News
House sales flatten in UK due to forthcoming general election, says RICS
Buyer enquiries and house sales have flattened in the UK in the run up to the general election, according to the latest monthly market survey from the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors. In most parts of the country, the supply versus demand imbalance led to 21% more surveyors reporting a rise in house prices in March, up from 15% in February, and 15% more surveyors expecting prices to increase over the next three months compared with 10% in February but the results for both are significantly lower than in March 2014. Nationally, Northern Ireland continues to outperform the rest of the UK with the strongest house price growth in March and the highest price expectations over the next three months. However, across much of the rest of the UK, particularly in Wales and Scotland, price gains over the next three months are expected to be much more moderate. In London, a lack of prospective buyers saw enquiries and the number of agreed sales both fall for the eleventh consecutive month and 24% more surveyors reported a decline in the number of new properties coming onto the market for sale. However, compared to the start of the year when 42% more surveyors reported a decrease in prices, just 13% more surveyors saw prices fall in March and across the whole of the UK, the average surveyor sold 19.5 properties, reflecting activity since Autumn, although it remains some way down on where it was in the early part of 2014. The boost that was given to the housing market by the Help to Buy scheme has begun to dissipate and activity levels have slipped back as a result, according to Simon Rubinsohn, RICS chief economist. ‘Even more worrying are the tentative signs that price momentum could be set to pick up once again as the supply of stock to the market continues to fall. Anecdotal evidence does suggest that election uncertainty may be having some impact on the market, but underlying the trends visible in the latest survey is a very real housing crisis which will urgently need to be addressed by the next government,’ he explained. ‘It is significant that price expectations nationally are accelerating both at the three and twelve month time horizons and at the latter they are at their highest level since the spring of last year,’ he added. Continue reading
Prime central London rental market see increased demand
Interest in the prime central London rental market has intensified in recent months as buyers become cautious prior to the election, and regulations surrounding mortgage lending take hold, a new report suggests. The proportion of those living in private rented accommodation has risen in recent years and this is partly a reflection on affordability, with rents increasing by just 1.4% when the effects of inflation are removed, according to the analysis from Kay & Co. It found that Bayswater and Marylebone offer family homes at significantly lower prices than other prime London locations and says that a family living in these areas could save over £44,000 a year on a 2,500 square foot home. Overall the prime central London lettings market experienced a relatively strong year in 2014. Annual growth in average rents returned to positive territory, recording the highest increase in rental values since 2010. However, the level of demand for rental properties was more subdued than in 2013 but there was certainly more interest in the latter half of the year. This could have been a result of households who were in the market to purchase a home awaiting the outcome of the general election and lenders becoming more cautious, the report explains. Weekly rents achieved averaged £882 per week across prime central London in 2014, an annual rise of 7% and, compared to the 2008 peak in the sales market, average weekly rents were 11.9% higher in 2014. The average weekly rent in the fourth quarter of 2014 had risen to £904 per week for prime central London. In comparison, the neighbourhoods of Bayswater and Marylebone offer more affordable rental stock within prime central London, with weekly rents in 2014 averaging £676 and £789 per week respectively. The performance of the lettings market in prime central London, including Bayswater and Marylebone, vastly outperformed Greater London as a whole in 2014. Average rental values across the capital registered 2.4% growth over the year based on the revised index of private housing rental prices by the Office of National Statistics. A breakdown of performance by property type in 2014 shows that flats performed better than houses across prime central London in 2014 in terms of rental growth. Average weekly rents for flats increased by 7.8%, compared to 5% for houses. The number of properties let in prime central London fell by 5.4% in 2014 compared to the previous year. A quarterly breakdown, however, reveals that it was the start of the year that saw considerable reductions in the volumes of properties let and this became less severe as the year progressed. By the fourth quarter of 2014, the annual change in the number of lets had increased by 6.7%. This coincided with increased uncertainty regarding the outlook for capital values in the prime central London sales market. There was also a simultaneous and continuous increase in average rents achieved each quarter in… Continue reading
Farm land in England breaks the £8,000 an acre barrier
Even the impending general election in the UK has failed to pull back the farmland market in England, with prices continuing to rise in the first quarter of the year. The farmland market in England has gained further ground this year with the average price of bare agricultural land rising by almost 2% between January and March to break the £8,000 an acre barrier for the first time. An acre is now worth £8,059, according to the Knight Frank Farmland Index. Values have risen by 10% over the past 12 months and by 192% over the past 10 years. This compares with 10 year capital growth of 138% for the prime central London residential market, 40% for the FTSE 100, despite the index hitting its own record high earlier this year, and 250% for gold. An imminent General Election, particularly one with so many possible outcomes, might have been expected to cause the market to pause for breath, but it appears the appeal of farmland is overriding the uncertainty, according to Andrew Shirley, head of rural research. But he pointed out that the market continues to separate into two clear sub-markets, each with their own distinct performance trends. Large blocks, ideally over 1,000 acres, of arable land are being eagerly sought after by investors and demand is so strong that prices upwards of £12,000 an acre are regularly being paid and even £15,000 an acre has been achieved on a number of occasions. Although East Anglia has traditionally been the main source of investment farmland, buyers are now looking across the country and exceptionally strong results have also been recorded in counties such as Hampshire. Continue reading
