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House prices and sales rising in New Zealand due to chronic lack of supply

A chronic lack of supply is fuelling a regional growth in house prices and sales volumes in New Zealand, according to the latest monthly index report. Sales volumes hit new levels and median house prices reached new record highs across more regions of New Zealand than ever before, according to the latest figures from the Real Estate Institution of New Zealand. Record median prices were reached in Waikato/Bay of Plenty, Taranaki, Canterbury/Westland and Otago. The report explains that this shows the growing halo effect of rising prices around New Zealand is strengthening in the regions where it is already present, and moving on to new regions, driven by a chronic lack of supply. On a seasonally adjusted basis the number of dwellings sold in April 2016 rose by 12.8% compared to March, indicating that the normally expected drop in sales between March and April was far smaller than usual. And compared to April 2015, all regions recorded increases in sales volume. At the same time, the availability of properties for sale has fallen by over one third over the past 12 months, with a number of regions seeing declines of more than half. Days to sell, another measure of demand has also fallen by more than 20% over the past 12 months in nine of the 12 regions. The national median price was $490,000 for April, an increase of $35,000 or 7.7% on April 2015, and down 1% compared to March. Excluding the impact of the Auckland region, the national median price rose $29,000 to $382,000 compared to April 2015. REINZ chief executive Colleen Milne said that the April data confirms the continued strength of the real estate market right across New Zealand, driven by a chronic lack of supply. ‘Anecdotal evidence suggests that investors outside of Auckland are increasingly looking to real estate investments to improve their yields compared to bank deposits. First home buyers are also taking advantage of low mortgage rates, putting pressure on the number of properties available for sale,’ she pointed out. ‘The strength of the seasonally adjusted level of sales demonstrates that the year on year median house price rises, excluding Auckland, underlying demand for real estate across New Zealand remains strong, with every region recording an increase on a seasonally adjusted basis,’ she explained. There were 8,568 unconditional residential sales in April, an 18.4% increase on April 2015 and a 10.1% decline on March. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the number of sales rose 12.8% from March to April. The strong increase in seasonally adjusted sales reflects a smaller decline in sales between March and April than is normally the case. Over the past 10 years the average decline between March and April has been 16.6%. Sales volumes excluding Auckland, were up 28.8% on April 2015 and up 29.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis. All regions, apart from Northland, Auckland and Taranaki are showing in excess of 20% annual sales growth. Indeed, Auckland saw the number… Continue reading

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Over half of UK buyers spend more than intended on a new home

More than half of British people spend at least 10% more than they intended when buying a new home and many end up with an extra bedroom, research has found. In a poll they confessed that they are influenced by their emotions over practical needs which results in spending more, according to the survey by Online Mortgage Advisor. When asked if they changed or widened their original budget some 64% said they did and 89% took into account properties that were more expensive than they originally planned to. Some 51% said they went at least 10% over budget, 18% stayed within 10% of their original budget, 13% were exactly on budget and 11% were within 10% or less. Only 7% bought a house for more than 10% less than they originally intended. Of those who spent more 68% said it was because they fell in love with a specific house and had to have it, 47% paid extra for the right location, 33% said their partner encouraged them to spend more, 25% bought a bigger house as it was better value for money and 29% said they were encouraged by an estate agent while 6% said it was down to their children. ‘Buying the right house within budget can be a really difficult task, especially in a growing market where property prices are still increasing in most parts of the UK. Often people will set out to buy based on price, but then check to see what they could get if “they just spent a bit more,’ said Pete Mugleston, director of Online Mortgage Advisor. ‘From then the decision becomes less about price and more emotionally driven, and often people will either come across their dream home or find it hard to go push the budget down again after seeing what they can purchase with a small increase,’ he pointed out. Continue reading

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Latest mortgage research shows shift in investors’ choice of property type in UK

Real estate investors in the UK looking to expand their property portfolios are looking to do so with the purchase of more complex property types, new research has found. In particular 28% of those looking to expand said they were considering purchasing HMOs, up from just 10% six months ago, according to the latest report from Mortgages for Business. Commercial and semi-commercial property are also interesting of investors but those looking to purchase vanilla property has fallen slightly to 79% from 83% in November. David Whittaker, managing director at Mortgages for Business, pointed out that with higher yields it is no surprise that there has been a sizeable shift towards the more complex property types. ‘The interest in commercial and semi-commercial property may have also grown as these asset classes do not incur the Stamp Duty Surcharge imposed on residential property,’ he explained. The report also shows that the number of investors looking to expand their portfolio has dipped slightly to 41% from 46% in November 2015, probably due to the tax change announcement and the introduction of the 3% stamp duty surcharge. However, the good news is that an even smaller proportion, some 14%, plan to shrink their portfolios, down from 18% in November 2015. Despite an increase in investors keeping their portfolio size as it is now, 39% still plan to remortgage some of their properties in the next six months. ‘It is positive to see that fewer landlords are looking to sell property and shrink their portfolios and that a large proportion are still seeing the benefits of remortgaging,’ said Whittaker. ‘After the government’s tax crackdown on private landlords I can understand why investors are being more cautious about expansion. It will be interesting to see how long this cautious approach will last,’ he added. The research also shows that 30% of respondents said they owned a property in a limited company vehicle up from just 22% a year before. ‘We expect this figure to continue to rise in light of the pending tax changes which will peg relief on finance costs, including mortgage interest, to the basic rate of 20% to individual tax payers. Since the tax relief announcement we have seen a notable rise in limited company applications, which doesn’t show any sign of slowing down,’ Whittaker said. The survey found that 59% of those looking to expand their portfolios will need to refinance to raise the necessary funds, up marginally from 58% in November 2015. There was also a fall in the number of respondents who felt that lenders were not doing enough to support investors. The most common gripes felt by landlords were extremely similar to the responses given in November’s survey including wanting more lending options for limited companies, wanting the removal of upper age restrictions and wanting more of a human/common sense approach to underwriting. Continue reading

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