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Farmland prices in England reach new record, but prices are stabilising
The average price of English farmland hit a new record price of £8,306 an acre in the third quarter of the year, but values rose by just 0.5%, the latest index shows. Year on year growth the sector has seen price growth of 8% but this has slowed after a period of exceptional growth, according to the data from real estate firm Knight Frank. The report shows that over five years growth has averaged 43% and 198% over the last decade so a slowdown was to be expected, particularly as availability has started to increase and agricultural commodity markets remain weak. The big question now is whether prices will actually start to fall. ‘Our view is that in terms of supply and demand the farmland market has now reached a state of equilibrium,’ said Andrew Shirley, head of rural research at Knight Frank. ‘This means that while prices may rise or fall slightly on a quarter by quarter basis over the next year or two, we are unlikely to see the price growth of the past 10 years significantly eroded, unless supply increases substantially or demand drops off drastically,’ he added. The report forecasts a period of potential price stability and points out that over the past five years farmland has outperformed many other asset classes, including gold which is down 10%, and it has even kept pace with London’s luxury residential market which has seen growth of 43% over the same period. ‘This strong performance brought new buyers into the market, including a wide range of investors from both the UK and abroad. However, potential purchasers, particularly farmers, have gradually become more considered in their approach to acquisitions since the beginning of 2015,’ the report says. ‘This is partly due to a prolonged period of low commodity prices, but also reflects the perception that the market was reaching a peak,’ it adds. The report explains that the availability of farmland has also increased. So far this year around 20% more land has been advertised publicly compared with 2014. ‘As a result, what we are experiencing now is a market that is much more in equilibrium in terms of the balance between supply and demand. Prices are unlikely to fall or rise to any great extent over the next few years because buyer demand remains strong, albeit cautious,’ said Shirley. ‘Supply, while up on the year, is also low in historic terms and the market is unlikely to be saturated,’ he commented, adding that a sudden upwards shift in interest rates could put some pressure on more farmers to sell up, but the indications from the Bank of England seem to point to a gradual rising of rates starting in the second half of 2016. Price variability on a local, as well as a regional level, is also likely to grow as a dominant theme of the market, he suggests. ‘Extremely high prices will continue to be paid for large blocks of top quality… Continue reading
UK mortgage sector competition to be examined
The UK’s financial watchdog has launched a consultation process on competition in the mortgage sector to seek input from interested parties to identify both good points and potential areas for improvement. ‘For millions of consumers a mortgage is one of the biggest, if not the biggest, financial transaction they will enter into in their lifetime. The mortgage sector also plays a vital role in the financial services industry and many areas of the economy,’ said Christopher Woolard, director of strategy and competition at the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA). He explained that competition can play a key role in ensuring that the sector works well, delivering consumer benefits through lower prices, better customer service, and more product choice. ‘We are seeking stakeholders’ views on competition in the mortgage sector. These views, together with evidence from the FCA’s wider programme of work on mortgages, will help inform any future FCA work on this key sector of the economy, including any future competition market study,’ he added. The FCA is interested in the range of factors that might affect competition in the provision of loans secured against a property, whether regulated or unregulated, including as a result of changes introduced following the Mortgage Market Review and any other barriers to entry, expansion or innovation. It also wants to examine consumers’ ability to effectively access, assess and act on information about mortgage products and services and firms’ conduct and relationships and the deadline for input is 18 December 2015 with feedback scheduled for the first quarter of 2016. The Council of Mortgage Lenders welcomed the announcement and described it is an excellent opportunity for the regulator to review the effect of regulation, as well as market practice, on lenders as well as their customers. ‘The FCA's role in promoting competitive markets is the part of regulation that best helps foster creativity, innovation and a sharp focus on what drives customers,’ said CML director general Paul Smee. ‘It's also essential in delivering the kind of environment in which reputable lenders of all shapes and sizes can thrive. We will be working with all our members to ensure that their perspectives are fully reflected as we work with the FCA on this vital issue,’ he added. Continue reading
New property tax regime hits prime property sales and prices in Edinburgh
Demand for prime properties for sale at £1 million and above is on the rise again in Edinburgh after a sharp decline in activity immediately after the introduction of the new property tax. The Land and Buildings Transaction Tax (LBTT), introduced on 01 April this year, is credited with leading to surge in demand beforehand and a dampening of demand afterwards. But now, according to Scottish property consultants CKD Galbraith, there are signs that prime property buyers are coming back to the market, although the available data shows how strong the effect has been. The first three months of 2015 saw 56 properties sold at £1 million plus in Edinburgh alone and there was a surge in the week before the introduction of LBTT when 30 of the 56 sales were completed under the old Stamp Duty system. Under LBTT, the buyer pays different rates of tax on the portion of the purchase price that falls within various bands, rising to 12% for the portion of the purchase price over £750,000. Registers of Scotland recorded a dramatic decline in subsequent sales at the £1 million mark from April until September with only three sales successfully completed in Edinburgh. ‘Our recent research shows that buyer and seller confidence is returning following the introduction of LBTT in April and the UK general election in May, with an increase in the number of properties coming to the market in Edinburgh,’ said Jamie McNeill, head of residential at CKD Galbraith’s Edinburgh office. ‘We are currently handling a number of private sales in the £1 million plus market in Edinburgh and are experiencing a rise in the number of local, national and international buyers registering with our Edinburgh office looking for prime property in the city centre,’ he explained. ‘With the tax changes for properties over £1m, the number of sales at this level is considerably lower than at its peak in March this year, however we expect the number of transactions at this level to continue to increase throughout the remainder of the year,’ he added. The new tax has affected the price of prime property in Edinburgh, according to the latest research from Knight Frank, with values up by just 0.4% between July and September and the rate of annual price growth in the city slowed to 2.5%, its lowest level since September 2013. The Knight Frank report points out that a £900,000 property now attracts a LBTT bill of £66,350. Previously, buyers would have paid £35,000 in stamp duty. Against this backdrop, a two speed market has emerged in the city. Price growth has been driven primarily by the sub-£500,000 market, which has proven to be more resilient to the recent tax change. As a result, price growth at this level has been stronger than the average for prime Edinburgh properties, the report explains. The average value of homes below £500,000 has risen by 1.1%… Continue reading
