News
Latest real estate data shows how new mortgage cap is affecting Dubai
The villa market in Dubai is slowing at a quicker pace than apartments, leaving prices 4.3% down on a year ago in the first quarter of 2015, new research shows. Overall property prices in the emirate fell by 0.3% in the third quarter of 2014 and by 0.5% in the final quarter, leaving the total increase in average prices last year at 3.4%, considerably down on the record 51% rise recorded in 2103. The data from the latest residential market outlook report from Cluttons also shows that villa values fell 1.2% in the third quarter of 2014, then 0.9% in the fourth quarter and 1.5% in the first quarter of 2015. The analysis in the report suggests that the Federal Mortgage Cap that was introduced just over a year ago to cool the market is now having an effect. ‘The impact on the villa market has been particularly pronounced,’ the report says. It has also affected sales. The data shows that during 2014 just 1,300 villas were sold, down 52% on 2013 and the number of transactions in the first three months of 2015 was down 36% on the same quarter in 2014. The mortgage cap means that the deposit needed for the purchase of an AED5.5 million villa has increased from 20% to 42% and a growth in rents over the last 18 months means those looking to buy face a challenge saving for a deposit. The report says that a strengthening supply line means that villa prices are likely to fall further. ‘During 2015 alone we expect a further 4,000 villas to be delivered to the market, followed by 6,000 in 2016 and an additional 3.700 in 2017,’ the report says. ‘The step change in the rate of villa deliveries will be met with a financing landscape that is vastly different to when some of these schemes were conceived. The secondary market in particular will be hardest hit by the rising supply,’ it adds. The report also points out that villa sellers in the secondary market are now very much on the back foot and there are substantive price declines due to a rise in distressed sellers. ‘While villa prices are expected to continue slipping by 2% to 4% per quarter over the second half of the year, apartments, which have shown more resilience, are also expected to weaken by between 0.5% and 1% each quarter this year,’ the report explains. ‘Despite this sluggish outlook, demand is expected to remain very stable in the medium to long term, particularly as the government continues to drive economic diversification, which will fuel job creation,’ it adds. The residential rental market has also continued to soften. In the fourth quarter of 2014 rents fell by 1.9%, leaving the total rental value growth last year at a marginal 0.4%. But the report points out that this has been negated by a 0.4% dip in average rents during the first quarter of 2015 which leaves rents 1.5% lower… Continue reading
Property and building industry welcomes details of UK’s new housing bill
The UK is to see an increase in the supply of new starter homes to be exclusively offered to young first time buyers under the age of 40, it has been announced by the government at the opening of the new parliament. The Queen’s Speech included a number of issues relating to the nation’s property markets which have been met with a positive reaction. The new starter homes for first time buyers will be offered at a 20% discount below their open market value and the current Right to Buy levels of discount will be extended to 1.3 million housing association tenants. To help with the chronic lack of housing local authorities will be required to dispose of high value vacant council houses which would help fund the Right to Buy extension discounts and the building of more affordable homes. The government will also take forward the Right to Build scheme, requiring local planning authorities to support custom and self builders registered in their area in identifying suitable plots of land to build or commission their own home. A statutory register for brownfield land will be introduced to help achieve the target of getting Local Development Orders in place on 90% of suitable brownfield sites by 2020. Along with this the neighbourhood planning system will be simplified and speeded up to support communities that seek to meet local housing and other development needs through neighbourhood planning. The reaction from the property and housing industries has been positive as all agree that there is a pressing need to build hundreds of thousands of new homes across the country and particularly in London. However, Adrian Gill, director of Your Move and Reeds Rains estate agents, questioned whether these new schemes are setting sights high enough. ‘Building a home in Britain is about 18% more expensive than in Ireland, for example. Preliminaries like planning fees account for 12% of the total costs in the UK, compared to 10% in Ireland. Reforming the red tape surrounding the house building process may be one of the only safeguards around steadier house price rises,’ he said. ‘Home ownership is still a key life milestone and aspiration for UK households, so any measures that bring this goal closer into view will be very welcome. The Right to Buy extension sounds good on paper –but we’ve yet to see how this will translate in practice, and the reality is that authorities will have to sell off existing stock first before they can fund and deliver this new promised land of affordable properties,’ he explained. ‘At the same time, tenant demand for housing will be accumulating, and this could spill over into the private rented sector, and artificially push up prices and competition for rental homes,’ he added. According to Charles Haresnape, chairman of the Intermediary Mortgage Lenders Association (IMLA), the government must work swiftly with the mortgage industry to ensure finance is available to help consumers with their purchases. ‘If not,… Continue reading
Greater London sees fall in home lending in first quarter of the year
There was a decline in in house purchase lending in Greater London in the first quarter of 2015 but increased remortgage activity, according to the latest regional data from the Council of Mortgage Lenders. First time buyers in Greater London borrowed £2.4 billion representing 10,100 loans, down by 16% in value and down 16% in number of loans compared to the last quarter of 2014. Compared to the first quarter of 2014, the total number of loans was down 14% and the amount borrowed decreased by 11%. Home movers saw a decrease in numbers to 7,200 loans advanced in the period, valued at £2.5 billion, which was down 18% by volume and down 15% by value on the previous quarter. Year on year comparisons show a decrease of 18% by volume and down 11% by value. Remortgage lending increased totalling 10,800 loans at £2.9 billion, which was up 10% by volume and up 13% by value. Compared to the first quarter of 2014, remortgage lending in London was up 2% by volume and 8% by value. According to Peter Rollings, chief executive officer of Marsh & Parsons, the lending market has calmed down from the heady heights of 2014 and the general election earlier this month also had an impact. ‘But cheaper mortgage rates are now making waves in the market, and with the wealth of products now available, we can expect this to ripple out into a stronger summer of lending,’ he said. He believes that the election result means political certainty and that along with a greater choice of homes on the market, and incentives like reduced stamp duty and Help to Buy support schemes at the lower rungs of the ladder will keep the market going. Continue reading
