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Flats in the UK have seen the biggest average price rise in last decade
The average price of flats in the UK has risen by 60% since 2005, compared with an average of 38% for all properties, according to new research. The report from the Halifax, one of the UK’s leading home lenders, also shows that detached homes have seen the smallest increase at 21% while bungalow prices rose by 28%. The figures show that the increase for flats over the last decade is £87,550 or £730 per month from £145,874 in 2005 to £233,424 today, but a big proportion of this is due to the rapid increase in flat prices in London which are up by 67%. A typical flat currently costs less than £120,000 in the North, East Midlands, Wales and Yorkshire and the Humber, and between £120,000 and £145,000 in the North West, West Midlands, Scotland and East Anglia. At £370,281, a typical London flat is considerably more expensive than flats anywhere else in the UK. While flats have been the best performing property type over the past decade in Greater London, Scotland and the South West, there are regional differences. Semi-detached properties have risen most in value in the South East, East Anglia and the East Midlands, whereas terraced homes have been the best performing property type in five of the 11 regions, the North, North West, Yorkshire and the Humber, West Midlands and Wales. The average price of a terraced home is between £119,000 and £143,000 in all regions outside southern England, the data also shows. Semi-detached and terraced homes have remained the most popular types of property purchased over the past 10 years. Combined, these two types represent 59% of all home sales in 2015, up marginally from 58% in 2005. Semi-detached homes have risen in popularity among first time buyers, accounting for 28% of purchases in 2015 compared with 21% in 2005. However, flat sales have fallen from 20% of all property sales to 17% over the past decade. ‘Flats have recorded larger prices gains over the past ten years than any other property type. The national increase in flat prices has been led by London where flats account for roughly one in two property sales, substantially higher than for the country as a whole,’ said Martin Ellis, housing economist at the Halifax. ‘Overall, semi-detached and terraced homes have remained the most popular types among purchasers. First-time buyers have switched to some extent away from flats, reflecting their large price increases, towards semi-detached homes over the last decade,’ he added. Continue reading
Better planning and more land needed to meet UK housing targets
House builders across the UK say policy makers should boost resources for local authority planning departments, increase skills and training for the construction sector and step up the delivery of public sector land to help increase the supply of new homes. The House Builder survey from international real estate firm Knight Frank, which contains the views of builders and developers across the country, also suggests that two thirds believe that the maximum number of new homes that can be delivered per year is 180,000 or less with only 9% thinking the government’s target of 200,000 is possible. The report points out that while activity in the house building sector has continued to pick up over the last year, the supply of new homes is still falling well short of demand. Boosting supply, where new housing is most keenly needed, is a key priority if the UK housing market is to avoid long term distortion. However, while nearly 60% of respondents expect housing completions to rise over the next year, with 18% saying the rise could be between 10% and 25%, around half expect no change in the delivery of affordable homes over the next 12 months. Just 9% of respondents said that under current market conditions it would be possible to deliver more than 200,000 homes a year, every year. More than 90% of respondents are expecting construction costs to rise again over the next 12 months and two thirds expect that development land prices will rise again this year. Indeed, the report found that rising labour and build costs are expected to pose the greatest risk to the sector in the coming year and some 56% of respondents said that the Community Infrastructure Levy (CIL) was weighing on development volumes The biggest policy change that would help boost development volumes would be recruiting more people to Local Authority planning departments, according to respondents. ‘The imbalance between the demand for new homes and the number of units being built is well-recognised, by the industry and political parties alike. In the 12 months to April 2014, some 141,000 homes were built in the UK, up by 4% on the previous year,’ said Grainne Gilmore, head of UK residential research at Knight Frank. ‘However, official household growth projections suggest an additional 230,000 potential households a year in the UK. Below these headline figures, there is a recognition that the right type of homes must be built in areas where there is the most housing need, typically adjacent to existing urban areas,’ she explained. ‘This has led to tensions about the greenbelt, with a lack of consensus on how to expand accommodation in some of the UK’s most thriving towns and cities. Nearly one half of the respondents to the housebuilder survey said that rules around developing on greenbelt land should be loosened,’ she added. The report points out that policy makers from all political parties are keen to encourage development on brownfield land and the… Continue reading
Average property prices in Canada set to rise by 2% in 2015, says latest forecast
The national average property price in Canada is forecast to increase by 2% to $442,400 in 2016, according to the latest forecast from the Canadian Real Estate Association. But there is likely to be regional variation. For example, increases are forecast to be slightly larger but less than 3% in British Columbia, Saskatchewan, Manitoba, Ontario, New Brunswick, and Prince Edward Island, with gains in some provinces reflecting an expected rebound from levels in 2015. Price growth in 2016 is forecast to be strongest in Ontario with growth of 2.8% due to an ongoing supply shortage of listings for low rise homes in and around the Greater Toronto Area, the CREA forecast report says. ‘Alberta and Quebec are forecast to see average home price growth of about 1.7% and 0.8% respectively in 2016, while Nova Scotia and Newfoundland and Labrador are forecast to edge slightly lower. The report explains that the national average price has run higher than expected since CREA’s last forecast, in part reflecting a jump in the proportion of higher priced home sales this spring and early summer in B.C.’s Lower Mainland, in and around the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) and Calgary. This trend now appears to be receding, causing the national average price to follow suit. However, recent trends in the Home Price Index, which is not affected by changes in the mix of sales activity the way that average price is, suggest that prices are still accelerating across much of B.C., in and around the GTA and Montreal. B.C. continues to see some of the strongest economic growth in the country, coupled with strong demographics. Home sales there have been drawing down inventories and boosting prices across the province. In Alberta, home sales have gone from setting records in 2014 to running at or below their 10 year average, as uncertainty surrounding the outlook for oil prices and employment continues to side line potential home buyers. In Ontario, the ongoing shortage of single family homes for sale in and around the GTA continues to drive very strong price gains. Record levels of activity in the province would likely be higher were it not for a shortage of low rise homes coming onto the market. In Saskatchewan, Manitoba, Quebec, and most of Eastern Canada, supply remains elevated. Home prices outside of B.C. and Ontario are forecast to keep pace with or lag inflation, as elevated supplies are drawn down by sales and return to better balance. The forecast for national sales in 2015 has been revised slightly higher, reflecting stronger than anticipated activity in B.C. and Ontario. National sales are now projected to rise by 3.3% to 495,800 units in 2015, marking the second strongest year on record for home sales in Canada. Across the country, British Columbia is projected to post the largest annual increase in activity in 2015 with growth of 18.1. Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Nova Scotia are expected to post the largest annual sales declines 21.6%, 12% and 12.1%… Continue reading
