking report. The increase in the volume of buy to let business being written by mortgage advisers was modest in the first three months of the year and financial advisors have concerns about the longer term prospects for the market. Those surveyed for the Paragon Mortgages report said that 24% of their business in the first quarter 2016 consisted of buy- to let, up from 23% in the previous quarter. Volumes of first time and next time buyers also increased. Reflecting these increases, remortgages declined from 35% of intermediary business in the previous quarter, to 32% currently. The report suggests that recent government policy has affected confidence in future business, however, with 13% of respondents expecting all types of mortgage business to decrease over the coming quarter, while 53% expect business to remain stable and 34% expect an increase. On buy to let, opinion is evenly divided with 49% of intermediaries expecting demand for buy to let products to increase or stay the same, as compared to 50% who expect a decline in demand with 1% unsure. Despite this uncertainty the number of intermediaries stating that landlords will ‘keep current properties but not buy any more’ as a result of changes to income tax relief, has nearly halved from 32% in the fourth quarter of 2015 to 18% currently, indicating that purchase intentions may be returning to the buy to let market. Likewise 23% of intermediaries stated that changes to tax relief would make ‘no difference’ to landlord plans, up from 19% in the previous quarter. Remortgages continue to constitute the largest proportion of buy to let business in the first quarter of 2016, accounting for 38% of business, up from 36%. Nevertheless, some 32% of new buy to let finance was secured for portfolio expansion. ‘Our latest report reveals that advisers are circumspect about future volumes of buy to let business as a result of recent policy developments. Over the short term around half of intermediaries expect to see a decline in buy to let business,’ said John Heron, director of mortgages at Paragon. ‘That said, on the question of what impact income tax changes will have over the longer term, sentiment appears to have improved materially over the last quarter with a sharp reduction in the proportion of landlords that are expected to sell property,’ he pointed out. ‘Increased volumes of remortgaging in the buy to let market shows that there is healthy competition with landlords shopping around for a better deal. Whether the market remains as competitive once all the fiscal and regulatory changes are implemented remains to be seen,’ he added. Meanwhile, new figures released today by the Finance and Leasing Association (FLA) show that the number of second charge mortgage repossessions in the first quarter of 2016 was down 52.8%… Continue reading

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Housing affordability improves in Australia and new starts at record high

Housing affordability across Australia experienced improvement during the first three months of 2016, according to the latest affordability report. Affordability improved by 2.7% quarter on quarter and was 0.4% more favourable than the same period a year earlier, the data from the report by the Housing Industry Association shows. Aggregate capital city housing affordability was 4.1% more favourable during the quarter, while regional markets experienced 0.1% improvement. ‘The national median dwelling price fell during the March 2016 quarter and this was the main factor behind the improvement in affordability during the first quarter of the year,’ said HIA senior economist, Shane Garrett. ‘Had it not been for the shock increase in variable mortgage interest rates late last year, the improvement in affordability would have been even better. Earnings growth has been held back by slack in the economy, and this situation has also worked against improving affordability,’ he explained. ‘At the end of the day, the most durable way of improving affordability lies in facilitating the supply of affordable new housing more effectively. Planning delays, land supply shortages and the heavy tax burden are all making the achievement of housing affordability much more difficult,’ he added. A breakdown of the figures show that the largest improvements in affordability were in Sydney with a rise of 8.9%, Perth up 4.9% and Darwin up 4.4%. Affordability also saw improvement in Hobart with a rise of 2.9% and Melbourne where it was up 2%. However, affordability worsened in Brisbane with a fall of 1.2%, was down 0.2% in Adelaide and down 0.3% in Canberra. Meanwhile, the latest data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show that the number of dwellings approved rose 0.6% in March 2016, in trend terms, and has now risen for four months in a row. Approvals increased in the Australian Capital Territory by 18.9%, in Western Australia by 1.1%, in Queensland by 0.8% and in Victoria by 0.2% in trend terms. Dwelling approvals decreased in the Northern Territory by 18.1%, in Tasmania by 1.5%, in New South Wales by 0.3% and in South Australia by 0.1% in trend terms. In trend terms, approvals for private sector houses rose 0.3% in March. Private sector house approvals rose in Victoria by 1.7% but fell in South Australia by 0.8%, in Western Australia by 0.7% and in Queensland by 0.2% Private sector house approvals were flat in New South Wales. In seasonally adjusted terms, dwelling approvals increased 3.7% with private sector house approvals up 2.6% while private sector dwellings, excluding houses, rose 6.7%. The value of total building approved fell 0.9 per cent in March, in trend terms, and has fallen for eight months. The value of residential building rose 0.4% while non-residential building fell 3.9%. Final ABS results for 2015 confirm that last year was the strongest ever for new home building activity with over 220,000 new homes beginning construction, an 11% rise on 2014 with which the previous record for… Continue reading

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