Tag Archives: asia
London residential rental market disparate due to Brexit uncertainty
Rents in London have peaked in many locations with the market currently stagnant and facing uncertainty due to the UK deciding to leave the European Union, the latest analysis suggests. While Benham & Reeves Residential Lettings' Heat Map generally shows relatively consistent trends across the capital, second quarter results show a disparate market. For example rents were up more than 4% in Chelsea but in nearby South Kensington they were down more than 4%. Similar contradictory results were to be found across London with adjacent areas showing wildly different fortunes. The report explains that even in the early part of this year, uncertainty over Brexit was affecting the prime central London rental market. Non-nationals were awaiting the result of the referendum while UK nationals were finding better value in East London and the suburbs. Rents in central London were falling, much to the frustration of landlords who were also suffering from the double blow of stagnating capital growth. Rental value growth was to be found in outer London until recently. However, the most recent figures from Benham & Reeves Lettings demonstrates that rental values have finally peaked there, as well. Most areas outside of prime central London saw rents plateau or boast only nominal growth. The report says it is perhaps noteworthy that there is a lack of definable trends. Hampstead Garden Suburb saw growth of over 4.5% while adjacent North Finchley saw rents fall by over 10%. The report suggests that the contrast may be due in part to the reopening of the Northern Line interchange at Tottenham Court Road. The eastern part of the City also saw double digit growth, thanks in part to the release of some highly anticipated new developments in the area, while the western part of the City saw rents fall by over 4%. ‘There is nothing the property market hates more than uncertainty. While the referendum result may not have been what many London residents wanted, it has provided us with an answer,’ said Marc von Grundherr of Benham & Reeves Lettings. ‘Our quarter two results are a reflection of what was happening in the market in the run up to the vote. If anything, the referendum result could be just what the market needed. The rental market always benefits in financially volatile times as people would rather rent than commit to buying a property,’ he explained. ‘Demand is still strong and since the referendum, we are receiving an average of 17 applicants per property compared to 13.9 at this time last year. Notably, many of the applicants have been from the EU,’ he added. Continue reading
US housing market growth expected to be steady in 2016
Housing market growth in the United States is holding steady with a rise of 0.6% quarter on quarter, according to the latest real estate analysis report. The annual spring housing boom has been beneficial to most regions across the nation, with most markets outside of the Northeast seeing a small bump in quarter on quarter growth in the last month. The data from real estate firm Clear Capital also shows that in the West quarterly growth has increased by 0.2% to 1.3%, while quarterly growth in the South and Midwest have increased to a modest 0.8% and 0.3% respectively. However, growth figures in the Northeast are concerning with the firm’s models showing an average of zero price growth in the region over the last quarter. ‘This is especially alarming when considering that the spring season is a time when markets typically gain momentum leading into the busy summer season,’ said Alex Villacorta, vice president of research and analytics at Clear Capital. He pointed out that while prices in the region as a whole have appeared to stagnate, there are markets in the region that are performing positively, such as New York and Hartford, where prices have increased by 0.5% and 0.7% respectively over the last quarter. The regional year end forecasts may also be a cause for concern, with the West and North-eastern regions projected to fall potentially into negative territory over the next six months. The analysis predicts that by the end of 2016, the nation may see a new leader in terms of regional growth as the South and Midwest are predicted to have the highest price growth over the next six months, around the 0.5% mark. ‘While these six month growth rates are lower than what we have seen in recent years, slower growth does not necessarily spell disaster and instead could be indicative of markets that are finally beginning to moderate and even stabilize in these regions,’ Villacorta explained. On the MSA level, southern cities are dominating the top spots in our forecast, with six of the top 10 markets located within the region. Home prices in Dallas and Nashville are predicted to see growth throughout the remainder of 2016, increasing to the tune of 3% to 4% by the end of the year. Major Florida markets are also predicted to continue to rise, with Jacksonville and Orlando growth forecasts around 2.5% by the end of 2016, while homes in Tampa may increase by almost 4% over the next six months. ‘Overall, our forecasting models are predicting the second half of 2016 to be much slower than its start, with all regions forecasted to see very little price change by the end of the year,’ said Villacorta. ‘The Federal Reserve won’t be raising interest rates this summer, and while this will help keep the cost of mortgage lending to a minimum, at least in the short term, there are other key global factors that could spell… Continue reading
Steady growth for UK commercial property returns and rental values in June
Commercial property returns and rental values saw steady growth in the UK in June but capital value growth slowed, according to the latest index report. Overall, rents across the UK grew by 0.2% in June, matching the trend for the year to date despite uncertainty in the build up to the EU referendum, according to the latest CBRE Monthly Index. But capital values grew by 0.1% over the month, a drop on 0.2% in May although the 0.6% total returns for the month matched returns seen almost every month of the year to date. In the first half of 2016 as a whole, rental value growth hit 1.1%, trailing the 1.7% seen in the same period of 2015. Capital values grew by 0.6% for the first six months of 2016, some way shy of the 4.1% in the first half of 2015. Total returns were also lower, from 6.7% in the first half of 2015, to 3% in the first half of 2016. The reports says that this lower return partly reflects an increase in stamp duty land tax in March. The retail sector experienced rental growth of 0.1% in June, above trend for the year so far, but capital values, which had been flat in April and May, fell by 0.2%. Total returns in the sector were 0.3%, compared with 0.5% the month before. The industrial sector experienced a strong monthly performance, with rents increasing by 0.4%, equal to its best monthly performance in 2016. The office sector saw rents grow by 0.3% in June, an improvement on the 0.2% of both April and May and in line with trend so far this year, while capital value growth slowed slightly from 0.4% to 0.3%. London offices mirrored this overall trend. Rental values rose by 0.3%, faster than the 0.2% seen in May, and capital value growth slowed from 0.6% in May to 0.5% in June, producing total returns in June of 0.8%. The London office market saw some outliers. Rental values in West End and Midtown offices were flat, down from 0.1% growth in May, while capital value growth also cooled to 0.2% from 0.5% in May. Offices in the City of London also experienced muted growth in the month, with rental growth of 0.2% and capital value growth of 0.1%, down from 0.6% and 0.3% respectively in May. ‘Overall, rents and capital values continued to grow in June, with the industrial sector in particular showing strong growth in a month of significant uncertainty. Clearly, capital value growth has slowed, but occupier demand has remained high across the country, pushing up All Property rental growth as fast as any other month this year,’ said Miles Gibson, head of research at CBRE UK. ‘These figures reflect CBRE valuations carried out in the days immediately following the referendum vote, but July’s monthly index will give a much clearer… Continue reading
