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Number of rental sector tenant evictions up in England and Wales
The number of households evicted from rental accommodation in England and Wales rose by 5% in the first three months of the year, while the repossession rate for home owners fell to a record low. Seasonally adjusted figures from the Ministry of Justice show there were 10,732 repossessions of rented homes by bailiffs between January and March 2016, up from 10,253 in the final three months of 2015. The number of tenants evicted from their homes by bailiffs reached a record high in 2015, according to official figures for England and Wales, which shows that 42,728 households in rented accommodation were forcibly removed. Housing campaigners blamed welfare cuts and the shortage of affordable homes for the rise in repossessions over the year and more than half the evictions are thought to have been by private landlords. These figures are echoed by a new report from online letting agent PropertyLetByUs which shows that a quarter of landlords have served an eviction notice to tenants over the last 12 months and 5% have pursued an eviction through the courts. Furthermore, almost half of landlords have also experienced rent arrears over the last 12 months. ‘Landlords are increasingly facing rent arrears, as rent escalation continues to outstrip gross income. They are also facing a financial squeeze due to restrictions on their tax breaks and some may be raising rents to supplement their income. Pushing up rent rises further will put huge pressure on those tenants who are already struggling to pay their rent. We may well see evictions continuing to rise over the next few months,’ said Jane Morris, managing director of PropertyLetByUs. She pointed out that the statistics highlight the need for landlords to protect their rental income and ensure they carry out thorough references with all new tenants. ‘Times are very tough for many tenants and demand for rental accommodation is soaring in many parts of the UK. Landlords need to extra vigilant when they take on a new tenant. But a few simple checks will help identify if a tenant is in a good financial position or not,’ she added. Meanwhile, changes to the process of accelerated possession through applying to use High Court Enforcement Officers (HCEOs) to evict a tenant has brought an end the so called seven day eviction which were misleading for landlords as well as increased costs, according to legal experts, Landlord Action. The majority of residential possession claims are dealt with in the county court and enforced by county court bailiffs. However, with a backlog of cases and a reduction of bailiffs leading to longer waiting times in some courts, it can take several weeks for bailiffs to carry out an eviction, which is longer than most landlords wish to wait when suffering further loss of rent. In some cases, landlords can apply for their case to be transferred to the High Court once a possession order has been made, so that… Continue reading
Planning permission for new homes in England up 4% in first quarter
The number of planning permissions granted for new homes in the first quarter of 2016 in England remained high, according to the latest housing pipeline report. Permissions for 66,102 homes were granted in the first three months of the year, up 4% on the previous year, the data from the report from the House Builders Federation and Glenigan shows. This means that the moving annual total has now recovered to just short of the pre-crash peak in the 12 months to March 2008, and is ahead of the levels in 2006 and 2007, suggesting house building can continue increasing to meet the very high level of demand for new homes. Whilst many of these permissions still have some way to go before builders can start building them, the figures are a strong indicator of future supply. Permissions have risen steadily every year since 2009, with actual housing supply also increasing markedly over the past two years as more of the permissions have progressed to the point where builders can begin building. Indeed, the report shows that the last 12 months have seen a 66% increase in permissions granted on the nadir of the recession in 2009. Numbers are now only 0.3% below where they were at the highest point in early 2008. Demand for new homes remains extremely strong. The HBF estimates there is a shortfall of well over one million homes in England. Almost a third of young people, some 3.35 million, are living at home with their parents and 1.24 million people are on housing waiting lists. The Help to Buy equity loan scheme continues to drive demand for new homes and interest rates remain historically low at the same time over 180,000 new homes were added to the housing stock in 2014/2015, up 22% on the previous year, as house builders increased output in response to the rise in demand for new homes. ‘Planning permissions are a strong indicator of future levels of supply. The past two years have seen huge increases in building levels, with housing supply in England surpassing 180,000 homes per year in 2014/2015, up 22% on the previous year,’ said Peter Andrew, deputy chairman of the HBF. But he warned that the country still faces an acute housing shortage in this country. ‘Millions of young people remain at home with their parents and we estimate we are over a million homes short of what the country needs,’ he explained. Help to Buy equity loan is driving demand and helping thousands of first time buyers a week purchase a new build home and with interest rates remaining at historically low levels, demand remains strong,’ he pointed out. Allan Wilén, economics director and head of Business Market Intelligence at Glenigan, pointed out that the level of planning approvals remains strong, driven by an increase in the number of private housing units approved. ‘The firm development pipeline demonstrates that house builders are well placed to meet any strengthening in demand from… Continue reading
Pending home sales fall across all regions of the United States
After steadily increasing for three months, pending home sales in the United States let up in May with the first year on year fall for almost two years with all four major regions seeing a decline. The Pending Home Sales Index, a forward looking indicator based on contract signings from the National Association of Realtors fell by 3.7% to 110.8 in May from a downwardly revised 115 in April and is now 0.2% lower than May 2015. But even with last month’s decline, the index reading is still the third highest in the past year, but declined year on year for the first time since August 2014. According to Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist, pending sales slumped in May across most of the country. ‘With demand holding firm this spring and homes selling even faster than a year ago, the notable increase in closings in recent months took a dent out of what was available for sale in May and ultimately dragged down contract activity,’ he said. ‘Realtors are acknowledging with increasing frequency lately that buyers continue to be frustrated by the tense competition and lack of affordable homes for sale in their market,’ he added. Despite mortgage rates hovering around three year lows for most of the year, Yun explained that scant supply and swiftly rising home prices which surpassed their all-time high last month are creating an availability and affordability crunch that’s preventing what should be a more robust pace of sales. ‘Total housing inventory at the end of each month has remarkably decreased year on year now for an entire year. There are simply not enough homes coming onto the market to catch up with demand and to keep prices more in line with inflation and wage growth,’ Yun pointed out. Looking ahead to the second half of the year, Yun believes that the fallout from the UK’s decision to leave the European Union breeds both immediate opportunity as well as potential headwinds for the US housing market. ‘In the short term, volatility in the financial markets could very likely lead to even lower mortgage rates and increased demand from foreign buyers looking for a safer place to invest their cash,’ he said. ‘On the other hand, any prolonged market angst and further economic uncertainty overseas could negatively impact our economy and end up tempering the overall appetite for home buying,’ he added. In spite of last month’s step back in contract signings, existing home sales this year are still expected to be around 5.44 million, a 3.7% boost from 2015. After accelerating to 6.8% a year ago, national median existing home price growth is forecast to slightly moderate to between 4% and 5%. A regional breakdown of the figures shows that the PHSI in the Northeast dropped 5.3% to 93 in May, and is now unchanged from a year ago. In the Midwest the index slipped 4.2% to 108 in May, and is now 1.8% below May 2015. Pending home sales in… Continue reading
