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House prices and sales rising in New Zealand due to chronic lack of supply
A chronic lack of supply is fuelling a regional growth in house prices and sales volumes in New Zealand, according to the latest monthly index report. Sales volumes hit new levels and median house prices reached new record highs across more regions of New Zealand than ever before, according to the latest figures from the Real Estate Institution of New Zealand. Record median prices were reached in Waikato/Bay of Plenty, Taranaki, Canterbury/Westland and Otago. The report explains that this shows the growing halo effect of rising prices around New Zealand is strengthening in the regions where it is already present, and moving on to new regions, driven by a chronic lack of supply. On a seasonally adjusted basis the number of dwellings sold in April 2016 rose by 12.8% compared to March, indicating that the normally expected drop in sales between March and April was far smaller than usual. And compared to April 2015, all regions recorded increases in sales volume. At the same time, the availability of properties for sale has fallen by over one third over the past 12 months, with a number of regions seeing declines of more than half. Days to sell, another measure of demand has also fallen by more than 20% over the past 12 months in nine of the 12 regions. The national median price was $490,000 for April, an increase of $35,000 or 7.7% on April 2015, and down 1% compared to March. Excluding the impact of the Auckland region, the national median price rose $29,000 to $382,000 compared to April 2015. REINZ chief executive Colleen Milne said that the April data confirms the continued strength of the real estate market right across New Zealand, driven by a chronic lack of supply. ‘Anecdotal evidence suggests that investors outside of Auckland are increasingly looking to real estate investments to improve their yields compared to bank deposits. First home buyers are also taking advantage of low mortgage rates, putting pressure on the number of properties available for sale,’ she pointed out. ‘The strength of the seasonally adjusted level of sales demonstrates that the year on year median house price rises, excluding Auckland, underlying demand for real estate across New Zealand remains strong, with every region recording an increase on a seasonally adjusted basis,’ she explained. There were 8,568 unconditional residential sales in April, an 18.4% increase on April 2015 and a 10.1% decline on March. On a seasonally adjusted basis, the number of sales rose 12.8% from March to April. The strong increase in seasonally adjusted sales reflects a smaller decline in sales between March and April than is normally the case. Over the past 10 years the average decline between March and April has been 16.6%. Sales volumes excluding Auckland, were up 28.8% on April 2015 and up 29.4% on a seasonally adjusted basis. All regions, apart from Northland, Auckland and Taranaki are showing in excess of 20% annual sales growth. Indeed, Auckland saw the number… Continue reading
Almost all towns and cities in UK see new rental supply drop dramatically
New rental properties listed by landlords in the UK in May fell by 15.4% compared to the previous month with 91% of towns and cities recording a fall in supply, new research shows. The biggest fall in rental supply was in Worcester with a decline of 42.6% month on month, followed by Bedford with a fall of 41.7% and in Derby it was down by 41%, according to the figures from property crowdfunding platform Property Partner. Much of the decline is probably due to a rush of landlords putting rental properties on the market in April ahead of stamp duty changes, according to the firm’s report. It also shows that new listings fell so far in many areas of the country in May, that they actually dropped substantially below March levels, before the 3% stamp duty surcharge for additional homes came into force. ‘As anticipated, the rush of investors buying before April’s stamp duty hike caused a temporary spike in rental supply, which now seems to have been swiftly reversed,’ said Dan Gandesha, chief executive officer of Property Partner. ‘New rental listings in May were down almost 6% on March, before the surcharge spike. With high and rising demand, any prolonged fall in rental supply would only have negative consequences for tenants,’ he explained. He predicts that it’s likely that rents would increase as landlords, facing less competition, pass on their additional purchase costs to tenants and a lack of available properties would also force more tenants into accepting poorer quality accommodation, particularly in areas with an acute shortage of stock. ‘June’s figures will show whether this is just a market adjustment, or something more fundamental. It’s unfortunate timing with the European Union referendum just two weeks away,’ Gandesha pointed out. ‘But April’s stamp duty changes are just the first in a series of additional costs being piled on traditional buy to let. In the longer term, the private rented sector must be professionalised, to provide Generation Rent with enough good quality homes at rents they can afford,’ he added. Continue reading
Over half of UK buyers spend more than intended on a new home
More than half of British people spend at least 10% more than they intended when buying a new home and many end up with an extra bedroom, research has found. In a poll they confessed that they are influenced by their emotions over practical needs which results in spending more, according to the survey by Online Mortgage Advisor. When asked if they changed or widened their original budget some 64% said they did and 89% took into account properties that were more expensive than they originally planned to. Some 51% said they went at least 10% over budget, 18% stayed within 10% of their original budget, 13% were exactly on budget and 11% were within 10% or less. Only 7% bought a house for more than 10% less than they originally intended. Of those who spent more 68% said it was because they fell in love with a specific house and had to have it, 47% paid extra for the right location, 33% said their partner encouraged them to spend more, 25% bought a bigger house as it was better value for money and 29% said they were encouraged by an estate agent while 6% said it was down to their children. ‘Buying the right house within budget can be a really difficult task, especially in a growing market where property prices are still increasing in most parts of the UK. Often people will set out to buy based on price, but then check to see what they could get if “they just spent a bit more,’ said Pete Mugleston, director of Online Mortgage Advisor. ‘From then the decision becomes less about price and more emotionally driven, and often people will either come across their dream home or find it hard to go push the budget down again after seeing what they can purchase with a small increase,’ he pointed out. Continue reading
