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Average UK prices up 1.4% in May, latest data shows
Average UK house price increased 5.6% annually and 1.4% on a monthly basis in May, taking the average home price to £212,495, according to the latest data to be released. In London the market is seeing significant growth again following reservations around the general election with prices up 16.7% year on year and 3.4% month on month to an average of £536,286. Sales in London have recorded their biggest monthly uplift since August 2014 and the monthly data report from haart estate agents also shows that in May there were 11 buyers chasing each available property across the country but this rises to 20 in London. Overall data from the firm has now shown a steady upward trajectory for UK property prices since November 2014, which has been driven by high levels of demand in relation to supply. Average first time buyer property prices across the UK are also on the increase, up 4.3% annually and 1.7% on the month. The number of new buyers registering has increased marginally on the month in May, up by 0.3% since April. However, the number of new buyer registrations is down 12.7% annually. But the firm says that given the particularly high levels of buyer activity in 2014, a fall in the number of new buyers is to be expected. The volume of new property instructions coming to the market has increased 2.6% on the month and haart says that this emphasises that sellers are feeling confident when it comes to putting their home on the market. There are now 11 buyers chasing each property for sale across the UK, which is a slight fall in activity levels on an annual and monthly basis but still shows that the market is busy, with consumer confidence high. The average loan advanced to a first-time buyer has increased 4.2% annually to just shy of £130,000 which the report says reflects strong institutional confidence in lending. As with the number of new buyer registrations, first time buyer registrations have fallen annually, which is a reflection of the strength of last year’s market. The data also shows that the North of London is the most expensive postcode area in which to buy with prices up 36% annually to an average £667,944. The North West is the only postcode area where the average property price is still less than £400,000. Paul Smith, chief executive officer of haart pointed out that with all this positivity in the air and continued low mortgage rates more people will aspire to buy, and without accompanying fresh supply property will become more unaffordable. ‘First time buyer activity in London is down significantly with 30% fewer first time buyer registrations in May 2015 compared to May 2014. The result will be that young professionals are driven from key areas as they can’t afford to live there,’ he said. ‘This is bad news for local economies and the UK as a whole and we need at least… Continue reading
US home prices up 0.3% nationally in May
The median US home value increased 0.3% in May compared to the previous month but overall prices are still 8.8% below the peak of the market in April 2007. This takes the median price to $179,200, according to the latest Zillow Real Estate market report which tracks 514 areas around the country. The data shows that 64% or metropolitan areas saw prices rise month on month and 67.3% saw annual price rises. In May the four fastest growing markets among the nation’s 35 largest all experienced double digit annual home value appreciation; Denver, San Jose, Dallas-Fort Worth and San Francisco. In all four of these markets, home values have already surpassed their bubble-era peaks. The most sluggish large markets in May were Boston were prices increased by just 0.2% annually, New York where prices were down 0.1% and Baltimore down 0.3%. All three are in the north east of the country. According to Stan Humphries, Zillow chief economist, the market isn’t back to normal. ‘Low inventory, persistent negative equity and still low mortgage interest rates continue to distort the market in various ways,’ he said. ‘But the fact that local markets are once again largely rising and falling on their own merits and continuing to find some kind of equilibrium based on real market fundamentals like household formation rates and job and wage growth is encouraging. A truly normal national housing market is one in which local conditions rule,’ he added. Over the next year home value growth is expected to slow even further to 2.2%, according to the Zillow Home Value Forecast. This will be some way below 2014 when home values rose 4.9%. ‘The country by and large rode the same big roller coaster through the housing bubble, bust, and recovery. May’s report shows local markets diverging, with some chugging along, some stalled out and some continuing to accelerate amid rising prices and competition. This is a positive sign that the market is returning to full health,’ Humphries pointed out. ‘In general, as mortgage rates begin to rise and incomes and household formation rates slowly increase, the baton is being passed in housing from a stimulus driven market to one driven by fundamentals. This transition from housing recovery to a more normal market is a good thing long term, but we can expect some bumps along the way. In the end, increasing household formation and stronger income growth should overcome the headwind of rising mortgage rates,’ he concluded. Continue reading
UK commercial property sales reach highest level since the economic downturn
The number of UK commercial property transactions has reached its highest level since the credit crunch, with 115,400 sales in the last year, a 6% jump, according to the latest figures to be made available. Data from HMRC shows that the number of transactions is up 24% from a low of 92,900 in 2008/2009, but still significantly below 2007/2008 when there were 139,000 sales. An analysis of the figures by commercial law firm EMW, suggests that England is dominating the country’s market. There were 97,500 commercial property transactions in England last year, accounting for 85% of the UK total, this figure is also the highest since 2007/2008 when there were 115,700, 83% of the UK total. The report explains that the relatively high yields on property when compared to other investments, continues to attract both UK and, increasingly, overseas investors. ‘Commercial property assets are proving increasingly attractive to investors looking for higher yields in an environment with record low interest rates and this is driving activity towards pre-credit crunch levels,’ said Nick Marshall, principal at EMW. ‘There has also been a surge of interest from overseas investors, with the UK offering investor friendly lease terms. The relative shortage of vacant prime office space in central London is also making the market more attractive to investors,’ he explained. ‘Bank lending has also picked up which has led to more activity in the market and lenders are now happier to fund purchases at higher loan to value ratios. Without higher LTVs, many property investors were finding it hard to get the economics of their investments to work,’ he added. Meanwhile, according to the latest Commercial Market in Minutes report from Savills, downward pressure on prime yields is set to resume across six sectors of the market while income and rental growth will begin to drive the total return. Savills expects downward movements in prime yields to return across M25 offices, provincial offices, high street retail, shopping centres, industrial distribution and industrial multi-let, largely driven by a lack of new stock coming to the market. Also, West End and City office prime yields are at an all-time low at 3% and 4.25% respectively, compared to 3.25% and 4.25% in May of last year. However, unlike the early phase of the UK’s economic recovery which saw investors rely on an uptick in capital value to produce total returns, Savills says the market will have to focus more on income return and rental growth. The firm suggests this shift is a clear indicator that the market has moved on as the rate of capital value growth begins to slow from its peak of 12.95% in October 2014 compared to a current level of 11.04% for the year to the end of May 2015. ‘Rental growth is no longer just a London story and while office and retail in the Capital remain at the top, an outward ripple of recovery suggests strong… Continue reading
