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House price growth confidence hit new high in UK after general election
Confidence in the outlook for house price growth in the UK hit its highest level in four years following the general election in May, but dropped back last month. The dip in confidence in June comes despite continued rise in real wage growth, together with record low numbers of homes available for sale pushing average house prices over £200,000 for the first time ever, according to the Housing Market Confidence Tracker report from the Halifax. House Price Optimism (HPO) hit +68 in May 2015, and although it slipped back slightly in June to +64 it remains substantially higher than at the beginning of the year when it was +52 in the January survey. Nevertheless, while the May high was short lived, the percentage of Britons predicting an increase in the average property price of more than 5% over the next 12 months has still risen from 34% to 38% in the last quarter, comparing the March and June 2015 measures, respectively. This increased optimism also corresponds with a fall in the net figure for buying sentiment from +35 in February 2015 to +25 in June 2015. Some 56% said in June they think it will be a good time to buy property over the next 12 months, compared to 61% who said this in February 2015. At the same time there’s been an increase in the net figure for selling sentiment from +27 in February 2015 to +32 in June 2015. With the Governor of the Bank of England saying improving economic figures means an interest rate rise has moved closer, 48% expect mortgage interest rates to be higher in 12 months’ time compared to 45% in the first quarter of the year. Londoners are less likely than those in any other region to say it is a good time to buy at 38% compared with 56% of Britons overall, making it the only region where the proportion who think the next 12 months will be a bad time to buy exceeds the proportion who think it will be a good time. Those in the South East are more confident than in any other region that house prices will be higher in 12 months’ time at 90% compared to 69% of Britons overall, with those in the North East and the West Midlands the least likely to say this, both at 59%. ‘Economic growth, together with increasing real earnings growth and historic low mortgage rates are all supporting the continued rise in house price optimism. It’s not been a smooth increase though as while there was a noticeable spike in optimism straight after the General Election result, this has now fallen off slightly,’ said Martin Ellis, housing economist at the Halifax. ‘A key factor in maintaining optimism over house price growth has been the fact that the stock of homes available for sale is currently at record low levels. If this growth is to be sustainable then we need to… Continue reading
Demand could push up prices in popular parts of Spain
Enquiries from international buyers for property in Spain have reached record breaking levels at a time when prices are still falling but demand could push up values in popular areas. Spanish property portal Kyero, which lists more than 200,000 homes from 3,000 estate agents, said it has had its busiest ever quarter and properties prices from €50,000 to €100,000 are proving most popular. The firm’s latest quarterly report shows that 28% of all enquiries were for properties at €100,000 or less and they are also proving popular with domestic buyers. The report also suggests that prices could start rising because of the demand. Valuations company Tinsa has released data which shows that a total of 35 popular locations have seen price rises between the first quarter of 2014 and the same period in 2015. The previous year saw just four of those areas register price increases. The upward movement indicates that those seeking properties in the €50,000 to €100,000 range might soon have to up their budget in order to get what they are looking for. The Kyero research confirms that Spain's coastal areas are some of its most popular with second home buyers looking for a holiday home with easy access to beaches. Alicante, home of the Costa Blanca, is the most popular province, according to the Kyero report with 31% of all enquiries focusing on that region. Malaga was the second most popular area, accounting for 15% of total enquiries. ‘Spain's beaches offer some fantastic, family friendly holidays and many of those buying here want to own a property within a short walk or drive of at least one beach. Apartments are by far the most popular choice, accounting for 39% of all enquiries during the last quarter, 10% ahead of villa enquiries,’ said Kyero founder Martin Dell. ‘Many families like the idea of owning an apartment that comes with a shared swimming pool that the condominium company maintains. It's less hassle and expense than owning a villa with its own pool,’ he added. The Kyero report also reveals that it is three bedroom properties that command the most interest, with 32% of all enquirers looking for properties of that size. Two bedroom properties came a close second, with 30% of total enquiries. Meanwhile, the Tinsa data shows that overall the average price of new and used homes declined by 1.1% in the first half of 2015 compared to the same period of 2014 but the Mediterranean Coast and Islands standing have performed better. Prices in the Balearic and Canary Islands increased by 4.4% in the first six months of the year, while prices on the Mediterranean Coast increased by 1.8% in the same period. The biggest falls in prices have been seen in cities with declines of up to 3.7%. Since the peak of the market in 2007 average property prices have fallen by 41.8%. The Mediterranean Coast is the area where values have been adjusted most, with an… Continue reading
Average UK house prices now above peak of 2007, latest data shows
Average house prices across the UK have now exceeded their Autumn 2007 peak and further increases are expected, according to the latest research figures. Findings of the research by the Connells Group, which has a network of over 520 estate agencies across the country, show a 2% uptick in prices compared to the peak. This comes after the value of property rose for the fourth consecutive month and the data also indicates a 4.5% increase on house values in the second quarter of this year compared to the first three months of the year. This exceeds the 3% growth that was forecast by Connells and overall the figures are very positive news, according to David Plumtree, Connells Group Estate Agency chief executive. ‘The economic growth, strong market confidence and post-election certainty has galvanised buyers and sellers to create a buoyant housing market. It certainly is a seller’s market and those looking to move should capitalise on this,’ he added. Separate research by online estate agent eMoov has found that demand for London property has increased for the first time this year, having declined steadily since June 2014. Demand across London’s boroughs has climbed by 7% since March, although it is still down 15% since this time last year. ‘It doesn’t surprise me that despite the market cooling in some of the capitals more prestigious boroughs, house prices in London have continued to rise. It’s long been accepted that London is one of the most expensive cities to live in the world, let alone the UK, but now that the average house price has tipped above the half a million mark, it really highlights how out of control the property market has become here,’ said eMoov chief executive officer Russell Quirk. He also pointed out that house prices outside of London and the South East have continued to increase by 5.2%, and this shows that the London exodus for more affordable property is continuing. ‘Hardly surprising given the new London average and the resulting ripple effect, as buyers search for a realistic way to get on the UK property ladder,’ he concluded. Continue reading
