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Global office leasing environment set to be competitive in 2016

The leasing environment in key global office markets is highly competitive with rents on prime spaces up by 3.6% year on year in the first quarter of 2016. This is despite heightened financial market volatility and global economic across the 95 major markets covered by the JLL Global Office Index which also shows that quarter on quarter rents increased by 0.6% compared to 1.3% in the fourth quarter of 2015. With the world’s major real estate markets appearing to be back on track following a cautious start to the year, business sentiment is improving and corporate activity is expected to ramp up over the course of 2016, according to the report. It suggests that leasing volumes are projected to broadly match those of 2015 and adds that there is some upside potential of up to 5% while strengthening global occupier demand through 2016 and tight supply will drive continued rental increases. Overall JLL forecasts prime rental growth of around 3% to 4% for the whole of 2016. A breakdown of the figures show that the Americas Index saw quarterly rental growth slow to 0.3% in the first quarter, down from 0.8% in the previous quarter. The report says that declines in Latin America and Canada weighed on relatively stronger gains in the United States. In Asia Pacific, quarterly rental growth decelerated to 0.6% from 1.1% in the fourth quarter of 2015 as overall growth was encumbered by lacklustre economic conditions in several tier one markets. Europe saw rental growth moderate to 0.6% quarter on quarter from 1.0% the final quarter of 2015 although general sentiment continued to be positive and no markets registered quarterly rental falls. The Middle East and North Africa Index rose by 2.7% during the first three months of 2016 but this was compared with the 7.4% in the previous quarter and rental growth was confined to Dubai while all other markets were stable over the quarter. While 2016 is expected to represent the peak of the global office development cycle, completion levels are still well below the previous peaks seen in 2001 and 2008, and the global vacancy rate is projected to remain generally stable over the rest of the year, the report explained. Office leasing volumes in Asia Pacific were up 7% year on year in the first quarter of 2016 and the region is expected to outperform with growth of 10% to 15% for the full year, supported by robust outsourcing markets and the sustained strength of domestic occupiers in China. Sydney is forecast to be the region’s top rental performer in 2016, while Singapore is likely to see further declines and economic uncertainty and supply pressures are anticipated to result in more moderate overall regional rental increases in 2016. In Europe, occupier leasing activity is anticipated to continue to hold up in 2016. The report says that most markets have joined the rental growth cycle, and a longer period of steadier rental growth… Continue reading

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Average house prices in British seaside towns up over 30% in 10 years

House prices have increased by 32% across British seaside towns over the past decade, amounting to £440 per month, according to the latest research. The annual Halifax Seaside Town Review revealed average house prices have grown from £166,565 in 2006 to £219,386 in 2016, equivalent to an average increase of £440 per month. Scottish seaside towns dominate the list of areas with the greatest price growth, with seven of the top 10 located in Aberdeenshire, which for much of the period has been well served by growth in the oil and gas sector. Fraserburgh has seen the greatest house price growth with a rise of 139%, from £63,540 in 2006 to £151,719 in 2016, equivalent to a monthly increase of £735. In Macduff, average property value doubled from £66,226 to £133,567 or 102%, followed by Peterhead up 95%, Cove Bay up 94% and Newtonhill up 91%. Brighton recorded the greatest increase in value outside of Scotland with prices up 59% from £214,863 to £341,235 over the decade. Other seaside towns in England with the best price performance include Whitstable in Kent up 53%, Shoreham on Sea in West Sussex also up 53%, Leigh on Sea in Essex up 52% and Truro in Cornwall up 50%. Despite the growth of property values in Scottish seaside towns over the past 10 years, nine of the 10 most expensive seaside towns in Britain are on the South coast with eight in the South West. The most expensive seaside town is Sandbanks in Poole, where the average house price is £664,655. Sandbanks knocked Salcombe off the top spot, a position which Salcombe, in the South Devon Area of Outstanding Natural Beauty, has had since 2010. Other most expensive seaside towns located in the South West include Padstow with an average price of £443,396, Dartmouth at £401,361 and Fowey at £379,003. Aldeburgh in Suffolk at £439,379 and Lymington in Hampshire at £426,112 are the most expensive seaside towns outside the South West. ‘Seaside towns are highly popular places to live, offering sought after scenery, weather and lifestyle which no doubt come at a price. They also attract those looking for holiday properties, which add upward pressure on house prices, which our research shows have increased by an average of £440 per month since 2006,’ said Martin Ellis, housing economist at the Halifax. Despite the price performance nine of the least expensive seaside towns are in Scotland. There is a marked difference in price at top and bottom end of the scale, with the least expensive town Port Bannatyne on the Isle of Bute at £77,132. Seven of the least expensive are in western Scotland, including Girvan at £91,912, Campbeltown at £91,938 and Saltcoats at £93,479. Newbiggin by the Sea in Northumberland at £81,259 is the least expensive seaside town in England. The research found 11 seaside towns in total with an average price below £100,000. ‘Over the 10 year period, coastal towns north of the border… Continue reading

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Rents, sales and prices record moderate falls in Dubai in first quarter of 2016

The Dubai residential real estate market is experiencing moderate declines in rents and sales prices and transaction volumes are also down, according to the latest UAE property review. The analysis report from Asteco suggests that a focus on affordability is becoming more prominent in the emirate’s real estate market. Whilst no significant rent reductions were recorded during the first quarter of the year this may have been due to limited supply and the general trend continued to be towards increased competition amongst landlords. Leasing demand was stable in the first two months of 2016, however, a slowdown was recorded from March onwards, especially for more expensive properties where take-up was slower than usual. On average, rental rates stabilised in the affordable segment, and declined by 2% and 3% for mid and high end apartments, respectively. Asteco says that this minimal decrease was due to a combination of landlords trying to retain tenants rather than insisting on higher renewal rates, a decrease in the number of newcomers to the city, and in some sectors, housing allowance cuts and redundancies. Compared to the previous quarter, sales prices remained stable, with the exception of high end apartments and villas where 2% average declines for both markets were recorded. However, according to the Dubai Land Department (DLD), the first quarter of 2016 was considerably worse than the first quarter of 2015 as the overall residential transactions by total value were down by 25%, transaction numbers by 17% and the average sales price by 11%. Leasing activity at the beginning of the year started well, however, enquiry and transaction levels tapered off in March. The report suggests this was partially due to property owners keen to retain their existing tenants, and therefore willing to negotiate rental rates instead of having a property vacant. As a result, fewer tenants were seeking to move to a new unit. Asteco also noted a tendency for the more expensive units in buildings to remain vacant for longer, as tenants became more conscious of their spending habits. Whilst declines were limited over the quarter, year on year comparisons indicated an average of a 4% decline across the board. The most affected areas were those that had seen previous rapid rental increases for a relatively undifferentiated product. For instance, Jumeirah Lake Towers recorded a 12% decline year on year. ‘Indeed, whilst the community is attractive overall, the quality of most residential towers are below the tenant’s expectations considering the high rental levels. We have noted an increase in demand for affordable units. However, rental rates have not fallen far enough to warrant tenants to relocate from the Northern Emirates to Dubai yet,’ the report points out. ‘This is further compounded by the fact that for a similar priced product in the Northern Emirates would equate to a much smaller unit in Dubai. For instance, AED60,000 would mean a two bedroom unit in Sharjah as opposed to a studio or a small… Continue reading

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