Tag Archives: asia
Property price growth in Australian capital cities continues to fall
Home price growth in Australian capital cities fell in November with the slowdown recorded the previous month in Sydney and Melbourne in particular continuing, according to the latest CoreLogic RP Data index. Over the month, Melbourne values fell by 3.5% while Sydney values were down 1.4%. Hobart dwelling values dropped by 2.4%, Darwin values were down 1.3% and down 0.5% in Canberra. Values rose in the remaining three capital cities, with Adelaide showing the highest month on month growth rate at 0.7%, followed by Brisbane with growth of 0.6% and Perth up 0.3%. Overall the combined capitals housing index has seen dwelling values drop by 1.5% over November, taking the rolling quarterly rate of change to -0.5%. Head of research Tim Lawless pointed out that the latest results are now placing downwards pressure on the annual change in dwelling values. The annual rate of growth across the combined capitals index peaked at 11.5% back in April 2014, and has since reduced to 8.7%. Sydney maintained the highest annual growth rate at 12.8%, which is down from a peak rate of annual growth of 18.4% in July earlier this year, while Melbourne’s annual growth rate has reduced from a recent peak of 14.2% to 11.8% over the 12 months ending November this year. The only capital cities where values have declined over the past year are Darwin with a fall of 4.2% and Perth with a fall of 4.1%, where weaker economic conditions and a slowdown in population growth contributed to an early peak in housing market conditions in December last year. The equivalent peak in the cycle for Darwin was May 2014. Since that time, Perth values are down a cumulative 5.9% and Darwin values have fallen by a larger 6.8%. ‘The fact that mortgage rates have risen independently of the cash rate has, in all likelihood, become a contributor to the slowdown in housing market conditions, as well as tighter lending practices evidenced by a recent reduction in lender risk appetite for investment loans and high loan to valuation ratio mortgages. Tighter mortgage servicing criteria across the board and affordability constraints in the Sydney and Melbourne markets are also having an impact on market demand,’ said Lawless. As a consequence of the tighter lending environment for investors, as well as gross rental yields being at near record lows, participation in the housing market from investors has reduced from 54.1% of all new mortgages in May 2015 to 45.4% at the end of September, which is the lowest level since July 2013. The 1.5% decline in capital city dwelling values over the month, coupled with a 0.3% rise in weekly rents, has seen the average gross yield record a subtle improvement over the month. This follows a trend towards lower rental yields which commenced in May 2013, Lawless pointed out. Gross yields remain close to record lows for houses in Melbourne at an average of 3% while Sydney has overtaken Melbourne… Continue reading
UK buyers have saved almost £2 billion since stamp duty change a year ago
Buyers in the UK have collectively saved £1.9 billion since stamp duty was reformed in December last year, according to new research. An analysis of the figures by conveyancing services firm My Home Move says that buyers saving an average of £1,500 each since the reforms. Stamp duty reforms which were announced on 04 December 2014 abolished the old slab system of stamp duty and benefited anyone purchasing a home priced under £937,500. The firm also said that a recent poll of estate agents showed that 87% said that last year’s stamp duty changes have had a positive impact on the market. According to Doug Crawford, chief executive officer, the big winners from the changes have been the first time buyers and second steppers who have really struggled from price hikes due to a lack of housing stock. ‘Cheaper stamp duty bills don’t fix all the problems facing these buyers, but they do help by making it easier to save for a deposit,’ he said. He pointed out that the old slab system was ripe for reform as it was creating a stranglehold over the market, especially where property prices neared the stamp duty thresholds, and in particular around the £250,000 mark. ‘Home buyers have benefited from the significant stamp duty overhaul during the last 12 months with each buyer saving an average of £1,500, a much needed boost for those struggling to get on the housing ladder as prices have risen by 6% during the last year. Thanks to the reforms, people are now able to sell their homes for a truer value,’ Crawford explained. ‘However, as with all reforms there are those who have lost out from the changes. There are a small minority of buyers who are looking for luxury homes or expensive London properties which now command up to 12% in stamp duty,’ he said. ‘With a slowdown now being felt towards the top end of the market, it could cause a worry for the Government as receipts from stamp duty start to fall. However, following last week’s announcement of a 3% stamp duty surcharge for buy to let investors, any deficit could be offset from April,’ he added. Continue reading
US home prices growth set to send first time buyers into the suburbs, says new research
Deteriorating housing affordability will the main drive factor of residential property trends in the United States in 2016, according to a new analysis report. A lack of affordable homes near city centres will push new and first time buyers to suburbs that feel like walkable, amenity rich mini-cities, says the study from real estate form Zillow. It also explains that rising rents will force more young renters to wait longer before buying a home. And the looming threat of rising mortgage interest rates will slowly erode some of the terrific mortgage affordability the market has enjoyed for the past few years. Zillow's 2016 Housing Market Predictions report says that the median age of first time buyers will reach new highs in 2016 as millennials put off home ownership and other major life decisions. Growth in home values will outpace incomes, especially for low income Americans. In 2016, those whose incomes fall in the bottom third of all incomes will be priced out of home ownership and unable to afford even the least expensive homes on the market, it suggests. Rising rents won't let up in 2016, and will continue to set new records. The next year will bring the least affordable median rents ever, the report also predicts. As affordable housing close to city centres grows increasingly scarce, people will move farther out. Dense, walkable suburbs with an urban feel, especially those that offer good access to the city will be 2016's new hot spots. The median expectation of more than 100 economic and housing experts surveyed in the latest Zillow Home Price Expectations Survey suggests that home values are set to grow about 3.5% in 2016. ‘Rents will continue to increase at a brisk rate in 2016, but many potential first-time buyers are living in hot markets where buying a home is really expensive,’ said Zillow chief economist Svenja Gudell. ‘In 2016, we'll start to see more people in hot coastal markets forced to move farther from the core of the city to find housing. When they get there, they'll be looking for amenity rich suburbs like mini cities, with walkable cores and an urban feel,’ she explained. ‘As renters gradually transition into homeowners, the historically low home ownership rate should stop falling quite as quickly as it has been. However, the median age of first time buyers, already the highest it has ever been at about 33, will climb higher. Millennials want to buy, but they are waiting longer than previous generations,’ she pointed out. ‘All of this will happen against a backdrop of slowly increasing interest rates. That will make some homeowners think twice about selling, and many of them will decide to remodel their current homes instead,’ she concluded. Continue reading
