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Average asking price for a home in England and Wales passes £300,000
The average asking price of a home in England and Wales has surpassed £300,000 for the first time as demand soars and supply remains tight, the latest index figures show. New homes put on the market averaged £303,190 this month, up 1.3% on the previous month and up 7.6% compared to the same month a year ago, according to the data from Rightmove. The property portal’s monthly report says that the challenges facing both first time buyers and those trading up are highlighted by a 50% increase in just 10 years which means that new seller asking prices have increased by £100,000 since March 2006. And the 1.3% price jump in March at £3,903 is the second highest at this time of year since the 2008 credit crunch with the price growth momentum spreading north and west with six out of 10 regions setting record price highs this month. The data also shows that London no longer leads the growth with prices standing still as an average asking value of £644,045 but they are up 11% year on year. ‘While the start of 2016 has seen an encouraging but modest uptick in the number of properties coming to market, demand and momentum have combined to push prices over £300,000,’ said Miles Shipside, Rightmove director and housing market analyst. ‘On average 30,000 properties have come to market each week over the past month, up by 3% on this time last year, but there are insufficient numbers of newly listed properties in many parts of the country to meet demand,’ he explained. ‘The rebound from the housing market downturn has been driven by underlying demand, greater availability mortgage lending, and the economic recovery. The release of this pent-up demand and the shortfall in housing supply are resulting in insufficient availability of affordable stock in many locations,’ he pointed out. Shipside said that the result is that more first time buyers and would-be trader uppers are finding themselves ill-equipped to cope with current house prices given the tighter lending criteria and average earnings lagging well behind house price growth. A breakdown of the figures shows that asking prices monthly growth was led by the South West taking the average to £292,251 and up 6.8% year on year, followed by the West Midlands with monthly growth of 2.5% to £204,140 and annual growth of 5.5%. This was followed closely by the North East with monthly growth of 2.4% to £148,484 and annual growth of £3.7% while Yorkshire and Humber saw month on month growth of 1.9% to £173,947 and year on year growth of 3.2%. The South East saw monthly growth of 1.8% to £399,680 and annual growth of 8.1%, the East of England monthly growth of 1.6% and annual growth of 9.7% to an average of £326,836 and the East Midlands and Wales both saw monthly growth of 1.4% taking the average asking price to £189,819 and £174,046 respectively. Shipside pointed out that three out of the top four… Continue reading
Investment in European commercial property up by 25% in 2015 year on year
A total of €64.5 billion was invested in European commercial property in the final quarter of 2015, which took volumes for the full year to €238.5 billion, a 25% increase on 2014. However, the fourth quarter total was only slightly up, by 0.5%, on the same quarter of 2014, indicating that investment growth lost a little momentum towards the end of the year, according to the latest European quarterly commercial property outlook report from Knight Frank. However, it shows that increases in investment activity were widespread in 2015, with the core markets of the UK, Germany and France all seeing transactions rise by more than 20%. Among peripheral markets, investment volumes grew particularly strongly in Italy and Portugal, both fuelled by surging demand from international investors. The strength of investor demand kept European prime yields under downward pressure throughout 2015, although the pace of yield compression slowed in the final quarter. Also, the European weighted average prime office yield came down by four basis points in the final three months of 2015 to an all-time low of 4.79%, largely on the back of yield compression in Amsterdam, Berlin, Brussels, Copenhagen and Lisbon. The report points out that with large amounts of capital continuing to target European property, strong investment activity is expected to continue in 2016. However, the exceptional growth in transaction volumes seen in 2015 is unlikely to be repeated. Knight Frank’s forecast is that European investment in 2016 will be broadly in line with 2015 volumes. Many of the factors that supported the investment market in 2015, including the stabilising Eurozone economy, low interest rates and wide yield spreads to other asset types look set to remain favourable to property investors throughout 2016, the report says. The report also points out that Eurozone GDP growth is forecast to improve modestly to around 1.7%, following an increase of 1.5% in 2015. The European Central Bank has indicated that it may be prepared to make further interest rate cuts to support economic growth at a time when its main refinancing rate is currently 0.05% and the deposit rate is already in negative territory at -0.3%. Supported by the stabilisation of the Eurozone economy, European occupier market activity improved healthily in 2015. On an annual basis, aggregate take-up in the major markets monitored by Knight Frank rose by 10%. This was despite falling take-up in Europe’s two largest markets, London and Paris, and was driven by the strong performance of German, Iberian and CEE markets. Prime rents remained stable in the majority of European markets in the fourth quarter but the Knight Frank European Prime Office Rental Index rose by 0.9%, driven by increases in Dublin, Frankfurt, London (City), Madrid and Stockholm. The report suggests that rental growth may spread to a wider range of cities in 2016 with Paris, for example, expected to see prime office rents increase following more than two years of stability. Continue reading
New home building increases in the US as demand outstrips supply
New home building in the United States increased by 5.2% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.178 million units in February, according to newly released data. The figures from the US Department of Housing and Urban Development and the Commerce Department show that single family production increased 7.2% to 822,000 units, its highest level since November 2007while multifamily starts remained virtually unchanged, inching up 0.8% to 356,000 units. ‘This month’s report is consistent with positive builder sentiment and other economic indicators showing that the housing market continues to recover at a gradual pace,’ said Ed Brady, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB). ‘February’s single family gains indicate that this sector is strengthening in line with our forecast. As the US economy firms, job creation continues and mortgage interest rates remain low, we should see further growth in housing production moving forward,’ said NAHB chief economist David Crowe. Combined single and multifamily starts rose in three of the four regions in February, with the West, Midwest and South posting respective gains of 26.1%, 19.9% and 7..1% The Northeast registered a 51.3% loss. A decline in the volatile multifamily sector pushed overall permit issuance down 3.1% in February. Multifamily permits fell 8.4% to a rate of 436,000 while single family permits were up 0.4% to 731,000. Regionally, permits increased in the Northeast by 40.4%. The Midwest, West and South registered respective permit losses of 11.4%, 7.2% and 4.4%. Continue reading
