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Second steppers in UK housing market get boost, new research shows
Most second steppers in the UK housing market are no longer trapped in negative equity as their position is boosted by rising house prices and an influx of first time buyers, new research has found. This is despite the fact that many face a £128,000 price gap to jump up the housing latter, according to a study published by Lloyds Bank. The research also shows that 33% of second steppers think it will be easier to sell this year, almost treble that of 2012 and 37% are keen to make the move now to take advantage of the more buoyant housing market. Overall first time sellers are in a much better position than they were five years ago which is good news for the housing market as they are the link between first time buyers and the rest of the housing ladder. They are living in the homes that the first time buyers need to buy to keep the market moving. Without movement from Second Steppers, movement on the ladder comes to a standstill on the second rung. Many had previously found themselves stuck in their starter home with little or no equity as the economic downturn took hold. Higher house prices have increased the equity of those still living in their first homes, with 71% feeling that their equity position has improved over the last year. The current crop of second steppers typically would have bought at the bottom of the market in 2009 when prices were at their lowest, with the average price of a typical first time buyer home in 2015 now 31% higher than in 2009. This has led to second steppers now having an average equity level of £87,096, equivalent to 29% of the average price of a typical second stepper home price of £304,963. The estimated average equity level has risen by over £36,000 in the past year from £50,655 due to an increase in the prices paid for first time buyer homes. The research also says that the price paid for a home by a typical second stepper is more affordable now than it was a year ago, when compared with earnings. Their housing affordability has improved significantly in the past year from 7.1 times UK gross annual average earnings in 2014 compared with 6.4 in 2015. Despite increasing house prices boosting equity levels for second steppers, the findings show people living in their first home still have to find an extra £128,390 to plug the gap between the sale price of their current property and the cost of the house they would ideally move to which is typically a detached property. This gap reduces to £17,864 if the second stepper moves to a semi-detached home. Continue reading
Optimism and confidence returns to prime central London property sector
Optimism and confidence are returning to the prime central London property market after a long period of hesitancy amongst both purchasers and potential vendors in the run up to the general election, the latest research suggests. Viewings, offers, and sales have increased since 08 May across all sectors of the market and enquiries from both international and domestic purchasers have increased, particularly from the Middle East, according to W.A. Ellis, part of the JLL Group. The firm reports that in broad terms, capital values within the prime central London market fell during the first quarter of the year as the prospect of a Labour Government slowed the sales market and the level of transactions declined by as much as 30% in some sectors, with the number of house sales declining most significantly. ‘With the election over and a Conservative Government now in place, we believe that the market will revert to its pre-election state. We expect the price falls of recent months to reverse, with some price rises materialising and with five year predicted growth estimated to be in excess of 20%,’ said director Richard Barber. ‘However, we still expect price growth to be quite modest this year, particularly as the market has not yet had time to adapt to the stamp duty reforms of late 2014. This still hangs over the upper end of the market and still restricts transaction levels and potential capital growth,’ he explained. ‘Whether the decision to raise SDLT to 12% on the proportion of a purchase over £1.5 million will be regarded as a masterstroke in defeating mansion tax and cooling central London prices or, as I believe is more likely, an overzealous measure which will reduce HMRC's revenues, is yet to be decided,’ he pointed out. He now hopes that the ‘politicising’ of the market will cease and the Government can address genuine issues. ‘What is most apparent, however, is that mortgage rates will undoubtedly begin to rise as long term swap rates begin to creep upwards and affordability, particularly for first young time buyers, will be strongly affected. My view, and it is one shared with many within the industry, is that a mortgage rate fixed for five years at circa 2%, is as good as it will get, and one should act swiftly to obtain these short term offers,’ said Barber. He also mentioned the shortage of suitable housing for older people that is keeping home owners stuck in properties worth £820 billion and leaving £7.7 million spare bedrooms empty. Recent research suggests that almost a third of home owners over the age of 55 have considered downsizing over the past five years, yet only 7% have actually done so. ‘It would seem obvious that older people are remaining in their homes due to a fear of their children not being able to afford homes of their own, the transactional costs involved in downsizing, including prohibitive stamp… Continue reading
Surge of new home sales in the US due to demand outpacing supply
New home sales in the United States surged in April and they are selling quickly as not enough are being built to meet demand. Specifically, new home sales rose 26% from one year ago in April to an annualised pace of 517,000 annualised pace, the third highest monthly activity in eight years, according to data from the National Association of Realtors. The data also shows that the median price was $297,300, which is 8.3% above last year’s price and on average it took four months to find a buyer. The gap between new home price and existing home price still remains very wide, however, and according to Lawrence Yun, Nar chief economist, it implies that existing homes provide a relatively better bargain in relation to newly constructed homes. ‘Even though new home sales are rising strongly in percentage terms, they are only at about half the activity as during the bubble years nearly a decade ago. This implies, first, that today’s strong activity is not likely to be a bubble. Second, there is more room to grow,’ Yun explained. He also pointed out that the median number of months to find a buyer of new homes remains near historic lows. ‘Given the low supply of both existing and new home inventory, as evidenced by low months supply of inventory, there is zero concern over any over production,’ he said. For the year as a whole, new home sales are projected to rise by about 30% in 2015 and then another 20% to 25% in 2016. ‘It’s a good time to be a home builder. If only the banks would make more construction loans or, depending upon your point of view, if there were less financial regulations to permit banks to make more construction loans,’ Yun added. Continue reading
