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Over half a million have taken up UK flagship home buying savings product

Over 500,000 people have opened Help to Buy ISAs, which offer government bonuses of up to £3000, as they save towards buying a home, the latest data shows. Figures also show that since the launch of the Help to Buy equity loan, mortgage guarantee and ISA schemes over 160,000 completions under the schemes have taken place, with 80% having been made by first time buyers. The average house price being purchased with support from the Help to Buy schemes is £189,795, significantly below the national average and 94% of Help to Buy completions have taken place outside London. The figures also show that over half of Help to Buy completions have been for new build homes. The Help to Buy schemes continue to benefit first time buyers overwhelmingly, with 129,000 households buying their first home thanks to the scheme. This is 80% of overall Help to Buy buyers, demonstrating that the scheme is successfully helping people get on the housing ladder. The highest number of homes completed through both the Help to Buy: ISA and mortgage guarantee schemes has been in the North West region. The equity loan, a scheme for new build properties, is particularly popular in the South East region. First time buyers and second steppers have been supported further by the London Help to Buy scheme launched in February 2016. The scheme supports purchases of new build homes in the capital by offering a 5% deposit backed by an equity loan of up to 40% from the government. There were 256 completions in London between 01 February 2016 and 31 March 2016 using the equity loan. Help to Buy was designed to support responsible lending and the figures show that the average house price for the three schemes combined is £189,795, significantly below the national average house price of £292,000. The average house price-to-income multiple under the mortgage guarantee scheme is capped at a four and half times ratio to ensure responsible lending. More than 1,000 households a month on average have purchased their own home through Right to Buy since the scheme was reinvigorated in 2012, over 52,500 households in total. The latest quarterly figures show more than 3,250 people bought under the Right to Buy scheme between January and March 2016. In total, more than 309,000 households have now been helped to purchase a home through government backed schemes since 2010, that’s 141 new home owners a day and around 4,350 a month. ‘It’s hugely encouraging that over 500,000 people have already opened Help to Buy ISAs. The Government’s Help to Buy schemes offer responsible lending, and the vast majority of those who are benefiting are first time buyers,’ said Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne. Anyone who aspires to own their own home should have the opportunity to do so, wherever they are in the country, according to Communities Secretary Greg Clark. ‘Today's figures clearly show how we’re helping people realise home ownership dream, with… Continue reading

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UK monthly property price growth slowed to 0.2% in May, activity expected to slow further

Residential property prices in the UK edged upwards by just 0.2% in May in the run up to the historic vote on the future of the country in the European Union, according to the latest index. This meant that annual price growth slowed to 4.7%, taking the average price to £204,368, but activity in the market is expected to slow in the coming months due to a spike in March due to stamp duty changes and now the Brexit vote. Robert Gardner, Nationwide's chief economist, pointed out that the annual pace of house price growth remains in the fairly narrow range between 3% and 5% that has been prevailing for much of the past 12 months. ‘In the near term, it’s going to be difficult to gauge the underlying strength of activity in the housing market due to the volatility generated by the stamp duty changes which took effect from 01 April,’ he said. ‘Indeed, the number of residential property transactions surged to an all-time high in March, some 11% higher than the pre-crisis peak as buyers of second homes sought to avoid the additional tax liabilities,’ he explained. He also pointed out that while cash purchases accounted for a significant proportion of the increase in activity it is not possible to determine whether or not these were purchased by landlords. Mortgage data suggests that, while buy to let purchases were a major driver of the increase, the purchase of second homes also accounted for a substantial proportion. The number of home mover mortgages, which is where second home purchases with a mortgage would show up, increased sharply in March. ‘House purchase activity is likely to fall in the months ahead given the number of purchasers that brought forward transactions. The recovery thereafter may also be fairly gradual, especially in the buy to let sector, where other policy changes, such as the reduction in tax relief for landlords from 2017, are likely to exert an ongoing drag,’ said Gardner. ‘Nevertheless, healthy labour market conditions and low borrowing costs are expected to underpin a steady increase in housing market activity once stamp duty related volatility has passed, providing the economic recovery remains on track,’ he added. ‘However, it is possible that the recent pattern of strong employment growth, rising real earnings, low borrowing costs and constrained supply will tilt the demand/supply balance in favour of sellers and exert upward pressure on price growth once again in the quarters ahead,’ he added. Gardner also explained that it is difficult to gauge how sentiment from overseas buyers will be impacted by increased economic uncertainty caused by Brexit on the one hand and the sharp decline in Sterling on the other, which, if sustained, reduces the cost of UK property in foreign currency terms. He pointed out that property prices in London have been supported by extremely robust labour market conditions as well as strong investor demand in recent years. Indeed, the price of a typical London property… Continue reading

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Easier monetary policy could weaken Brexit effect on UK real estate

The hit to UK real estate sentiment that many experts predict will be sparked by the vote to leave the European Union may be limited by easier monetary policy, it is claimed. While uncertainty in the run up to the referendum had little effect on domestic real estate pricing this year, investment activity slowed but an analysis report suggests that this hasn’t been exclusively caused by Brexit fears but largely reflects greater investor caution as the market reaches the top of the cycle. However, according to Chris Unwin, head of global research at Aviva Investors, the vote to leave suggests there is now little hope of any bounce in sentiment. ‘Indeed, it may be many years until we have clarity on the UK’s constitutional arrangements and trading agreements,’ he said. He pointed out that the financial markets’ reaction to the vote was swift and dramatic with Sterling falling to its lowest against the US dollar in over 30 years and 10 year gilt yields reaching a record low. And, as equities plunged, real estate shares were particularly badly hit. He believes that mounting fears of an economic shock and in the short term, uncertainty as to the UK’s constitutional arrangements and trading agreements, will dampen activity and may trigger a recession by the end of 2016. In the longer term, the economy is likely to be impaired by reduced access to European markets and poorer demographics, weakening the UK’s fiscal position and potentially damaging productivity growth. On top of this calls for a second referendum on an independent Scotland will grow and great further uncertainty. ‘Domestic capital values now look likely to decline moderately over the remainder of the year. It is worth noting, however, that some commentators believe Brexit will hit real estate returns, and the economy, more severely. By contrast, we had expected to see a slight increase in capital values over coming months had the UK voted for the status quo,’ explained Unwin. He expects to see prolonged illiquidity in real estate markets pending renegotiation of international agreements and transaction activity to be low while heightened risk aversion will reflect lower growth expectations and political risk. ‘To compensate, some widening in yields is probable. Secondary assets are likely to be hit even more,’ he added. However, Sterling depreciation could support demand from overseas investors but Unwin pointed out that this needs to be balanced against the UK real estate market’s diminished ‘safe haven’ status along with additional caution in Scotland resulting from pressure for a further independence referendum. Unwin thinks UK occupier markets could be affected significantly less than investment markets. ‘In the short term, a rapid deterioration in the labour market is not expected. Demand for space is not set to fall rapidly,’ he said. ‘If the weakness of sterling is maintained, UK retailers could be hit, particularly those operating on low margins. On the other hand, it may boost prospects for markets dependent on tourist spending, like prime central… Continue reading

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