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Supply increases in UK private residential rental sector
The number of available private rented properties in the UK increased in July but at the same time demand dipped, according to the latest monthly report from the Association of Residential Letting Agents (ARLA). Agents managed an average of 189 properties per branch in July, compared to 178 in June and demand across the UK decreased slightly with an average 35 prospective tenants registered per ARLA branch in July compared to 36 in June. The report says that whilst this may be a result of the quieter summer months it is a step in the right direction for balancing supply and demand in the sector. However, demand in London has continued to rise, with 40 prospective tenants registered per branch in July, compared to 36 per branch last month. Some 35% of ARLA agents expect the supply of rental properties to continue increasing over the next five years. The East of England is most optimistic, with over half of agents in the region, 53%, predicting supply will continue to rise. However, only 15% in the south West and 16% in Yorkshire and Humberside predict continuing growth of housing stock for tenants. The report also reveals that letting agents are continuing to see increases in the cost of renting for tenants, with 37% reporting rents had increased between June and July, the highest number since tracking began in January, when levels were at 27%. The report also found tenants in the West Midlands have been affected by rent increases the most, with 64% of agents reporting rents had increased in July shortly followed by the East of England where 53% of agents witnessed rent increases. In comparison, only 21% of tenants in the North West experienced a rise. ‘To finally see a rise in available rental properties is definitely a step in the right direction; although with demand remaining the same, we still have a long way to go in achieving a balanced and stable private rented sector,’ said David Cox, ARLA managing director. ‘Following the changes to pensions made in April, the fact that a third of agents are predicting supply will continue to increase over the next five years could be a result of people releasing equity from their pensions to invest in the buy to let market,’ he pointed out. ‘It’s clear from this month’s findings that the growing gap between supply and demand is an issue still rife in the capital; which doesn’t look to be improving any time soon. With the cost of renting continuing to rise month by month, it’s a worrying state of affairs for those hoping to save for their first house and just pushing the aspiration of owning a home further out of reach,’ he added. Continue reading
Strong mortgage activity boost for Scotland, latest CML data shows
Mortgage activity in Scotland saw a rise of 39% in the second quarter of 2015 and is also up 3.1% year on year, according to the latest data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders. It is outperforming other areas of the UK which have seen only a small quarterly rise and indeed the Scottish market saw the highest number of loans to those purchasing a home since the second quarter of 2008. A breakdown of the data shows that the value of first time buyer loans increased by 52% in comparison to the first quarter of 2015 and 11% year on year. The number of first time buyer loans is up 51% on the first quarter of 2015 and 5% on the second quarter of 2014. The data also shows that first time buyers account for 48% and home movers 52% of all house purchase lending activity and typically borrowed 3.02 times their gross household income, up from 2.84 the previous quarter but less than the UK average of 3.38. The typical loan size for first time buyers was £101,515 in the second quarter, up from £94,795 in the first quarter while the typical gross income of a first time buyer household was £34,000 also up compared to £33,677 in the first quarter. First time buyers' payment burden in the second quarter was 17.2% of gross income to cover capital and interest payments, up on the first quarter's 17% but lower than the 18.4% UK average. Home owner house purchase activity came out of the traditional seasonal dip in the first quarter to see large growth in numbers both quarter on quarter and, to a lesser extent, year on year. Remortgage lending rebounded out of a stagnant period to total the highest volumes since the last quarter of 2013. ‘After three quarters of consecutive decline, it is welcome to see house purchase levels in Scotland bounce back finally. This quarter saw the highest number of loans to those purchasing a home since the second quarter of 2008,’ said Kennedy Foster, CML policy consultant for Scotland. ‘With competitive mortgage deals, better affordability than the UK overall and the replacement of stamp duty with a new taxation system that benefits the majority of borrowers, it appears conditions are relatively favourable at the moment in Scotland for those looking to buy a home,’ he added. According to Christine Campbell, managing director of Your Move Scotland, activity may have been boosted by the revised stamp duty system in Scotland by providing a helping hand. ‘Since its introduction house purchase loans have soared to a seven year high, after a staggering 39% quarterly leap. Scottish buyers are eagerly making the most of the new tax savings available, and we’ve seen property sales rise 25% month on month in June,’ she explained. She believes that any rise in interest rates will be put back even further by the current turmoil in the finance markets due to the slowing Chinese economy and the current… Continue reading
UK regional office market sees demand increase
Occupier demand in the UK regional office market increased 51% in the first quarter of 2015 compared with the previous quarter, with total investment at its highest level since 2007. This growth totalled a combined take up of 2.08million square feet and 49% above the five year quarterly average, according to the latest data from real estate firm Knight Frank. Birmingham saw the top performance in the second quarter with take up of 521,136 square feet which was boosted by a number of large transactions, the most significant being the 212,000 square feet pre-let to HSBC at Arena Central. Pre-letting activity also increased in the second quarter of the year, impacting on new and grade A availability which is down by 17% year on year collectively to 2.2 million square feet. In the investment market some £2.09 billion of regional office assets changed hands in the first half of 2015, the sector’s strongest first half year since the second half of 2007. Bristol, Manchester and Birmingham were the main focus of investment activity, accounting for over half of total investment turnover. Bristol in particular saw some sizeable transactions, including the off market purchase of Templeback by Orchard Street Investment Management in June 2015 for £58.5 million, reflecting a net initial yield of 5.34% and Aviva Investors’ acquisition of 66 Queen Square for £32.7 million, at a net initial yield of 4.94%. ‘Improved occupier confidence has led to a surge in pre-letting activity and high levels of take-up across the main regional office markets in the second quarter,’ said Stephen Hodgson, head of regional offices at Knight Frank. The firm anticipates that this will be reflected in rental growth and further starts on new development schemes over the next 18 months. ‘On the investment front, despite the fact that yields are approaching historic lows we also feel that there is scope for further yield compression,’ added Hodgson. Continue reading
