News
UK residential property prices showing steady growth, latest index shows
UK house prices increased by 3.3% in the second quarter of 2015 compared to the previous quarter taking the average price to £200,280, according to the latest property price index. It means that the quarterly rate of change has picked up following two successive falls and prices in the three months to June were 9.6% higher than in the same three months a year earlier, the data from the Halifax shows. This was higher than May’s 8.6% and the highest quarterly rise since September 2014 when it was 9.6%, and on a monthly basis prices increased 1.7% between May and June, the fourth consecutive monthly rise. The steady increase in prices comes as home sales remain steady. Data from HMRC shows UK home sales increased by 1% between April and May and sales in the three months from March to May were 0.5% higher than in the preceding three months, but were 4.2% lower than in the same period last year. According to Martin Ellis, Halifax housing economist, supply remains very tight with the stock of homes available for sale currently at record low levels. ‘This shortage has been a key factor maintaining house price growth at a robust pace so far in 2015,’ he explained. ‘Economic growth, higher employment, increasing real earnings growth and very low mortgage rates are all supporting housing demand with signs of a recent modest pick-up in demand,’ he added. Jonathan Samuels, chief executive officer of Dragonfly Property Finance, pointed out that there are a lot of mixed signals in the property market at the moment as the latest index from the Nationwide shows prices falling slightly. He also pointed out that while prices in London have slowed, house prices per square metre have risen by 45% since 2010, highlighting the extent of the growth in the capital in recent years. ‘With economic growth stronger than expected during the first quarter, a buoyant jobs market and people generally better off, you would expect the market to continue to improve throughout the rest of 2015, if at a more moderate rate compared to recent years,’ he said. There is also a potential effect from the current Euro crisis and how what happens in Greece could affect the UK property market. ‘We could see a flight away from equities into bricks and mortar, but at the same time if Europe as a whole is adversely affected then the UK economy will almost certainly suffer, too,’ he added. Thomas van Straubenzee of prime London prime property agency VanHan, is expecting to see an influx of enquiries from wealthy Europeans looking to move their assets off the Continent and into London as they seek to avoid the effects of the euro crisis. ‘We have seen interest from the Middle East and India pick up again, which is not surprising as we had noticed that these buyers were particularly affronted by the idea of a mansion tax. We do not see London… Continue reading
June sees surge in valuation activity in UK residential markets
Strong market growth in the UK has resulted in a surge in residential property valuations in June with activity up 23% year on year, the latest data shows. June’s activity total was also up 42% month on month with valuations for established owner occupiers moving home were especially strong, up 34% in June compared with the same month in 2014 and 51% compared to May. Home movers in particular are showing a very different sentiment to that seen in April and at the start of May and demand is growing faster than the overall market trend and even outperforming the buy to let sector, according to the report from Connells Survey & Valuation. The data also shows that valuations in June for first time buyers saw annual growth of 16% compared to the same month last year, while also registering a 42% uptick on last month’s total. Meanwhile, the number of valuations for the buy to let market rose 24% compared with June 2014 and 22% compared to May 2015. And the number of valuations for those remortgaging their property rose 17% in June compared to the same month in 2014, on the back of 44% month on month growth. ‘First time buyers haven’t benefitted from higher house prices in the same way as those already on the property ladder. An era defining shortage of suitable first time homes, combined with still rapid rises in average prices are keeping many would be home owners renting for the time being. Yet despite this, numbers of valuations for new buyers have shown double digit growth,’ said John Bagshaw, the firm’s corporate services director. He pointed out that remortgaging still lags behind most other sectors in terms of yearly growth. ‘This could also be a sign that the numbers remortgaging to access a better mortgage rate may have reached a plateau,’ he added. Continue reading
Prime London property prices up 1.6% in second quarter of 2015
Values across London’s prime housing market grew by an average of 1.6% in the three months to the end of June, but remain 0.7% below where they were a year ago. Increased stamp duty rates and unsold stock levels restricted a bounce in property values after May’s general election, according to the latest analysis from real estate firm Savills. The report also says that buyer caution has been most evident at the top end of the market, with prices in the prime central London market barely showing any net house price growth over the quarter with a rise of just 0.3%. This means that house prices in this market are down by an average of 4.3% year on year. According to Lucian Cook, head of UK residential research at Savills, there was a feeling prior to the autumn statement last year that the prime markets of London were looking fully priced following a sustained period of growth. ‘The stamp duty increases introduced in December 2014 mean they now also looked fully taxed, despite mansion tax fears being confined to history,’ he explained, adding that this effect has not been confined to prime central London. Indeed, across the remainder of the prime London market homes worth over £2 million saw values fall by an average of 0.9% over the past year, despite rising by an average of 2.4% in the quarter. Across London, the market below £1 million, where buyers benefitted modestly from the stamp duty reform, recorded annual price growth, albeit of just 2.4%, as the mortgage market review continues to restrict the amount people can borrow, whether because of the stress testing of affordability or the income upon which this is judged. ‘In the early part of the year we could put buyer reluctance to commit down to political uncertainty pre-election. Only now is the dual effect of taxation at the top end of the prime market and mortgage regulation at entry level becoming clear,’ said Cook. ‘These constraints are keenly felt by buyers, while some sellers are clinging to expectations that values can keep on rising. That has created a gap in price expectations in parts of the market which is likely to hold back any recovery in transaction levels,’ he pointed out. ‘With those transactions having been suppressed prior to the election, it seems inevitable that high value sales will have peaked, at least in the short term, in 2014. That means current constraints on the market could have a negative on impact on stamp duty receipts from most expensive housing upon which the Treasury has become increasing reliant,’ he concluded. Continue reading
