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US rents starting to outpace house price growth, new analysis shows
Residential rents in the United States are continuing to rise, up 3.7% year on year to $1,362 a month and keeping pace with house price growth of 3.9% over the same period. The latest data from real estate firm Zillow shows that in 17 of the nation’s 35 largest metro areas, annual rental growth exceeded annual house price growth in March. This is in line with expectations as the firm predicted at the end of 2014 that annual rent growth would outpace house price growth by the end of 2015. It now says this will happen well before the end of the year. But while overall home values in the nation as a whole may still be growing more quickly than rents, in many large metro areas, rental growth has surged ahead over the past year. Of the 17 metro areas where rents are growing more quickly than home values, the biggest differences are in San Francisco with rents up 14.8% year on year and home values up 9.6%. While in Kansas City rents are up 8.6% and price up 4%, and Pittsburgh it is 6.3% and 4.3% respectively. March represents the first month in two years in which annual home value growth was less than 4%. For 24 months, home owners have watched their homes appreciate at a pace well above historic norms at around 3% annually. According to Zillow rising rents themselves are a double edged sword for the purchase market. As current tenants see more and more of their income going to landlords that keep raising the rent, many are likely to opt for the relative stability of homeownership. And home ownership, in addition to offering stable payments over many years, is also an incredible bargain right now. Current US renters making the median national income can expect to pay about 30% of their income to afford the median US rental property, up from about 25% historically. Buyers, on the other hand, thanks to very low mortgage interest rates and home values that, for most local markets, remain below their pre-recession peaks and should expect to pay only 15% of their income on a mortgage, down from about 22% historically. The Zillow analysis also points out that homes to buy remain scarce, and those homes being built are often focused at the high end, and not at current renters that are likely looking to buy more entry level homes. Continue reading
Prime London market sees more first time buyers
More first time buyers are active in the prime London property market with fewer real estate investors in the sector in the first quarter of this year, new research shows. While investors continue to account for the majority of house purchases made across prime London, this margin has narrowed significantly, according to estate agent Marsh & Parsons’ latest London Property Monitor. Some 29% of prime London property purchases were made by an investor in the three months to March 2015, down from 37% at the end of 2014 but first time buyer sales increased from 21% of all purchases in the last quarter of 2014 to 28% in the first quarter of this year. The rise in first-time buyers has caused the number of prime transactions funded by mortgages to jump 17% in the past three months and over the past three months, demand for prime London homes has risen by 20%. As a result, heightened competition for available homes on the market has pushed the ratio of registered buyers per property up from 10 in December 2014 to 12 in March 2014, the data also shows. ‘First time buyers have been riding a wave of fortuitous circumstances recently with almost unheard of mortgage rates, reduced up-front stamp duty costs, and support schemes like the Help to Buy ISA inflating confidence,’ said Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons. ‘Combined with a more accessible pace of property price growth so far in 2015, many more have been able to take the plunge into the property market. Prime London property has always been a bastion of investment, but it’s encouraging to see the drawbridge being lowered for everyday Londoners who live and work in this city,’ he explained. ‘However, there is, and has always been, some aspirational prime central areas that are out of grasp for new buyers, and will remain an investment stronghold. Addresses like Kensington and Chelsea resonate around the world, and will forever entice buyers looking for unparalleled capital returns,’ he added. The report reveals that as a result of this strong demand for starter homes, one bedroom properties in prime London have seen the biggest increase in value over the past 12 months with average values up 5%, compared to 1.7% annual growth across the market as a whole. This means the price of a typical one bedroom property in London has risen by £75 a day over the past year. Similarly, one bedroom properties are highly sought after as buy to let investments, with rents appreciating at the fastest rate of all property types across the capital. The average weekly rent for a one bedroom property has risen 5.8% year on year in more affordable outer prime areas of London, popular with young professional renters. ‘With more and more young professionals climbing onto the property ladder, one bedroom properties have outperformed the market across prime London…. Continue reading
Property prices in England and Wales down 0.8%, latest official figures show
Property prices in England and Wales fell by 0.8% in March, taking the average house price to £178,007, according to the latest data from the Land Registry. It means that the annual price change now stands at 5.3% and the data also shows that sales have fallen. From October 2013 to January 2014 there was an average of 76,056 sales per month. In the same months a year later, the figure was 71,090. But in London property prices are still going up with a monthly increase of 0.2%. At 11.3% the annual change for London is considerably higher than most other regions. The average price of property in the capital is £462,799 in comparison with the average for England and Wales of £178,007. The London borough with the highest annual price rise is Newham, with a rise of 19.8% and Hackney experienced the highest monthly increase, up 1.6%. Kensington and Chelsea saw the lowest annual growth of 5.2% also experienced the greatest monthly fall with a drop of 1.6%. On a regional basis the North East saw the only annual price fall with a drop of 2.9%, the South East experienced the greatest monthly price rise of 0.8% and the North East also saw the largest monthly decrease with a fall of 4%. Bracknell Forest and Hertfordshire experienced the greatest annual price increase in March with a rise of 13.6% and Darlington saw the greatest annual price fall with a drop of 6.2%. The index report shows that price index volatility is greater in areas where recorded sales volumes are low. Index volatility leads to erratic and high changes in reported price. Some of the areas that typically have very low transaction volumes include, but are not limited to, the City of London, Rutland, the Isle of Anglesey, Merthyr , Blaenau Gwent, Ceredigion and Torfaen. The number of properties sold in England and Wales for over £1 million in January 2015 decreased by 19% to 851 from 1,049 in January 2014 while the number of properties sold in London for over £1 million in January 2015 decreased by 23% to 571 from 746 in January 2014. However, Edward Heaton, of Heaton and Partners search agency, pointed out that the headline figures only tell part of the story. ‘In London, for example, there may indeed have been an 11.3% increase in greater London over the last year, but in prime central London prices have actually dropped,’ he said. ‘The biggest increases have been in second tier areas such as Wandsworth, Battersea, Clapham and some of the up and coming areas to the East of London. In the South East, most of the activity and increases in price have been in the mainstream market below £1 million,’ he explained. ‘Certainly above £2 million prices have remained pretty stable, although there is an expectation that prices will start rising rapidly after the election, almost regardless of its result,’ he added. Nicholas Leeming, chairman of national estate agents Jackson-Stops &… Continue reading
